Flyers -110 @Buffalo?

**element1286** · 03-20-09, 12:04 PM

Eh, The Flyers haven't played well as of late. Biron is a below average starter, but he has been playing well lately, so that is an advantage. But the Flyers are mediocre at best on the road, and their pk and pp are competely different away from Philly. If I had to pick a side it would be Philly, but I think the line is accurate.

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by element1286

Eh, The Flyers haven't played well as of late. Biron is a below average starter, but he has been playing well lately, so that is an advantage. But the Flyers are mediocre at best on the road, and their pk and pp are competely different away from Philly. If I had to pick a side it would be Philly, but I think the line is accurate.

I wouldn't argue those points about Philly vs another team, but this Flyers team has beaten Buffalo by a minimum 3 goals each time they have met so far this season and are going for the series sweep.

I've seen alot more of the Sabres than I have the Flyers this year and I'm quite confident Philly gets the W tonight.

Buffalo has lost four of five, including a 5-2 loss to the Flyers on March 10. The other three losses have been against non-playoff teams, the latest 4-2 at Ottawa on Tuesday after the Sabres led 2-0 after one period.

Buffalo had 13 shots in the game - seven after the second period - a performance that left coach Lindy Ruff fuming.

"I'm very embarrassed. Embarrassed for our fans, embarrassed for how we played the last forty minutes," Ruff said. "It's not acceptable this time of year."

The Sabres' play against Philadelphia thus far this season hasn't made Ruff feel any better. Buffalo has lost its three meetings with the Flyers by three goals apiece, allowing 14 total.

Philadelphia has an NHL-best six 20-goal scorers, but Buffalo gets much of its scoring from two players - Thomas Vanek and Derek Roy. The two have combined for 59 goals, but they've only totaled three in the team's last six games

**element1286** · 03-20-09, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by betplom

I wouldn't argue those points about Philly vs another team, but this Flyers team has beaten Buffalo by a minimum 3 goals each time they have met so far this season and are going for the series sweep.

I've seen alot more of the Sabres than I have the Flyers this year and I'm quite confident Philly gets the W tonight.

The Sabres certainly look like they are on the brink of giving up on the season. Losing Ryan Miller was just too much to overcome.

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 12:13 PM

Line opened Flyers -111 at Pinny, I bet it at opening at Cris -110, as I watch the SBR Odds change Flyers dropped to -105 then just now moved back to -110 at Pinny.

As I finished typing my message I see Philly moved to -103 at Pinny & +100 at Matchbook, still -110 -115 everywhere else.

**DwightShrute** · 03-20-09, 12:20 PM

It's has all the makings of a FLYERS win, going for the season sweep, No miller for Buffalo and on the road for Philly. Should be easy $ philly -110

Buffalo 7 -5

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 12:22 PM

Dwight, are you near Buffalo?

**sickler** · 03-20-09, 12:25 PM

Only thing that would scare me away from making that bet is the Sabres home record. Different team at home.

**DwightShrute** · 03-20-09, 12:25 PM

not even close to Buffalo.

Sabres need this win bad, Ruff chewed them out after last game. look for them to come out huge especially in the first period! Take the over 1P!

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by sickler

Only thing that would scare me away from making that bet is the Sabres home record. Different team at home.

Home record is misleading at this stage of the season, Flyers still beat Buff in Buff 3-0 last time there.

What I see is a nosediving Sabres team without its top goalie and whos top two scorers aren't producing, home record, must win etc. etc. meaningless as far as tonights game is concerned.

The play is Philly -110, definitely the right side.

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

not even close to Buffalo.

Sabres need this win bad, Ruff chewed them out after last game. look for them to come out huge especially in the first period! Take the over 1P!

Sabres do need this win bad, but needing it won't mean they get it.

Think of how the Sabres players feel The Sabres have gone 3-4-2 without Miller, so now they have must win games with Lalime in goal and even though the chances are slim they make the playoffs who will they beat without Miller in the post season? Yeah I know Miller thinks he'll return before the playoffs, but not likely at 100%.

The Sabres are showing all the signs of a team without hope, I could not bet on them without Miller starting in goal.

Lindy Ruff can chew out his team as much as he likes, Sabres haven't been good enough all season to beat the Flyers but somehow that will magically change tonight with the backup goaltender and a slumping offence.

Go Flyers.

**sickler** · 03-20-09, 01:21 PM

Don't do it, Plommer!

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by sickler

Don't do it, Plommer!

Thanks for the warning -110 is no trap.

