Nash 2015 MLB Thread

[trobin31]

^
Add to it LaDodgers returning home after road trip, Koehler had a really good outing except for running into the buzz saw that's Bryce Harper. Marlins have some value me thinks.

[stevenash]

^
Add to it LaDodgers returning home after road trip, Koehler had a really good outing except for running into the buzz saw that's Bryce Harper. Marlins have some value me thinks.

You might be on to something.

Can't bet the KC game, Duff-man (oooh yeahhh) been inconsistant, hat Colby Lewis, but he's been pretty good so far this year.
And Texas can hit lefties a bit.

Can't bet either side of the Yankee game, but the over 7.5 is talking to me, I like the over
Same with the Oriole's personally I think O's smack Estrada around big time, line -135 with Jimenez is a little high, but the total 8.5 looks real nice too.

I really don't like the White Sox/Brewer game, but check out Braun's BvP, it's incredible.

[Ra77er]

I agree the Brewer/CHW game is not something I want any part of. Tiny lean on Milwaukee but the price is not favorable for my tastes. I really think KC is the best play on the board today. I have hit that ML/RL/TT every which way. A very close second is the Pirates RL. Great matchup for them tonight. Good luck with your plays Steve.

[stevenash]

I agree the Brewer/CHW game is not something I want any part of. Tiny lean on Milwaukee but the price is not favorable for my tastes. I really think KC is the best play on the board today. I have hit that ML/RL/TT every which way. A very close second is the Pirates RL. Great matchup for them tonight. Good luck with your plays Steve.

Thanks, I'm rolling with Cole and runline, I like the price with Shelby Miller.
KC will score runs, indeed, I love Duffy, but he's been smacked around so far.

[Big Bear]

Randy Johnson is the only
D-Backs starter with a better home winning percentage than Josh Collementer.

[Mase of Base]

You might be on to something.

Can't bet the KC game, Duff-man (oooh yeahhh) been inconsistant, hat Colby Lewis, but he's been pretty good so far this year.
And Texas can hit lefties a bit.

Can't bet either side of the Yankee game, but the over 7.5 is talking to me, I like the over
Same with the Oriole's personally I think O's smack Estrada around big time, line -135 with Jimenez is a little high, but the total 8.5 looks real nice too.

I really don't like the White Sox/Brewer game, but check out Braun's BvP, it's incredible.

Agreed on the O's, Estrada is prone to give up moonshots. O's bats have been pretty dead for awhile now but get them back at Camden and I think the fans might be going home with a few souvenirs tonight.

[stevenash]

I agree the Brewer/CHW game is not something I want any part of. Tiny lean on Milwaukee but the price is not favorable for my tastes. I really think KC is the best play on the board today. I have hit that ML/RL/TT every which way. A very close second is the Pirates RL. Great matchup for them tonight. Good luck with your plays Steve.

With Moose back in the lineup, I may buy a little of my 2nd favorite team.

This lineup should murder Lewis down there in HotTEXAS

Alcides Escobar(R) SS
Mike Moustakas(L) 3B
Lorenzo Cain(R) CF
Eric Hosmer(L) 1B
Kendrys Morales(S) DH
Alex Gordon(L) LF
Salvador Perez(R) C
Omar Infante(R) 2B
Jarrod Dyson(L) RF

[stevenash]

Agreed on the O's, Estrada is prone to give up moonshots. O's bats have been pretty dead for awhile now but get them back at Camden and I think the fans might be going home with a few souvenirs tonight.

That's my thinking too.

[stevenash]

OK, for those just jumping into this thread, I'm playing Cole (Pirates) runline +100 (even money) 4 units
And I am playing Braves with Shelby Miller 2 units.

For thos that play at FD or DK

Two sleeper bats are in play tonight
Logan Forsythe, lefty killer is a must start.
Kelly Johnson in the four hole behind Freeman is a cheap option too.

Pirates stack for the win

[buddha]

Thanks, I'm rolling with Cole and runline, I like the price with Shelby Miller.
KC will score runs, indeed, I love Duffy, but he's been smacked around so far.

Not sure how much this would affect your thoughts on KC/TX but KC off the delayed game in Chicago didn't get in to TX til 4 am.

[Ra77er]

With Moose back in the lineup, I may buy a little of my 2nd favorite team.

This lineup should murder Lewis down there in HotTEXAS

Alcides Escobar(R) SS
Mike Moustakas(L) 3B
Lorenzo Cain(R) CF
Eric Hosmer(L) 1B
Kendrys Morales(S) DH
Alex Gordon(L) LF
Salvador Perez(R) C
Omar Infante(R) 2B
Jarrod Dyson(L) RF

I just saw this, its overcast here...little humidity....Royals no problems tonight. Good luck

[Dukedude2440]

Hey Nash love the thread bud keep up the great work man , piss on trolls man . Wanna see what u thought about possible weather in braves game . Worried bout miller not getting to throw full slate, and gettin into under belly of braves bullpen( shit gas cans) love the price of +131 with braves , what u think bud ?

