Fight Night 18 [April 01]
I'm taking
CARMELO MERRERO (+350)
over
RYAN BADER
FIGHT NIGHT 18: CONDIT vs KAMPMANN
APRIL 1st, 2009
I don't think BADER is as badass as everyone thinks.
WILSON GOUVEIA defeated MERRERO on a 3rd round submission... but GOUVEIA is solid! He went three rounds with NATE MARQUARDT, who is better than all fighters described here IMO.
BADER hasn't got it. If BADER wins this fight it will have to be by a quick KO. BADER will not out-grapple MERRERO. The public thinks this guy is so good-- I'm not convinced. BADER hasn't proved himself to me yet, and I think the public's idea of this guy is why the lines so high. -550 is crazy! At best BADER should be -2 something simply because MERRERO has gotten beat twice on the big UFC stage...
This fight will go all three rounds.
MERRERO BY DECISION
Also on the agenda;
MARTIN KAMPMANN (-105)
def
CARLOS CONDIT
CONDIT, (23-4) has an impressive record...of independent fighters of which I'm not aware/impressed.
KAMPMANN to KO CONDIT in R1
(NO PLAY- possible fade)
COLE MILLER (-115)
def
JULIE BROWNING
(NO PLAY)
TYSON GRIFFIN (-350)
def
RAFAEL DOS ANJOS
Notes;
CARMELLO may win by KO or SUBMISSION.
GRIFFIN is a NO PLAY because I just don't like backing him, and it's not worthwhile for me. ANJOS seems to be going down a bad stretch in his career. I see him losing. Staying away!
Do not tail me if you can't afford to pay the piper if sh!t goes south. Sh!t happens. Capping/projecting is hard, heckling and b!tching is easy, so f!ck off!!!