Vegas Dave's Dime: Baseball Show 4/8/09

TPowell · 04-08-09, 01:11 PM

with you on Milwaukee. Couldnt pull the trigger on the Dodgers though

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

with you on Milwaukee. Couldnt pull the trigger on the Dodgers though

I still like this Dodger offense quite a bit, and Billingsly VS. Pads offense makes me happy

Willie Bee · 04-08-09, 01:38 PM

Good luck Dave, 'specially with that Cubs wager.

DFoster · 04-08-09, 01:43 PM

I have MIL but like TPowell I didn't go with LAD...the juice is just too high.

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by DFoster

I have MIL but like TPowell I didn't go with LAD...the juice is just too high.

Definitely can't argue with you, it is always hard to swallow -odds on a runline.

But the prohibitive edge in both pitching and offense goes to the Blue Crew here, and I really do believe they win this match-up by 2+ runs over 50% of the time... so the price is right for me. Respect the non-play though

suicidekings · 04-08-09, 02:11 PM

I like pitchers making their ML debuts for small wagers. You always get fat lines. Today Walter Silva for SD garnered a (+160) line, and although the Dodger offense is solid, 20 strikeouts in their first 65 at bats isn't a pretty number. Also, Billingsley's worst month has been April in the last 2 seasons. It's the only month he has a career losing record and has an ERA of 5.44 (career avg. ERA = 3.33). Hoping for a slow start from him again this year.

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

I like pitchers making their ML debuts for small wagers. You always get fat lines. Today Walter Silva for SD garnered a (+160) line, and although the Dodger offense is solid, 20 strikeouts in their first 65 at bats isn't a pretty number. Also, Billingsley's worst month has been April in the last 2 seasons. It's the only month he has a career losing record and has an ERA of 5.44 (career avg. ERA = 3.33). Hoping for a slow start from him again this year.

I love ML debuts, and if the guy has much talent, with no scouting report on him yet, he can sometimes come into the big leagues with a bang.

That said, a 32-year-old pitcher that just started pitching when he was 27 years old who has a career ERA of 4.62 in the Mexican Summer League isn't exactly the type of "prospect" I want my money on against the NL West favorites.

Yes 20 Ks looks bad, but Peavy is one of the best strikeout pitchers in the game, and Chris Young isn't too shabby himself. I don't think +160 is a good enough number to consider the Padres here, but GL on your bet

suicidekings · 04-08-09, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by VegasDave

I love ML debuts, and if the guy has much talent, with no scouting report on him yet, he can sometimes come into the big leagues with a bang.

That said, a 32-year-old pitcher that just started pitching when he was 27 years old who has a career ERA of 4.62 in the Mexican Summer League isn't exactly the type of "prospect" I want my money on against the NL West favorites.

Yes 20 Ks looks bad, but Peavy is one of the best strikeout pitchers in the game, and Chris Young isn't too shabby himself. I don't think +160 is a good enough number to consider the Padres here, but GL on your bet

Agreed. Emphasize small wager. GL to you as well.

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 02:46 PM

Originally posted by suicidekings

Agreed. Emphasize small wager. GL to you as well.

Big wager, small wager, I'm not judging.

Your logic is spot on; any time you get a proven commodity against an un-hyped unknown, the line is going to be inflated for the unknown, as you said. I'm sure you've hit a few nice little scores on your small wagers.

Just hope the Dodgers don't win by one and screw us BOTH over. Lets at least one of us get a winner out of this

ICE-BLOOD · 04-08-09, 03:09 PM

good informative video again

thinking gallardo shuts down sf tonite in sf

webb may miss next start

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by ICE-BLOOD

good informative video again

thinking gallardo shuts down sf tonite in sf

webb may miss next start

Yeah just read... shoulder stiffness in the opener explains a lot... a healthy Webb is usually not that hittable.

I'm very worried for my fantasy team

. Hope it is nothing serious.

Thanks for watching and GL on the Brew Crew tonight

jjgold · 04-08-09, 03:36 PM

Solid video

Like LA Dodgers on RL also

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Solid video

Like LA Dodgers on RL also

Thanks and GL coach!

Remember everyone, feel free to ask a question if you want something addressed in future videos

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 07:25 PM

Cubs with a 4 run 1st, not a bad start

VegasDave · 04-08-09, 10:27 PM

Cubbies = Winner

VegasDave · 04-09-09, 12:00 AM

Dodgers -1.5 = Winner...

3 outs away from a 3 - 0 day, lets go Villanueva!

onthewhat · 04-09-09, 12:02 AM

Dave are you wagering on these plays or just giving them out as picks. Just curious....wagering big or small don't matter I was posting $10 plays and getting hammered, just curious if you're putting something on them is all

VegasDave · 04-09-09, 12:08 AM

WINNER! 3 - 0

Hope you all had a great day as well!

VegasDave · 04-09-09, 12:44 AM

Originally posted by onthewhat

Dave are you wagering on these plays or just giving them out as picks. Just curious....wagering big or small don't matter I was posting $10 plays and getting hammered, just curious if you're putting something on them is all

As you likely know, the SBR policy is we can not have money in any book rated on our site as it could create a conflict of interest.

onthewhat · 04-09-09, 12:46 AM

Oh I thought only guys involved in ratings couldn't do that...but maybe you are.

No one in the office is booking?