Cheerz

[Ra77er]

I know this wasn't directed at me but my thoughts on that game are Atl and Cin are very evenly matched. Atlanta on the road after that Nat series, and I rate Cinc just slightly better would put them in the +125 +130 range in my opinion. I am a diehard Braves fan just for my perspective.

[stevenash]

Cincinnatti game is not a problem
There is nothing behind this line

http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/l/Cincinnati+OH+45202

[stevenash]

I know this wasn't directed at me but my thoughts on that game are Atl and Cin are very evenly matched. Atlanta on the road after that Nat series, and I rate Cinc just slightly better would put them in the +125 +130 range in my opinion. I am a diehard Braves fan just for my perspective.

The game is a flip, I'm getting +121 on an even up match.
That's what I look for + money on even up games where I think the wrong team is favored.

[Ra77er]

We see it the same Steve with our own slight alterations. Pretty cool.

[Ra77er]

Any surprise there are two errors in the CHW/MIL game and its not even the 5th inning?

[stevenash]

DeGrom getting lit up like a Christmas tree.
Back to back jobs - Rizzo just bombed one.
Here come Soler.
Degrom won't see the 4th inning.

[KiDBaZkiT]

I rolled with Natties/Snakes UN 8. With Scherz and Collmenter I'm thinking could be very low scoring. Felt I had to for at least a unit.

[eddycash]

Nash how about Marlins +1.5 -110?

[KiDBaZkiT]

I rolled with Natties/Snakes UN 8. With Scherz and Collmenter I'm thinking could be very low scoring. Felt I had to for at least a unit.

Lol 2nd pitch Homerun.

[eddycash]

Nvm Koelher is pretty sloppy

[jjgold]

Nashy is a very good follow

When you have trolls it means your good

[eddycash]

Shut up gay jj

[stevenash]

Shut up gay jj

JJ is OK.
Cut him some slack, he lives in Newark for the love of God.

[Wesley]

nash what's going on with the A's this year? their relievers look like shit every game

[stevenash]

So does the Reds relievers, they are the worst. Best ever in my generation are the current trio in KC, Holland goes down for 2 weeks, no problem, Wade Davis goes perfect for 2 weeks, I mean flawless.

nash what's going on with the A's this year? their relievers look like shit every game

[High3rEl3m3nt]

How many saves has the Marlin's closer coughed up this season? He has to be up there as one of the worst so far.

[stevenash]

Bullpen stats through 5/11

Miami 8 blown saves
Oakland 7 blown saves

RK	TEAM	GP	W	L	ERA	SV	CG	SHO	IP	ER	R	BB	SO	BAA
1	Kansas City	32	8	2	1.56	12	0	0	109.2	19	21	35	95	0.167
2	St. Louis	31	9	3	1.61	15	0	0	100.2	18	20	35	94	0.214
3	LA Dodgers	30	8	5	2	6	0	0	94.1	21	24	34	110	0.188
4	Houston	32	9	2	2.13	11	0	0	97	23	25	20	106	0.176
5	NY Yankees	32	7	4	2.22	15	0	0	109.2	27	34	43	121	0.179
6	NY Mets	32	3	2	2.41	15	0	0	78.1	21	22	26	81	0.178
7	Philadelphia	33	3	3	2.82	6	0	0	102	32	45	59	92	0.261
8	Pittsburgh	32	4	8	3	9	0	0	96	32	35	29	92	0.266
9	Washington	33	6	4	3.14	10	0	0	91.2	32	37	33	85	0.244
10	San Francisco	32	6	2	3.23	9	0	0	97.2	35	38	38	76	0.238
11	LA Angels	31	5	4	3.3	10	0	0	92.2	34	36	30	86	0.219
12	Minnesota	31	4	3	3.33	12	0	0	102.2	38	43	26	64	0.245
13	Baltimore	30	4	3	3.52	8	0	0	94.2	37	43	37	90	0.216
14	Tampa Bay	33	7	5	3.57	13	0	0	113.1	45	45	47	106	0.213
15	Cleveland	30	1	4	3.63	4	0	0	101.2	41	52	46	103	0.26
16	Toronto	33	4	6	3.64	6	0	0	108.2	44	49	42	108	0.223
17	Chicago Sox	29	5	5	3.68	5	0	0	93	38	44	39	87	0.257
18	Detroit	31	4	3	3.73	12	0	0	82	34	36	26	55	0.244
19	Seattle	30	4	9	3.74	10	0	0	96.1	40	43	45	81	0.241
20	Boston	32	6	4	3.78	6	0	0	114.1	48	50	42	89	0.259
21	Arizona	30	4	7	4.08	2	0	0	108	49	50	40	90	0.265
22	Milwaukee	33	5	2	4.17	7	0	0	99.1	46	59	38	107	0.247
23	Chicago Cubs	31	5	6	4.42	7	0	0	97.2	48	50	37	88	0.247
24	Miami	33	5	6	4.44	3	0	0	101.1	50	52	42	93	0.261
25	San Diego	33	5	5	4.48	10	0	0	98.1	49	52	42	80	0.254
26	Texas	32	6	4	4.55	5	0	0	112.2	57	60	42	94	0.263
27	Atlanta	31	4	7	4.79	11	0	0	99.2	53	55	47	92	0.238
28	Oakland	34	2	10	5.18	4	0	0	104.1	60	64	48	99	0.248
29	Colorado	27	4	4	5.2	8	0	0	100.1	58	63	29	90	0.281
30	Cincinnati	31	4	6	5.47	6	0	0	80.2	49	51	40	86	0.249
LEAGUE AVERAGES		GP	W	L	ERA	SV	CG	SHO	IP	ER	R	BB	SO	BAA
American League		31	5	5	3.44	9	0	0	102	39	43	38	92	0.227
National League		31	5	5	3.68	8	0	0	96	40	44	38	90	0.242
Major League Baseball		31	5	5	3.56	9	0	0	99	39	43	38	91	0.235

