Having fun and keeping track (all sports)

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  • Yazworm91
    SBR MVP
    • 03-01-13
    • 2397

    #736
    P181: Air Force +9.5 -105. 1.05 units to win 1.
    Comment
    • Yazworm91
      SBR MVP
      • 03-01-13
      • 2397

      #737
      Updating from Thursday/Friday. Was really hoping Sparta Prague could have put one in late. They really wanted that game against Napoli since they lost to them previously.

      P177: Sparta Prague loss -1 unit
      P178: Rijeka win +1.01 units
      P179: Aab/Steaua loss FREE PLAY
      P180: Melbourne Vic/Adelaide o2.5 win +2 units
      P181: Air Force win +1 unit.

      November 80-95-4 -5.44 units

      Overall 360-382-10 -31.95 units
      Comment
      • Yazworm91
        SBR MVP
        • 03-01-13
        • 2397

        #738
        Saturday

        P182: Derby County -105. 1.57 units to win 1.5

        Derby County at Leeds United

        Derby is coming off some strong victories recently on the road 4W-0D-1L in league play and 5-2-2 away for the season in Championship League play. While Leeds is 4-3-2 at home this season with an impressive 1-0 victory against Middlesbrough at the beginning of the season they are 1-3-1 in their last 5 home games in Championship play. That one victory against Blackpool who is ranked last in league play. Derby is 3-1-0 on the road against Leeds since 2010. Derby will be looking to stay three points ahead in the standings since both AFC Bournemouth and Middlesbrough have home games tomorrow. I wanted to make this a two unit play but with the recent draws for Leeds and them only being three points ahead from next to last place in the standings I know a draw would be like a victory for them.
        Comment
        • benjy
          SBR MVP
          • 02-19-09
          • 2158

          #739
          Originally posted by Yazworm91
          I'm playing quantity over quality. I've made 174 posted plays in 26 days, I've talked about plays I didn't post or wasn't able to is let's round that up to say 185 plays. That's 7+ bets a day. Way too many. No way I can confidently cap 7+ games a day. My results speak to that lack of success. I should be averaging about 2 games a day. Max of 3 like when I first started this thread and was successful. I have to get back to that or my bankroll will be gone in no time with these results.
          This may well be true. Alternatively, you may just be better at capping certain sports, focusing your capping time on a smaller number of games or a combination of factors.

          You've got the records; might be illuminating to break down your results.
          Comment
          • Yazworm91
            SBR MVP
            • 03-01-13
            • 2397

            #740
            P183: Temple +7 +100. 1 unit to win 1.
            Comment
            • Yazworm91
              SBR MVP
              • 03-01-13
              • 2397

              #741
              P184: USC -5.5 -105. 1.05 units to win 1.
              Comment
              • Yazworm91
                SBR MVP
                • 03-01-13
                • 2397

                #742
                P185: Rutgers +18.5 -110. 1.10 units to win 1.


                P186: Colorado St -4 -108. 1.08 units to win 1.
                Comment
                • Yazworm91
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-01-13
                  • 2397

                  #743
                  The last 15 minutes of the Rutgers game was an absolute joke. Rutgers scored with 15:42 left in the game and only scored 2 more points the rest of the game.
                  Comment
                  • Yazworm91
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-01-13
                    • 2397

                    #744
                    Originally posted by benjy
                    This may well be true. Alternatively, you may just be better at capping certain sports, focusing your capping time on a smaller number of games or a combination of factors.

                    You've got the records; might be illuminating to break down your results.
                    yea I think when I get some time over the next few weeks I will break it down.
                    Comment
                    • Yazworm91
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-01-13
                      • 2397

                      #745
                      I'll update tomorrow. Both basketball games especially the Rutgers game were just crappy losses. It happens though.

                      Sunday Nov 30

                      P187: (German Bundesliga) Wolfsburg +103. 1 unit to win 1.03.

                      P188: (Italian Serie A) Juventus -1.5 -117. 1.17 units to win 1.
                      Comment
                      • Yazworm91
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-01-13
                        • 2397

                        #746
                        P189: Titans/texans o43 -102. 1.02 units to win 1.

                        P190: Minnesota Vikings -133. 1.33 units to win 1.
                        Comment
                        • Yazworm91
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-01-13
                          • 2397

                          #747
                          P191: Chicago Bulls -2.5 -107. 1.07 units to win 1.

