Carpenter over Ohlendorf - 1st 5 innings

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  • fearless
    Restricted User
    • 08-14-06
    • 4950

    #1
    Carpenter over Ohlendorf - 1st 5 innings
    This looks like a gift. The only thing that worries about this play is this: Ohlendorf compiled a 2.55 ERA with just two walks in 24.2 innings in Spring training.

    Any thoughts?
  • Shortstop
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-02-09
    • 27281

    #2
    I like Pittsburgh +165 for the game. Good luck fearless.
    Comment
    • fearless
      Restricted User
      • 08-14-06
      • 4950

      #3
      Originally posted by Shortstop
      I like Pittsburgh +165 for the game. Good luck fearless.
      So you think Ohlendorf will keep his team close enough for them to win in the late innings? Or... do you actually expect Ohlendorf to outpitch Carpenter?
      Comment
      • Chi_archie
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-22-08
        • 63172

        #4
        hard to know for sure what you will get from either.... especially Carpenter...

        Ohlendorf was sharp in spring training, he threw no off speed stuff for his first 3-4 starts....

        I'm not touching this game
        Comment
        • fearless
          Restricted User
          • 08-14-06
          • 4950

          #5
          Originally posted by Chi_archie
          hard to know for sure what you will get from either.... especially Carpenter...

          Ohlendorf was sharp in spring training, he threw no off speed stuff for his first 3-4 starts....

          I'm not touching this game
          Carpenter has been extremely consistent the last several years. I took Carpenter -195 for the first 5 innings. Feeling great about it.
          Comment
          • pavyracer
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-12-07
            • 82905

            #6
            Only problem is Carpenter going deep without an injury. I wouldn't touch this game yet. Too many ifs. Carpenter hasn't pitched since 2006 except 3 games late last year where he was injured again.
            Comment
            • fearless
              Restricted User
              • 08-14-06
              • 4950

              #7
              Originally posted by pavyracer
              Only problem is Carpenter going deep without an injury. I wouldn't touch this game yet. Too many ifs. Carpenter hasn't pitched since 2006 except 3 games late last year where he was injured again.
              I'm assuming that he'll get through 5 innings. If he doesn't get that far due to injury then I'll be disappointed. But, he was fine in spring training so I see no reason to worry about it.
              Comment
              • tacomax
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-10-05
                • 9619

                #8
                Originally posted by fearless
                Carpenter has been extremely consistent the last several years.
                Yes, consistently injured.
                Originally posted by pags11
                SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                Originally posted by BuddyBear
                I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                Originally posted by curious
                taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                Comment
                • fearless
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-14-06
                  • 4950

                  #9
                  Originally posted by tacomax
                  Yes, consistently injured.
                  Read the quote below and tell me why I should worry about the first five innings today.

                  Carpenter started off this spring with 14 scoreless innings, though he had just four strikeouts in that span. He allowed six runs (four earned) over his last two starts, but struck out 13 in 9⅔ innings. He finished spring training with a 1.52 ERA and nearly three times as many strikeouts as walks (17 to 6).

                  Comment
                  • tacomax
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 9619

                    #10
                    Originally posted by fearless
                    Read the quote below and tell me why I should worry about the first five innings today.

                    Carpenter started off this spring with 14 scoreless innings, though he had just four strikeouts in that span. He allowed six runs (four earned) over his last two starts, but struck out 13 in 9⅔ innings. He finished spring training with a 1.52 ERA and nearly three times as many strikeouts as walks (17 to 6).

                    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseb...s_N.htm?csp=34
                    But you said he has been extremely consistent the last several years when the fact is he has only pitched about 20 innings in 2007 and 2008.

                    But having read the article, I'm now convinced that your bet is a lock.
                    Originally posted by pags11
                    SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                    Originally posted by BuddyBear
                    I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                    Originally posted by curious
                    taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                    Comment
                    • fearless
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-14-06
                      • 4950

                      #11
                      Originally posted by tacomax
                      But you said he has been extremely consistent the last several years when the fact is he has only pitched about 20 innings in 2007 and 2008.

                      But having read the article, I'm now convinced that your bet is a lock.
                      Add up all his stats since 2004 (including this year's spring training) and it's great consistency.

                      You don't have to be sarcastic, there's no locks in baseball. This is a 5 star, top of the line bet, imho.
                      Comment
                      • fearless
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-14-06
                        • 4950

                        #12
                        Big line movement towards St. Louis. Some Vegas books have them as high as -215 favorites. I want to put more on Carpenter.
                        Comment
                        • fearless
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-14-06
                          • 4950

                          #13
                          I just more than doubled my bet on Carpenter for the first five innings. It's a steamer that better pay off.
                          Comment
                          • Tsoprano
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-14-08
                            • 26374

                            #14
                            Cards runline for me
                            Comment
                            • fearless
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-14-06
                              • 4950

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Tsoprano
                              Cards runline for me
                              I hope you win. That was one of the worst beats I've ever had. Carpenter through a no hitter through 5 innings and I lost 1-0 on an unearned run. Unbelievable!
                              Comment
                              • DwightShrute
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-17-09
                                • 103747

                                #16
                                he's pitching a no hitter after 6 but is losing 1-0!
                                Comment
                                • Chi_archie
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-22-08
                                  • 63172

                                  #17
                                  now that was a bad beat...
                                  Comment
                                  • fearless
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-14-06
                                    • 4950

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                    now that was a bad beat...
                                    It would be hard to write a script for a worse beat.
                                    Comment
                                    • pico
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-05-07
                                      • 27321

                                      #19
                                      shoud've taken the game
                                      Comment
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