The Official "I'm Smarter Than Everyone" System

sickler · 03-17-09, 06:01 PM

What's the system?

Only pattern I see from today's card are ML dogs and hockey unders.

Fiasco · 03-17-09, 06:09 PM

I don't wanna go into too much depth but it is essentially being on the books side of things... with a few filters and all.

therefore when I lose, I know the bookies also lose... (or I can at least tell myself that, I don't get the vig they get...)

I'm fading the general public to a certain extent (hence the title)

It produces a lot of dogs and unders because public likes to bet a lot of fav's and overs...
went 2-0 last night in hockey though (on dogs) Tonight a few plays in hockey I filtered out... I don't expect to have that success every night though...

Fiasco · 03-17-09, 11:59 PM

Day 1 Results

so im zach · 03-18-09, 12:30 AM

Good job, Fiasco.

I was on Lakers/76ers UNDER, too. Was blown away when I saw 90% were on OVER.

Fiasco · 03-18-09, 06:03 PM

thanks zach

that total was too easy with the heavy action (same situation with citadel tonight but I can't find the game listed...)

anyways, todays card
hopefully it will be just as strong (filtered out quite a bit today, however I still have a huge card)

Day 2

Arilou · 03-18-09, 07:16 PM

To be fair, if the system is "I'm smarter than you" then if you explain it the system would stop working!

Fiasco · 03-18-09, 08:18 PM

I haven't explained it arilou...

all I said is I like to be against the public

Fiasco · 03-18-09, 11:47 PM

Day 2 Results: 16-10 +8 units

Fiasco · 03-19-09, 04:45 PM

Day 3:

alukk · 03-19-09, 08:36 PM

ur doing great. keep it going

Fiasco · 03-20-09, 12:29 AM

got raped today

Day 3 Results: 7-13 -8.15 units

dwest718 · 03-20-09, 12:36 AM

Looks like we use a very similar setup... I just stay the f*** away from NHL because I know nothing about hockey

. I've also stayed away from totals for the most part unless they're incredibly egregious because I don't feel like I have as big an edge.

I play a lot of big chalk MLs too using a similar system ... I actually made money today even though i went 5-8.

Cassidy · 03-20-09, 08:10 AM

where you get the data for selecting the plays, sportsinsights?

so im zach · 03-20-09, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by Cassidy

where you get the data for selecting the plays, sportsinsights?

Game Center

http://pregame.com/EN/main/sports-betting-stats/sportsbook-spy-insights/

Game Center

Cassidy · 03-20-09, 08:39 AM

Do you think this data may be fixed by the bookies? after all this info about money and %'s comes right from them

What if those supossed info pages are owned by the bookies?

Fiasco · 03-20-09, 08:55 AM

Originally posted by Cassidy

Do you think this data may be fixed by the bookies? after all this info about money and %'s comes right from them

What if those supossed info pages are owned by the bookies?

it isn't...

they don't gain that much by telling you this info, and the info is available several places (where you can pay and all)

Cassidy · 03-20-09, 09:36 AM

I say it bc if this system had a proof sucess overtime, lots of people would be well aware of that, so therefore bookies too.

dwest718 · 03-20-09, 09:57 AM

Originally posted by Cassidy

I say it bc if this system had a proof sucess overtime, lots of people would be well aware of that, so therefore bookies too.

Several people I know have made this argument to me as well. The fact of the matter is the general public is stupid and incredibly -EV when gambling... so books can afford to lose a little bit of money to a small group of gamblers and make a ton of the squares who bet $1000 a game.

Fiasco · 03-26-09, 05:54 PM

Took the week off pretty much.

Been busy with exams and whatnot:

Day 4:

Scully · 03-26-09, 08:08 PM

Not sure about tailing your selections but I'd certainly love to tail that sweet lookin' lass in your avatar.
Hmmm-hmm!

pico · 03-26-09, 08:15 PM

good job fiasco. you should make a system for mlb too. that is my game

Fiasco · 03-26-09, 11:23 PM

Pico- I'm going to develop a model for MLB in the early parts of may probably.

Use the first month of stats to get a feel of things.

Oh and I can't believe Duke... They played as bad as I've seen them play this year.

Day 4 Results:

Fiasco · 03-29-09, 09:08 AM

Spent quite a bit of time looking at the numbers of todays game...

they obviously point louisville (but only in the 2h)

I expect a 37-34 type score at the half and a final at 69-64 ish...