                          P192: Marquette +2.5 -105. 1.05 units to win 1.
                          Comment
                          • Yazworm91
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-01-13
                            • 2397

                            #748
                            P193: Ga Tech +3 -115. 1.15 units to win 1.
                            Comment
                            • Yazworm91
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-01-13
                              • 2397

                              #749
                              Good day good day I must say. Made up for the close losses on Saturday. Let's update.

                              Saturday
                              P182: Derby County loss -1.57 units
                              P183: Temple loss -1 unit
                              P184: USC win +1 unit
                              P185: Rutgers loss -1.10 units
                              P186: Colorado St loss -1.08 units

                              Sunday

                              P187: Wolfsburg win +1.03 units
                              P188: Juventus loss -1.17 units
                              P189: Titans/texans o43 win +1 unit
                              P190: Minnesota win +1 unit
                              P191: Chicago win +1 unit
                              P192: Marquette win +1 unit
                              P193: Ga Tech win +1 unit

                              November 87-100-4 -4.33 units

                              Overall 367-387-10 -30.84 units


                              Ok, so I'm missing 2 games off my November record somehow. I'll back track eventually and look. For being 13 games under but only losing 4.33 units I can't complain. College basketball has started which I love college basketball. I will say I start strong in college ball. Non conference I've done better over the years. I started getting better in conference games last year. Here's to 4 glorious months of college ball.

                              December!! I'm trying to get into more write ups but time and I don't feel like I bet enough to write a ton. And I only have a few people come in here occasionally lol. But I'm trying to be selective. I'm trying to go back to one game at a time or time slot but I can't make that promise.

                              Here is to a strong December for everyone
                              Comment
                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-07-13
                                • 8803

                                #750
                                I like that you are still posting and keeping track. Honestly, this is very admirable.

                                Best of luck man, get yourself back into the black!!
                                Comment
                                • Yazworm91
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-01-13
                                  • 2397

                                  #751
                                  December 1st


                                  I found about 6 games I was looking at that intrigued me tomorrow in soccer. Ill post the ones I looked at and also the ones I'm taking. A couple I might try to catch live before I go to work if I can.


                                  The three that stick out to me the most


                                  German Bundesliga 2 - Eintracht Braunschweig +106 hosting Nürnberg

                                  Braunschweig are coming into this match on an impressive 5 game winning streak looking to make it 6. Sitting on a 4-1-1 home record in league play while Nürnberg comes in sporting a 1-1-5 record on the road in league play so far this season. Last years meeting at Braunschweig ended in a 1-1 draw but Braunschweig dominated the match with 55/45 possession and 23 shots to only 9 for Nürnberg. At their current form I see them capitalizing on those opportunities tomorrow. I like this for a 2 unit play.

                                  P1: Eintracht Braunschweig +106. 2 units to win 2.12.


                                  Romania Liga - Steaua Bucuresti -130 at Botosani

                                  Steaua comes back from a late week Europa League match that they were favored in and came home with a loss 1-0 where they outshot their opponents 19-6. Back on the road for a 2nd of 3 consecutive road matches. Steaua is 6-0-1 on the road in league play so far this season. This is only their 3rd head to head meeting with Steaua winning both the previous two matches. Botosani is 4-1-2 at home in league play so far with a most recent loss at home to CFR Cluj who is currently 2nd in the league behind Steaua. I see this being a low scoring game. Steaua has only allowed 4 goals on the road so far this season. I like the u2.5 as well but it's being juiced too much at -129. I see the final score 1-0 Steaua. Be wary of the late goal by Botosani 25% of their goals come in 75-90' min. This is why I'm only making this a 1 unit play.

                                  P2: Steaua Bucuresti -130. 1.30 units to win 1.


                                  Spain La Liga - Rayo Vallecano pk +115 at Almería and u2.5 goals -102

                                  Rayo comes into this match 2-0-3 in their last 5 matches. They are 2-1-3 on the road this season those 3 losses came against 3 of the top 7 teams in league play Villarreal, Málaga, and Real Madrid. While Almería comes in 0-3-3 at home in league play. Some of those loses have have also been to top tier teams. In their 3 head to head with Rayo as the away team they have totaled 7 goals. A draw is a strong possibility in this match as well that's why I'm going with the pk. The numbers point to a low scoring game 1-0 or 1-1 type game.

                                  P3: Rayo Vallecano pk +115. 1 unit to win 1.15.

                                  P4: Rayo/Almería u2.5 goals -102. 1.02 units to win 1.


