Nash 2015 MLB Thread

[Da Manster!]

nightcap special!..let's get it!...

Wager type : Parlay
#1) MLB Baseball
Selection : San Diego Padres/Arizona Diamondbacks 6/20/2015 7:10PM - (PST) Total Points OVER 4½ -704 for Game

T. Ross - R must Start / R. Ray - L must Start
#2) MLB Baseball
Selection : Houston Astros/Seattle Mariners 6/20/2015 7:10PM - (PST) Total Points OVER 4½ -324 for Game

D. Keuchel - L must Start / T. Walker - R must Start
Risking : 100.00 To Win : 49.45 USD

[reaclast]

nightcap special!..let's get it!...

Wager type : Parlay
#1) MLB Baseball
Selection : San Diego Padres/Arizona Diamondbacks 6/20/2015 7:10PM - (PST) Total Points OVER 4½ -704 for Game

T. Ross - R must Start / R. Ray - L must Start
#2) MLB Baseball
Selection : Houston Astros/Seattle Mariners 6/20/2015 7:10PM - (PST) Total Points OVER 4½ -324 for Game

D. Keuchel - L must Start / T. Walker - R must Start
Risking : 100.00 To Win : 49.45 USD

are those plays FF overs?

[swordsandtequila]

are those plays FF overs?

No, as it says "for game".

Get it Manster, I put a mix of overs and unders together after my first play crapped out. Overs are in, just need the unders to come through (no worries, plenty of room for yours to cover ). That and the Braves to hold on. Good luck!

[Da Manster!]

are those plays FF overs?

they are real money wagers where I bought points/runs just like a parlay/teaser and I decided to do over...

[Da Manster!]

No, as it says "for game".

Get it Manster, I put a mix of overs and unders together after my first play crapped out. Overs are in, just need the unders to come through (no worries, plenty of room for yours to cover ). That and the Braves to hold on. Good luck!

good luck to you as well, S&T!...

[tennis005]

Any plays on late games...team totals..or mls..or overs?

[stevenash]

Any plays on late games...team totals..or mls..or overs?

Manster is the genius, ask him.

[reaclast]

i dont understand "for game"

[swordsandtequila]

i dont understand "for game"

Full game. 9 innings. That's all I got.

Great call on the Braves Nash Turned a minus into a plus. Gracias.

[mrlif1]

superb Nash. cheers.

[Da Manster!]

Manster is the genius, ask him.

Nash,
no need to call me a genius...we are all part of the same team...

[Da Manster!]

good way to end the night, fellas!...

[stevenash]

Nash,
no need to call me a genius...we are all part of the same team...

All good, I was trying to get my SD thoughts in and I was getting stepped on all over the place.

Went four for four yesterday, let's keep this clam bake rolling.

[Vinnie Paz]

Tried to post bvp for jays vs Tillman but it came out unreadable. Anyhow they hammer him.

[stevenash]

6/21 Early Father's 1pm Games

Detroit @ NY Yankees
A. Sanchez v. Tanaka
(it's wet in these parts, but they will play)

Sanchez 1.18 WH/IP (good) 4.65 ERA not (very good)
Say to myself, WH/IP good, ERA high, he must be gakking up gopher balls?
Check Mr. Database, yep, 13 balls have gone over the fence in 14 starts.
Righties hit him, lefties do not.

Tanaka is the class of this matchup
0.87 WH/IP is as good as it gets, rock solid 2.47 ERA
line in hovering around -170, which makes it not bettable, and if I had to bet it, I would lean Detroit because of the big bats, but you can not fade Tanaka, and Yanks sticks are hitting on all eight cylinders. How many runs did they score last night? 97?

Game is a big fat pass.

Baltimore at Toronto
Tillman v. Copeland

Jays are a pick
Copeland has only 14 ML innings pitched in his career, 16 hits and 2 walks
Incomplete data, good control but hittable
Tillman is what he is, a middle of the rotation guy that is getting lit up.
5.57 ERA is God awful and so it that WH/IP 1.55
Middle of the Jays lineup has hurt him bad before in the past, Jays own .295 77/295 11 homers lifetime.