[stevenash]

Stat of the day:

Only five starting pitchers have won their first six decisions against the NY Yankees in the last 100 years.
Tonight, Chris Archer has a chance to become the sixth.

A trend that can't be ignored.

[stevenash]

This is what Balty does to LHP

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/bal/split/31/baltimore-orioles

And this is what the O's have done to Buehrle in the past.

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/4454/mark-buehrle

Now, take out Jose Reyes and Joey Bats from the equation, how can you not like Balty at -120
Remember, BvP is not the be all end all of all stats, it's an ancilary stat that supports your primary reasoning to your wager.
Buehrle has a 6.00 ERA, a 1.85 WH/IP 6 starts 23 2/3 innings - that's 5 2/3 innings a start - 14 K's in those innings pretty much rock bottom in K ratio, makes Chris Tillman who is not Cy Young look like Cy Young.

Give me one reason, just one why I shouldn't bet the O's at home laying a measly 20 cent price.

[Ra77er]

Apologies on the Royals yesterday Nash. Good hit with Cole, no idea what his fantasy numbers looked like but it was a win. I got shelled yesterday...I had them -1.5 . Thanks for the info on the Balty/Jays matchup. I'm digging around myself.

[OckertCR]

This is what Balty does to LHP

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/bal/split/31/baltimore-orioles

And this is what the O's have done to Buehrle in the past.

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/4454/mark-buehrle

Now, take out Jose Reyes and Joey Bats from the equation, how can you not like Balty at -120
Remember, BvP is not the be all end all of all stats, it's an ancilary stat that supports your primary reasoning to your wager.
Buehrle has a 6.00 ERA, a 1.85 WH/IP 6 starts 23 2/3 innings - that's 5 2/3 innings a start - 14 K's in those innings pretty
much rock bottom in K ratio, makes Chris Tillman who is not Cy Young look like Cy Young.

Give me one reason, just one why I shouldn't bet the O's at home laying a measly 20 cent price.

I think you should take a hard look at the over. Good chance Tillman gets knocked around a little bit as well

[stevenash]

@Razzer
Dig at the Mariner game.
Paxton is dog shit, take a look at what SD is doing versus LHP

Hmm, who would you want tonight taking the rock?
Ian Kennedy or Paxton?
No brainer.

Two caveats, Mr. Cruz who is your MVP at the current moment and Mr. Cano
Fade those two, Kennedy should pitch a gem, but fading Curz four times is a mighty tall order, but the superior match up there is SD

Look at Norris vs. LHP (my fantasy catcher by the way)
No look at J-Upt vs. LHP
Matt Kemp vs. LHP
and let's not neglect the guy with the funniest name in baseball, the guy who won me at least four dailies last season with his stick, Mr. Spot Play himself, and if he's in the lineup tonight, I'm using him tonight at rock bottom 2200 at FD, you know him, you love him, you can't live without him, ask for him by name, and except no immitations, Mr. Jedd Gyorko. (the brilliance of the last name is it's pronounced Jer-Ko

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/sd/split/31/san-diego-padres

[stevenash]

I think you should take a hard look at the over. Good chance Tillman gets knocked around a little bit as well

I'm on the over like my puppy dog on a squirrel
Even without Reyes and Joey Bats, Donaldson and Encarncion can ding Tillman.
I'm on both plays.