                                  The other matches I looked at but passed on for now mostly because juice

                                  Ukraine - Dnipro/Metalurg o2.5 goals -122. (Possible live bet)
                                  Italy - Sampdoria +.5 -130
                                  Denmark - Midjyt/Vest o2.5 goals -137 (Possible live bet)


                                  Good luck today guys
                                  Comment
                                  • Yazworm91
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-01-13
                                    • 2397

                                    #752
                                    Bam Bam!! Great start to the month. Let's recap.

                                    P1: Eintracht Braunschweig win +2.12 units
                                    P2: Steaua Bucuresti win +1 unit
                                    P3: Rayo Vallecano win +1.15 units
                                    P4: Rayo/Almeria u2.5 win +1 unit

                                    December 4-0 +5.27 units

                                    Overall 371-387-10 -25.57 units
                                    Comment
                                    • Yazworm91
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-01-13
                                      • 2397

                                      #753
                                      I only see one play I like for tomorrow.

                                      France Ligue 1 - Olympique Marseille -107 at Lorient

                                      First thing first Marseille is 0-3 on their last 3 away games in all competitions. That competition was also the 2nd, 3rd and 6th place teams in league play. Lorient is not PSG or Lyonnais. Let's go to the numbers. Marseille is 4-1-2 on the road in league play this season. In those 4 wins they averaged 2.75 goals per match while allowing only .5 a goal average for the opponents. Marseille is 6-2-2 lifetime on the road against Lorient and their last match in Lorient resulted in a 2-0 victory. Gignac the top scorer for Marseille was sidelined with an injury for that meeting but will be completely healthy for tomorrow's match with 11 goals scored so far in league play.
                                      Lorient comes into the match 2-0-3 in the last 5 matches but riding a 2 game win streak. They are 2-1-4 at home in league play for the season. In their 4 homes losses they only scored 1 goal and were shutout in the other 3 matches. I look for Marseille to bounce back with a 0-1, 0-2 victory tomorrow.

                                      P5: Olympique Marseille -107. 1.07 units to win 1.


                                      I am waiting on a total for the Real Madrid match. I will take a look at that when their is a line posted.

                                      Good Luck on your plays tomorrow!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Yazworm91
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-01-13
                                        • 2397

                                        #754
                                        Dang Marseille outshot them 17-11 with 10 shots on target. Regardless.

                                        Toronto at Sacramento +3 -105

                                        Cousins has been out the last 2 games with a stomach virus. He looks to return tonight. They will be very glad to have him back in the starting lineup. Toronto comes in on a 2 game skid without their leading scorer. This is the 2nd game of their 3 game west coast road trip. Then line started out at pk and has moved to +3. I like the home dog tonight.

                                        P6: Sacramento Kings +3 -105. 1.05 units to win 1.
                                        Comment
                                        • Yazworm91
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-01-13
                                          • 2397

                                          #755
                                          I'll update record tomorrow. I've got a long day tomorrow. I have 3 games I already took. I like a few others and some college bball I like. No write up because time constraints.

                                          P7: (Greece Super League) Veria/Atromitos u2.5 goals -104. 1.04 units to win 1.

                                          P8: (Greece Super League) PAOK/Olympiakos o2.5 goals -115. 1.15 units to win 1.

                                          P9: (Swiss Super League) Young Boys +195. 1 unit to win 1.95.


                                          The other games I'm looking at are

                                          Belgium Cup
                                          Kortrijk +.5 -103
                                          Lokeren +.5 -106

                                          EPL
                                          ManC -1.5 +146

                                          College Bball
                                          Cleveland St -3
                                          Maryland +5

                                          Good luck tomorrow everyone. I'll post any extra games I add.
                                          Comment
                                          • Yazworm91
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-01-13
                                            • 2397

                                            #756
                                            P10: Cleveland St -2.5 -103. 1.03 units to win 1.
                                            Comment
                                            • Yazworm91
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-01-13
                                              • 2397

                                              #757
                                              Well I knew I should have stopped with just my soccer bets. I got greedy. Let's recap the last 2 days.

                                              P5: Marseille loss -1.07 units
                                              P6: Sacramento loss -1.05 units
                                              P7: Veria/Atromitos u2.5 win +1 unit
                                              P8: Paok/Olympiakos o2.5 win +1 unit
                                              P9: Young Boys win +1.95 units
                                              P10: Cleveland St loss -1.03 units

                                              December 7-3 +6.12 units

                                              Overall 374-390-10 -24.75 units
                                              Comment
                                              • Yazworm91
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-01-13
                                                • 2397

                                                #758
                                                Let's start Thursday early.

                                                No write up for this.