(also could see the upper 20s score at the half and score not getting out of the 50s for the game, as well as a upper 30s for the half and 80-65 blowout in the 2nd for louisville)

Under 137.5 is a pure public fade and the over for the half are backed by my numbers models... (which also happen to show under for the game in 3 of the 4 with the fourth being right on the 138)

plus I like to play with fire and burn.

Day 5:

Fiasco · 03-30-09, 06:19 PM

Day 6:

Fiasco · 03-30-09, 11:33 PM

Day 6 Results:

mixpicks · 03-31-09, 01:50 PM

Easy, Sihn Up For sportsinsights (Premium Pro) Membership, and Play The Square Plays [Big Dogs] then play the smart money in Green, use a couple "Fiters" Like If the Smart Money play is also a "Steam" and Square Play it, and If there is RLM that makes it even Better. All this will have you opposite of Public IMO is a REAL GOOD THING.
BOL and don't forget to play the Big +325 NHL Dog Tonight... last thing, Funny How Last Night 98% On NJ (NHL & NBA) and They don't even get a Goal and NETS get BLOWN RIGHT OUT!.. Now That's WHat You Call a "SQUARE PLAYs"

mixpicks · 03-31-09, 01:56 PM

There's good stuff again tonight, so "Do Your Home Work" guys...
It Will Not Win Every Night (of course) But my advice stick with it, day in day out,
(Don't get me wrong) ones shouldn't and dosn't have to play Every Day. Be a Book, Not a Gamblers, Take The Action. and don't forget $$$Managment... have enough, JP will get there wins, know when to join them.

Fiasco · 03-31-09, 08:27 PM

Was in class until late tonight and couldn't get my bobcats play in which sucks because it won but oh well...

Only plays today are the late games (because I'm just now able to make my bets)

and mix, sports insights is good if you pay and all but what my system is free.

Day 7: (Can't get the image thing to work tonight)

Ducks / Oilers Under 5.5
Dallas Stars ML +130
Hornets ML -250

Fiasco · 04-02-09, 06:28 PM

Only NHL tonight (have 1 nba play that I may add for the late game later, haven't decided yet)

Day 8:

Fiasco · 04-03-09, 06:04 PM

Brutal day yesterday, should have much better results tonight...

I absolutely love tampa bay lightning over 2 goals tonight but it isn't a system play so I'm not documenting it...

Day 9:

Fiasco · 04-04-09, 08:09 PM

Hit my prop that I loved last night (but not recorded) and I love 2 more tonight...

How many times will former Villanova coach and 1985 National Champion Roland "Rollie" Massimino be shown on TV during the Villanova vs North Carolina Final Four Game?
All wagers have action. Roland Massimino must be shown live on TV in the stands of the game to count towards wager.

OVER 3.5

as well as UNC total team points under 40 for the first half.

I see them both scoring low 30s 1h...

Day 10: (Picture won't show up)

Nova 1h +4
Nova +8 game
Nova Under 162 game
Ducks +1.5
Oilers +1.5
Oilers +110 ML
Phoenix Coyotes ML +125

pico · 04-04-09, 08:22 PM

fiasco on nova. a lot gamblers put their mom;s house on unc ml. gl luck.

Fiasco · 04-06-09, 05:52 PM

I didn't think I was going to include Baseball into this system but I used it last night (atlanta) and today with Pitt and Baltimore and it appears I will have the same results as with basketball and hockey.

the only sport I am down 100 plays in is college basketball and that comes to an end tonight so hopefully so does the losing. I've included the props into spreadsheet that I am playing because I feel they go along with my final game bet, and truly feel it is impossible for UNC to play like they have this month...

I am a unc fan though so either way I will be happy tonight.

Day 11:

Fiasco · 04-09-09, 05:03 PM

Lost over 13 units last time out... first time system has hit the red, let us hope it isn't permanent

Disaster is the only way to spell it. I thought I had a read on the Mich St Unc game and I paid heavily for it...

baseball didn't start as I would have liked either but I'll be back on it this weekend...

Tonight 1 nba and a bunch of nhl totals plays... 1 big dog

Also adding a prop I love in the nhl tonight of under 63.5 total goals (salami)

Day 12: First day in the read