Home Run Futures. Feedback.

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  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    Home Run Futures. Feedback.
    Give me your best 10-1 or better odds to lead the league in home runs. Thanks. Early looks include Fielder, Hamilton, Sizemore, and C Pena. Feedback.


    Regular Season Home Run Leader 2009
    Mon 4/6 1:10PM (EST)


    Ryan Howard +350
    Alex Rodriguez +660
    Albert Pujols +700
    Ryan Braun +900
    Prince Fielder +1250
    Carlos Quentin +1250
    Adam Dunn +1600
    Evan Longoria +2000
    Josh Hamilton +2350
    Alfonso Soriano +2500
    Mark Texeira +2500
    Troy Glaus +2500
    Jim Thome +2800
    Adrian Gonzalez +3400
    Carlos Lee +3400
    David Ortiz +3400
    Jermaine Dye +4000
    Manny Ramirez +4000
    Derek Lee +5000
    Ryan Ludwick +5000
    Carlos Pena +5000
    Grady Sizemore +5000
    Lance Berkman +6600
    Carlos Delgado +6600
    Aramis Ramirez +6600
    Hanley Ramirez +6600
    Chris Davis +6600
    Jay Bruce +7500
    Pat Burrell +8000
    Paul Konerko +8000
    Adam Laroche +8000
    Chase Utley +8000
    David Wright +8000
    Jason Bay +8000
    Rick Ankiel +10000
    Jack Cust +10000
    Jason Giambi +10000
    Audrey Huff +10000
    Justn Morneau +10000
    Nick Swisher +10000
    Matt Wieters +10000
    Vladimir Guerrero +12500
    Matt Holliday +12500
    Ian Kinsler +12500
    Carlos Beltran +15000
    Joe Crede +15000
    Brad Hawpe +15000
    Raul Ibanez +15000
    Nick Markakis +15000
    Gary Sheffield +15000
    Jorge Cantu +20000
    Andre Eithier +20000
    JJ Hardy +20000
    Tori Hunter +20000
    Mike Jacobs +20000
    Matt Kemp +20000
    Brian McCann +20000
    Kevin Youklis +20000
    Adrian Beltre +25000
    Mike Cameron +25000
    Nelson Cruz +25000
    JD Drew +25000
    Chipper Jones +25000
    Stephen Drew +30000
  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63172

    #2
    carlos quentin
    Comment
    • Chi_archie
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-22-08
      • 63172

      #3
      ankiel might not be bad either....at that value
      Comment
      • sallysnax8
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-09
        • 1686

        #4
        mat holliday, lance berkman
        Comment
        • VegasDave
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-03-07
          • 8056

          #5
          Fielder hit 50 bombs in '07, and had a distraction filled '08... within reason to believe he could have another big power year this year.
          Comment
          • VegasDave
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-03-07
            • 8056

            #6
            Ortiz and Longoria aren't priced too terribly.
            Comment
            • Willie Bee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-14-06
              • 15726

              #7
              I like Braun and Hamilton at those prices. No way on Sizemore and Fat Elvis (Berkman) won't hit more than 32 this year, got to think 44+ wins it. Howard could repeat, but I like the numbers for Hamilton and Braun.
              Comment
              • fiveteamer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-14-08
                • 10805

                #8
                Pat The Bat will hit a lot playing at Tropicana
                Comment
                • Chi_archie
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-22-08
                  • 63172

                  #9
                  one of these years hanley ramirez is gonna really grow into his body, hit his prime and hit 55... don't think it is this year though...

                  I still like Ankiel here

                  quentin was 1 off the AL lead last year and missed the last 30 games or so..
                  Comment
                  • fiveteamer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-14-08
                    • 10805

                    #10
                    Damn, I would take a shot with Josh Hamilton at +2300.
                    Comment
                    • DFoster
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-02-09
                      • 712

                      #11
                      Hamilton at +2350 is not bad.

                      Best on the board is Chris Davis at +6600.