Plus, I'm too fast to get caught in it.

**pocketlint** · 03-20-09, 03:01 PM

Lotta Loot On Buffalo Tonight.

I see a BUFF win from a mile.

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by pocketlint

Lotta Loot On Buffalo Tonight.

I see a BUFF win from a mile.

You believe Buffalo will win because of "lotta loot" on them?

Sorry, somehow that logic doesn't mean much, or make much sense.

I've given multiple reasons for liking the Flyers tonight, there hasn't been one valid argument in support of Buffalo.

**PapaGeorge** · 03-20-09, 03:18 PM

flyers will win....exect buffalo to come out strong and expect the flys to just play moderately...then come the 3rd perid the flyguys will clean the ice with buffalo blood....fyers are a dangerous3rd perod team...kinda like the red wings...flyers -110...i expected ii to be at least..-150

**pocketlint** · 03-20-09, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by betplom

You believe Buffalo will win because of "lotta loot" on them?

Sorry, somehow that logic doesn't mean much, or make much sense.

I've given multiple reasons for liking the Flyers tonight, there hasn't been one valid argument in support of Buffalo.

Well I agree with most of what you've said.

Some days you reason and rationalize. You even try to garner other people's interests to your wagering lines.

But some days you just know. You share the same. You sit quietly.

I guess tonight is one of those nights when a team's performance (or non-performance defies all reason and speculation).

No under-wraps news of some player's hair-line fracture in his thigh bone. No little known news of the team plane having to be de-iced for hours which delayed their arrival which meant lost sleep. None of that.

Everything looks fine until it doesnt and the favorite just under-performs.It just happens.

Anyone who has followed a seasons worth of hockey knows there are those games where a quiet Columbus slams a roaring Det or a relaxed Nash whoops an SJ.

No one really sees those games coming. Some , who are lucky, just wager a 100 or two on the dog and wait to see their dog win in great fashion(only to loathe why they hadnt placed more on the same dog

)

This is something like that.

**PapaGeorge** · 03-20-09, 03:21 PM

o and also...briere is gettin bumped up with carters line and pushing lupul down to 4th line....they r slowly moving him up intoplay for th playoffs.....expect briere to come out scoring agaist his former team

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 05:33 PM

I'm not usually superstitous but I bet the Flyers at DSI, a book that has never had to send me a payout since I opened an account with them 6 months ago.

I need my DSI jinx to end tonight, a Flyer win and I can ask for a payout.

I had a similar experience with 5Dimes, lost for 4 months or so, then went on a tear and got back my losses plus a profit, I only realized this yesterday when 5Dimes declined to give me a reload deposit bonus saying they only give out bonuses to players that are down money with the book, well I am down plenty at DSI and they had no problem giving me my 20% Friday reload bonus.

**DwightShrute** · 03-20-09, 05:43 PM

2-2 after the 1st

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

2-2 after the 1st

You must be watching the game in advance of everyone else, puck drops at 7:35 PM.

**DwightShrute** · 03-20-09, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by betplom

You must be watching the game in advance of everyone else, puck drops at 7:35 PM.

lol, ok more specifically... that is what I predict

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 06:13 PM

Flyers -105 Buffalo -115 at DSI right now.

**pocketlint** · 03-20-09, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by betplom

I'm not usually superstitous but I bet the Flyers at DSI, a book that has never had to send me a payout since I opened an account with them 6 months ago.

hehehe

funny.

good luck tonight.

although i bet on the sabs

**DwightShrute** · 03-20-09, 06:56 PM

come on Buffalo - watch it online

**DwightShrute** · 03-20-09, 07:08 PM

what a great game! back and forth , chances at both ends! can't believe it's scoreless!

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by DwightShrute

what a great game! back and forth , chances at both ends! can't believe it's scoreless!

1-0 Philly

Could have been 2-0.

No doubt who the better goalie is.

**betplom** · 03-20-09, 09:14 PM

6-4 final Philly wins.
Buffalo scored with 1 second left in the third to make it a two goal game.

Deja vu all over again, some nights its too easy.

I thought I'd get the best line at -110 but could have got -105 just before game started.

Buffalo in trouble.

**PapaGeorge** · 03-21-09, 11:18 AM

i tod all u guys

**betplom** · 03-21-09, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by PapaGeorge

i tod all u guys

Yes, yes you did, you started this thread and it was your writeup that convinced me to bet a dime on the Flyers, thanks pal.

Oh, and your real posting handle is betplom.