I am in some trouble guys....and I am going to get screwed i am sure :(

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  • BuddyBear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 7233

    #1
    I am in some trouble guys....and I am going to get screwed i am sure :(
    Normally I bet $75 a game except when i middle or try to scalp a game.


    Well I thought i had a middle and i did for the most part.

    Over 51 (+111 @pinny)
    Under 52 (-110 @SIA)

    Well i put $700/777 on the over and was ready to put $770 on the under at SIA but the line changed down to Under 51 very quickly. I said shucks...just have to even it out and I could profit $7.

    Well turns out that the limitis are $440 on totals at SIA

    So not only know middle opportunity...but even money. I have no idea what i am going to do right now. If the over doesn't hit...i've lost $300.

    If the over hits, I've made $$337. That's basically the most I've ever bet on a game.

    This is not what I like fellows...i am still hoping that Pinny will run it back up to 51...but it doesn't look good. I'll be sweating this one out.

  • BuddyBear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 7233

    #2
    How about under 50 (-110) and pray it doesn't hit 51. Or am i jus playing with fire here???
    Comment
    • tacomax
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-10-05
      • 9619

      #3
      More information, BuddyBear.

      What game is it and what bets (i.e. price and monetary value) have you already placed?
      Originally posted by pags11
      SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
      Originally posted by BuddyBear
      I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
      Originally posted by curious
      taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
      Comment
      • rm18
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-20-05
        • 22291

        #4
        I think you are on the right side of the game with the over, but you should look to middle at half time if they score 4 TD's
        Comment
        • kdmfox
          SBR MVP
          • 08-11-05
          • 1743

          #5
          Jeeeeeeeeeezus ... Seems like a lot of work to clear a sure thing small profit, but in this case you outsmarted yourself ... Aren't we gamblers here? ... hehe ... The Fox
          Comment
          • rm18
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-20-05
            • 22291

            #6
            I wouldn't do that, remember you are screwed actually even more if it hits 50 than 51
            Comment
            • BuddyBear
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-10-05
              • 7233

              #7
              Utep/Tulane it starts in less than an hour...BoDog is running it Under 51 (-115)...should I just sign up with them and deposit $330 and end this frustration
              Comment
              • BuddyBear
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-10-05
                • 7233

                #8
                Kmd...i wasn't trying to win $7...i was trying to win $700 if the game landed on exactly 52...the line moved very quickly and then i found out my limit is only $440 even though sides are $1100...

                Advice guys???? Quick!
                Comment
                • rm18
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-20-05
                  • 22291

                  #9
                  are you on the site it is 50 with -110 on both sides for me, but maybe they are profiling? But that would work good, actually you could scalp because you get a 10% bonus, deposit exactly 314, and put all your money on the under if you get that 51 line.
                  Comment
                  • kdmfox
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-11-05
                    • 1743

                    #10
                    Bite the bullet ... We're behind you on whacking the over ... The Fox
                    Comment
                    • BuddyBear
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 7233

                      #11
                      Originally posted by tacomax
                      More information, BuddyBear.

                      What game is it and what bets (i.e. price and monetary value) have you already placed?

                      as of now

                      Over 51 $700/777

                      Under 51 $440/400


                      as you can see it's a $300 loss if i lose...or roughly 4 units from my total bankroll...coversely if i win it's a 4 unit profit

                      Should i just stick with my original bet?

                      Why is it shifting Under so much...anyone know
                      Comment
                      • kdmfox
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-11-05
                        • 1743

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BuddyBear
                        Kmd...i wasn't trying to win $7...i was trying to win $700 if the game landed on exactly 52...the line moved very quickly and then i found out my limit is only $440 even though sides are $1100...

                        Advice guys???? Quick!
                        Ok BB ... I got it ... Seems like hitting the # exact is a longshot to me ... The Fox
                        Comment
                        • BuddyBear
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 7233

                          #13
                          Originally posted by kdmfox
                          Ok BB ... I got it ... Seems like hitting the # exact is a longshot to me ... The Fox

                          It's definitley a long shot...but it happens and it's 0% risk that's what makes it appealing. We've all seen scores like 28-24 and other familiar scores that add up to 52.