JAYS ALL DAY AT PICK IN THIS ONE

Tampa at Cleveland
Colome v. Cody Anderson

Indians called up from the Akron (I kid you not) Rubber Ducks Anderson.
Making his big league debut.
Cody Anderson Pitching Stats

2011	MV	NYP	A(Short)	0	0	1.80	3	1	0	0	0	0	5.0	4	1	1	0	0	4	0	3	.235	1.60	1.00
2012	LC	MID	A(Full)	4	7	3.20	24	23	0	0	0	0	98.1	92	40	35	8	1	29	0	72	.249	1.23	1.03
2013 [+]	2 teams	-	Minors	9	4	2.65	26	26	0	0	0	0	136.0	121	42	40	8	5	40	0	122	.244	1.18	0.71
2014	AKR	EAS	AA	4	11	5.44	25	25	0	0	0	0	125.2	141	78	76	17	4	45	0	81	.285	1.48	1.08
2015 [+]	2 teams	-	Minors	4	3	1.89	13	13	0	0	0	0	71.1	61	18	15	2	2	14	0	54	.235	1.05	0.91
Minors Career [+]	5 teams		Minors	21	25	3.44	91	88	0	0	0	0	436.1	419	179	167	35	12	132	0	332	.256	1.26	0.92

Nothing there to suggest he's going to be a good one.
However he is a slight favorite against Tampa and Colome because the other starter (Colome) sucks and the opponent (Rays) suck as well.
5.14 ERA and 1.55 WH/IP, and hitters hit over .310 from both sides of the plate.

Indians and the rookie is the play

Miami at Cincinnatti
Phelps v. Lorenzen

Phelps is having an OK season, 1.28 WH/IP and 3.96 ERA
Right/Left splits are about the same around .260 each.
He's got to navigate the Reds middle or order with Votto and his boys.
Lorezson's ratio is way to high 1.44 (ERA is OK) if he allows 1 1/2 baserunners an inning like he does Stanton could hurt him bad.
I don't like this game, I do think we can have over 8.5 runs.

Pittsburgh at Washington
Morton v. Gio Gonzalez

Morton has been lights out all year.
5 and 0 WH/IP of 0.99 and an ERA of 1.62
Started five, won five, working on back to back scoreless starts, righties can't touch him .192
Who cares if he isn't a K artist, Chuckles just gets outs.

Nats start overrated Gio and his fancy 4.82 ERA and 1.55 WH/IP
RH hitters are smacking Gio silly this season, and look for McClutch/Marte and his buddies to tee off.

Nats have a 'hangover' game today and Morton contiunes his brilliance.

The last of the early games is St. Louis against Philly
I'm not going to break it down.
Wacha beats Morgan
Cards crush Philly
There, all broken down, game breaks down itself

(I'm crunching the later games numbers now)



I'm rocking Pirates +109
I'm rocking Blue Jays at pick 'em

2* each

[Jayvegas420]

......and a kind thank you for the Braves pick.

Turned yesterday into a wash rather than a losing day



Woke up late, only looking at today's games right now.

[stevenash]

......and a kind thank you for the Braves pick.

And a kind you're welcome in return.
Glad to help, that's just the type of guy I am.

[swordsandtequila]

Nice writeup Nash, but take it easy on my Rays . Sucks is a little harsh. Best road record in baseball, with a pitching staff held together by bandaids and super glue (and still top three in the majors). Lost every starter from opening day roster except Archer. Hopefully they can hang on 'til the All Star break, Moore and Odorizzi should be back. Bullpen needs a break. Good luck in your plays today

[stevenash]

Tried to post bvp for jays vs Tillman but it came out unreadable. Anyhow they hammer him.

Matchup Info				Career Matchup Stats
Batter	Pos	Game	Pitcher	AB	H	XBH	HR	RBI	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
		4:05PM
J. Bautista	OF	TOR vs BAL	C. Tillman	34	9	5	2	5	4	10	0.265	0.333	0.529	0.863
1:07PM
J. Donaldson	3B	TOR vs BAL	C. Tillman	17	6	3	1	5	1	1	0.353	0.389	0.647	1.036
1:07PM
R. Goins	2B	TOR vs BAL	C. Tillman	17	6	1	1	2	1	4	0.353	0.389	0.529	0.918
1:07PM
K. Pillar	OF	TOR vs BAL	C. Tillman	10	3	2	1	3	0	4	0.3	0.3	0.7	1
1:07PM
J. Reyes	SS	TOR vs BAL	C. Tillman	26	9	4	1	2	0	2	0.346	0.346	0.577	0.923
1:07PM

[Madison]

Been real busy with the real world so been lurking at best. Anyway just wanted to thank you again Nasher for all the work you share. Appreciated!!

[stevenash]

Been real busy with the real world so been lurking at best. Anyway just wanted to thank you again Nasher for all the work you share. Appreciated!!

It's who I am, it's what I do.
I do this fun, when it's not fun anymore I'll stop.
Thank you for the kind words.

[Jayvegas420]

I feel another 8 run game for Toronto today.

