Question about March Madness?

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #1
    Question about March Madness?
    I never really bet the NCAA Tourny last year but I was wondering if teams like Utah always get undervalued when they play teams from major conferences. Lot of line movement as well. Does this keep going until tip or does it eventually peak?
  • onthewhat
    Restricted User
    • 05-14-08
    • 15411

    #2
    just cap the games like you would a non conference game on a neutral floor

    the pre conference tournaments for example
    Comment
    • Fiasco
      SBR MVP
      • 11-02-08
      • 2406

      #3
      all I remember about the tournament last year was that it was the first time I bet it and i got screwed on memphis and on unc (both to the hands of kansas)

      I had large portions of my roll on those games...

      stupid
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #4
        yeah thats the best way I think to go about it Herman. Just wondering how often the lines move. Seems like the lines were going every which way for a while. Just wondered how much of that money was smart money
        Comment
        • onthewhat
          Restricted User
          • 05-14-08
          • 15411

          #5
          I would follow the early movement and not late movement. Late movement the public will be over teams like Arizona in matchups like that.
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #6
            thats what I thought, early movement is almost always sharp money IMO
            Comment
            • frostno98
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-11-07
              • 9769

              #7
              Many of the favorites unusually cover many of the games last year, expect Vegas to do a better job with the dogs. Vegas gave the dogs too much respect last year. Dogs that do cover against a #3 or #4 usually wins straight up moneyline. The #4 seed is where the biggest upsets will likely happen by at least two teams, while the #3 is not very common, #2 rare, #1 never happened.
              Comment
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