                          52 would be nice today!


                          Comment
                          • Todd
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-01-05
                            • 306

                            #14
                            best of luck BuddyBear
                            Comment
                            • tacomax
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 9619

                              #15
                              Yeah, the lines moved quickly on this. I went for arbs on this and got +107 and +109 at Matchbook for UTEP -7 and now the line there is -113.

                              You can buy a point and get under 51 at Sportingbet at -130. Or you can sit it out and pray it doesn't go the wrong way.
                              Originally posted by pags11
                              SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
                              Originally posted by BuddyBear
                              I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
                              Originally posted by curious
                              taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
                              Comment
                              • Doug
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 6324

                                #16
                                SIA often has nice prices on unders, but low limits.
                                Comment
                                • JoshW
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-10-05
                                  • 3431

                                  #17
                                  In general you want to end up with too much on the other side of the bet, not the pin side. Good reason to play the other side first, then worry about pin if you plan to scalp or middle it back. At least then if you can't cover, you likely are holding a good bet, as it now you have the pin side which is usually an overall loser.
                                  Comment
                                  • Max Levine
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-12-05
                                    • 614

                                    #18
                                    I'd wait for half time, as rm18 suggested.

                                    Just my opinion. Good luck.

                                    Max
                                    Comment
                                    • BuddyBear
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 7233

                                      #19
                                      Well i opened up an account at Bodog...what do you guys think go under 51 (-115) or wait to see how things are at halftime and then make a halftime bet?


                                      what's the best course of action here?
                                      Comment
                                      • rm18
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-20-05
                                        • 22291

                                        #20
                                        I think bodog is good, but remember to bet every cent so if you lose the rollover requirement is fullfilled, and you actually will have a scalp on those $300
                                        Comment
                                        • Doug
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 6324

                                          #21
                                          Pray !
                                          Comment
                                          • BuddyBear
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 7233

                                            #22
                                            Okay...i did it and here are the details. Anxiety attack over:

                                            Over 51 (+111 @Pinnacle) $700/$777

                                            Under 51 (-110@SIA) $440/$400
                                            Under 51 (115 @Bodog)$330/$287
                                            _________________________________
                                            Total Amount Risked $770/$687

                                            Now, the catch is i put in only $300 at bodog and got a 10% bonus. So if the game goes over (which I'll be rooting for) then I'll make $777-$740= +$37 profit.

                                            But if it goes under then I'll have lost some money $687-$700 = -$13 and I'll be forced to play at Bodog for a little bit to meet rollover requirements.

                                            I am almost inclined to root for a 27-24 final here. But a $37 profit would be nice out of this whole ordeal. Point of the story is to no your books limits on sides and totals!

                                            Thanks for all the advice guys and good luck with your bets!
                                            Comment
                                            • BuddyBear
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 7233

                                              #23
                                              The real tricky part is managing three books....i have no clue how guys who have 10+ books do it!
                                              Comment
                                              • smoothsuave
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 10-11-05
                                                • 172

                                                #24
                                                Not to be discouraging but the way I see it is that the game starts out 0-0.
                                                Comment
                                                • Doug
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 6324

                                                  #25
                                                  The more books the better ! I use about 10 at a time, but have over 50 total. I use different ones for different seasons.

                                                  I know guys with 50+ funded accounts.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BuddyBear
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-10-05
                                                    • 7233

                                                    #26
                                                    No doubt a lot of advantages with multiple books...but for most us, we are just recreational guys. I have hard time keeping track of all my students' grades so having 10 or 20 books would be near impossible for me.

                                                    But line shopping is a must
                                                    Comment
                                                    • picantel
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-17-05
                                                      • 4338

                                                      #27
                                                      looks like u are safe. 52 in the middle of the 3rd already
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pags11
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 08-18-05
                                                        • 12264

                                                        #28
                                                        nice recovery here...
                                                        Comment
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