                      I'd do the Texas trio and fill it out with Nelson Cruz at +25000...
                      Comment
                      • themajormt
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-30-08
                        • 3964

                        #12
                        Tex and Hamilton look nice...
                        Comment
                        • Shortstop
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 01-02-09
                          • 27281

                          #13
                          Aramis Ramirez +6600
                          Comment
                          • seaborneq
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-08-06
                            • 22556

                            #14
                            ARoid must still be juicing to have such low odds after missing a known portion of the season.
                            Comment
                            • Lets_Get_Money
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-10-08
                              • 347

                              #15
                              There Not doing it by leagues?

                              Howard, Barring Injury.

                              Manny has real good value, I can see him having 40+ HR in the NL
                              Comment
                              • BeatTheJerk
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-19-07
                                • 31794

                                #16
                                Adrian Gonzalez +3400 I'm guessing he will hit 53 hr's to lead all .....................
                                Comment
                                • Chi_archie
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-22-08
                                  • 63172

                                  #17
                                  does he not play in petco anymore???
                                  Comment
                                  • BeatTheJerk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-19-07
                                    • 31794

                                    #18
                                    36 on the rd and 17 at Petco
                                    Comment
                                    • seaborneq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-06
                                      • 22556

                                      #19
                                      Just noticed no Miguel Cabrera, just an oversite? Or is he done?
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #20
                                        Everyone will be on Howard, he is clear cut fav and hammering thew ball in pre season
                                        Comment
                                        • seaborneq
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-08-06
                                          • 22556

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jjgold
                                          Everyone will be on Howard, he is clear cut fav and hammering thew ball in pre season

                                          There is no value on R Howard though JJ. This is about value, not facts.
                                          Comment
                                          • VegasDave
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-03-07
                                            • 8056

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by seaborneq
                                            There is no value on R Howard though JJ. This is about value, not facts.
                                            Depends on how you define value.

                                            If this 2009 season were played out 100 times, do you believe Ryan Howard would win the HR title 23+ times?

                                            If your answer is yes, then there IS value here.
                                            Comment
                                            • seaborneq
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-06
                                              • 22556

                                              #23
                                              I don't think Howard is a value if he would lead the league 50+ times out of 100. Too risky at such low odds.
                                              Comment
                                              • Chi_archie
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-22-08
                                                • 63172

                                                #24
                                                I wouldn't call that value ever at that low of odds... because what are the odds of him getting hurt and missing 50-100 abs? the equivalent of 12-25 games? +500?
                                                Comment
                                                • Chi_archie
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-22-08
                                                  • 63172

                                                  #25
                                                  thus far he's been pretty durable... but outside of cal ripken and a handful of others how many everyday playing stars... go without at least one DL stint at some point every 4-5 years?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • VegasDave
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-03-07
                                                    • 8056

                                                    #26
                                                    I'm not saying I would bet it either, the risk is too high for the reward. I'm just saying I don't think +350 is all that unfair of a number.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Chi_archie
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-22-08
                                                      • 63172

                                                      #27
                                                      gotcha Dave...

                                                      give me wilson Betemit
                                                      Comment
                                                      • seaborneq
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 09-08-06
                                                        • 22556

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                        gotcha Dave...

                                                        give me wilson Betemit
                                                        you are a funny guy
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Chi_archie
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-22-08
                                                          • 63172

                                                          #29
                                                          what betemit has 6 tators this spring... guy is juicing
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pat venditto
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-07-07
                                                            • 14347

                                                            #30
                                                            This has to be a joke

                                                            Jim Thome +2800

                                                            Guy is homerun or nothing guy could easily hit 50-55 homers in a season if he ges hot.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Chi_archie
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-22-08
                                                              • 63172

                                                              #31
                                                              Patty let me book that Jim thome future action for ya...before ya go elsewhere...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • seaborneq
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-08-06
                                                                • 22556

                                                                #32
                                                                I like Miggy Cabrera, but no odds.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SportsChic
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-11-09
                                                                  • 1161

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Id go with either Holliday, Huff, or Konerko this year
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fischnasty
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-10-09
                                                                    • 1931

                                                                    #34
                                                                    richie sexson
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Shortstop
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 01-02-09
                                                                      • 27281

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Anyone with the last name "Ramirez"


                                                                      (Manny, Hanley, Aramis, etc.)
                                                                      Comment
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