[stevenash]

Manster ! Get in here ! Nobody is pissed at you.

What you got for us today?

[stevenash]

Adding the salami

Salami is set at 127
I'm expecting BIG TIME scoring today.

Over 127 runs scored in all 15 games combined
3*
(note, all games must go, and all games must go 8.5 or no action is the grade, just like a rainout)

[CDUBB_CW]

It's who I am, it's what I do.
I do this fun, when it's not fun anymore I'll stop.
Thank you for the kind words.

Nasher you're analysis has been on point as well as your picks.

You've definitely humbled yourself lately. Keep up the good work.

[stevenash]

^
Thanks, I do have an ego though, but like I say to my boss who I am kind of tight with outside of the professional work arena, "As good as I am, and I am damn good, there is always someone better, and a few quite better than what I do"
So I try to never lose sight of that fact, it's when I do forget that and strut around like I am King Shit, then I come across like an arrogant fuk, I don't like to show that side however I do on occassion.

Another thing I tell my wife and she has picked up on it is I don't half ass anything.
I'll blow a task or something off, I have done that a lot, or I'll take on a clean the kitchen project for instance head on, I'll go all out for 2 hours until the floors shine like a rebel diamond, or I won't do it all, I'll never go through the motions.

[Da Manster!]

What you got for us today?

Thanks for the kind words, Nash...I knew you weren't pissed at me...Anyhow, I'm going a little bat shit crazy today...I got fukked royally on the cinci/miami game paying -1880 juice @ over 4.5 when it should have been -1100...but I got caught in that duel line trap that they tend to do sometimes...however, it will make it that much more sweeter when I nail this parlay/teaser!......I'm doing a 6 teamer because it always seems like sunday afternoon games there is always a ton of runs scored regardless of who's pitching and who's hitting...

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Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	6/21/2015 8:27AM	Parlay	157.45	191.30	Baseball - 901 Miami Marlins/Cincinnati Reds over 4½ -1884 buying 4½ for Game Baseball - 909 Milwaukee Brewers/Colorado Rockies over 6½ -999 buying 4½ for Game Baseball - 911 New York Mets/Atlanta Braves over 4½ -419 buying 2½ for Game Baseball - 917 Baltimore Orioles/Toronto Blue Jays over 5½ -678 buying 4 for Game Baseball - 921 Boston Red Sox/Kansas City Royals over 4½ -916 buying 4 for Game Baseball - 927 Houston Astros/Seattle Mariners over 4½ -470 buying 2½ for Game

</form>BACK

[Da Manster!]

^
Thanks, I do have an ego though, but like I say to my boss who I am kind of tight with outside of the professional work arena, "As good as I am, and I am damn good, there is always someone better, and a few quite better than what I do"
So I try to never lose sight of that fact, it's when I do forget that and strut around like I am King Shit, then I come across like an arrogant fuk, I don't like to show that side however I do on occassion.

Another thing I tell my wife and she has picked up on it is I don't half ass anything.
I'll blow a task or something off, I have done that a lot, or I'll take on a clean the kitchen project for instance head on, I'll go all out for 2 hours until the floors shine like a rebel diamond, or I won't do it all, I'll never go through the motions.

excellent post, Nash...and it's ok to be a little arrogant and cocky...cappers like us who have constantly proven ourselves don't have a damn thing to prove anyone on this board or elsewhere for that matter...I also thought that you might be more appreciative and respectful towards me because I do indeed post actual money tickets wagering real $$$$ and not bullshit, measly bet points or air bets...anyhow, all is good...let's cash in and keep a good thing going!...

[tennis005]

Wow Nash, I see your post and checked the lines and from this morning to 1pm, the Jays have went up to 5 team total runs and is at -145 lol

Hope your plays hit. Im riding the righties from pitt and Edwin, Donaldson, Martin for daily fantasy today...

[stevenash]

Wow Nash, I see your post and checked the lines and from this morning to 1pm, the Jays have went up to 5 team total runs and is at -145 lol

Hope your plays hit. Im riding the righties from pitt and Edwin, Donaldson, Martin for daily fantasy today...

I have a Jays stack, I have Chris Young with Marte and McClutch too.
I can only use two stud hitters with Wacha - who is the DFS Stud of the day.

[Da Manster!]

Dayum!!..Just like that!...2 down, 4 to go!...

[Vinnie Paz]

Wow copeland you fkn joke.

[Jayvegas420]

Like I said, Toronto would give up 8 runs today!!

[stevenash]

First team to 20 in the Oriole game wins.

[Bill_Hicks]

Back to back jacks. 7-4 now.