Meeting rollover...

[Justin7]

Sometimes, you just need 0-EV action. If you can get even 0.5% EV, all the better.

Chasing rollover while minimizing volatility, I found myself betting snooker and lacrosse. I've never watched these, or read the first thing about them. But hey, as long as you get good numbers, who cares?

[The General]

A rule I wish I would listen to myself say. Pass unless you can get the best of the bet.

[MonkeyF0cker]

LOL. How do you even know they are good numbers? Is there enough volume in any market for those sports? I'm glad I don't have to deal with rollover any more.

[Justin7]

LOL. How do you even know they are good numbers? Is there enough volume in any market for those sports? I'm glad I don't have to deal with rollover any more.

If the books are dealing a moneyline, and a +/- 1.5 runline, you can calculate a conversion rate for different options, and pick off the best.

Another approach: If you have 3 books dealing the same game, estimate the no-vig line. When playing big favs or dog, it is NOT the middle number. You don't need a scalp, just a number better than no-vig. These appear all the time in minor markets. I think I picked off about 3k in random stuff I've never bet one book today, with no bet more than a nickel.

[SlickFazzer]

A video on this topic would be great Justin. Teach us how to get a +EV on snooker.

[durito]

i played a bunch of nll lacrosse today

[onthewhat]

A video on this topic would be great Justin. Teach us how to get a +EV on snooker.

One of your best posts, Slick.

[MonkeyF0cker]

If the books are dealing a moneyline, and a +/- 1.5 runline, you can calculate a conversion rate for different options, and pick off the best.

Another approach: If you have 3 books dealing the same game, estimate the no-vig line. When playing big favs or dog, it is NOT the middle number. You don't need a scalp, just a number better than no-vig. These appear all the time in minor markets. I think I picked off about 3k in random stuff I've never bet one book today, with no bet more than a nickel.

I guess you and I differ. If I can't be sure a market is efficient, I wouldn't be willing to assume my line is "good." I'd need to be able to scalp it if I had no idea what I'm betting on.