                                                P11: (Australia A League) Sydney +121. .50 unit to win .60



                                                ​I'll post anything else I have for tomorrow in awhile
                                                Comment
                                                • Yazworm91
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-01-13
                                                  • 2397

                                                  #759
                                                  Well the two other games I looked at were too juiced. Both would've won. Regardless I feel I made the right move laying off today.

                                                  P11: Sydney loss -.50 unit

                                                  December 7-4 +5.62 units

                                                  Overall 374-391-10 -25.25 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Yazworm91
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-01-13
                                                    • 2397

                                                    #760
                                                    Only saw 2 matches that I really liked tomorrow. Let's talk about them.

                                                    Belgium Pro League - Waasland Beveren at Westerlo o2.5 -104

                                                    In 8 homes matches for Westerlo so far this season they are averaging 2 g/gm while conceding 1.5 g/gm. In 9 matches on the road for Waasland they are averaging 1.11 g/gm while conceding 2.22 g/gm. In their 2 previous meetings at Westerlo they have averaged 4 goals per match.

                                                    P12: (Belgium Pro League) Waasland Beveren/Westerlo o2.5 goals -104. 1.04 units to win 1.



                                                    German Bundesliga 2 - Aalen at Heidenheim -122

                                                    Heidenheim is 3-2-0 in their last 5 homes matches in league play. All 3 victories they kept a clean sheet. Heidenheim is 5-3-0 at home so far this season averaging 2.50 g/gm. Aalen is 0-2-3 in the last 5 away matches also having a clean sheet kept against them in 3 of those matches while scoring only 1 goal in each of the other 2 matches. Aalen is 0-3-5 on the road conceding 1.75 g/gm. I see a 0-2, 0-3 victory for Heidenheim.

                                                    P13: (German Bundesliga 2) Heidenheim -122. 1.83 units to win 1.50.


                                                    Some other matches I looked at that are a little too juicy or I'm not completely sold. Sporting CP over I might try to catch live.

                                                    (Ita Serie A) Fiorentina +.5 -128
                                                    (Portugal Primeira Liga) Sporting CP/Boavista o2.5 -140.
                                                    (Denmark Superliga) Sonderjyske +.5 +100.

                                                    Ill be looking at some NBA and Ncaa. If I like anything I'll post it. Good luck on your plays tomorrow!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chuda
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 05-27-14
                                                      • 11082

                                                      #761
                                                      Tailing overs in belgium. that`s good price considering they all stats and belgium league it self..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Yazworm91
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-01-13
                                                        • 2397

                                                        #762
                                                        Red card in the Heidenheim match is going to get me.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rc86
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-21-13
                                                          • 248

                                                          #763

                                                          P12: (Belgium Pro League) Waasland Beveren/Westerlo o2.5 goals -104. 1.04 units to win 1.

                                                          I could have sworn this was 1-1 at half...it's now 1-0?!? Did I miss something?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rc86
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-21-13
                                                            • 248

                                                            #764
                                                            Shoot sorry never mind...I guess soccer way bugged out...thank you for the easy win
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Yazworm91
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-01-13
                                                              • 2397

                                                              #765
                                                              Originally posted by rc86
                                                              Shoot sorry never mind...I guess soccer way bugged out...thank you for the easy win
                                                              I like to use soccerway.com it's good about alerts. Get a lot of my info from there.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Yazworm91
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-01-13
                                                                • 2397

                                                                #766
                                                                This is my life story. My biggest bet of the day loses lol. That's ok it happens. Then my 3 other matches I looked at but didn't take all won. Classic Yaz right there. Well at least I'm on point right now.

                                                                Let's recap

                                                                P12: Waasland/Westerlo o2.5 win +1 unit

                                                                P13: Heidenheim loss -1.83 units

                                                                December 8-5 +4.79 units

                                                                Overall 375-392-10 -26.08
                                                                Comment
                                                                • smithah2
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-01-14
                                                                  • 743

                                                                  #767
                                                                  i think we all lost some from heidenheim. didnt see that coming. in fact i got swept 0-3 in my bundesliga2 plays today. lots of upsets today especially heidenheim and fortuna dusseldorf
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Yazworm91
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-01-13
                                                                    • 2397

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Ok after looking over a lot of games I found 5 soccer games that I like and at least 1 early football game. Let's take a look. I'm extremely tired so if I don't make sense on some of my write up I apologize up front.

                                                                    Switzerland Super League - Basel +126 at Luzern

                                                                    Basel comes into this matchup with a 6-0-2 road record in league play with a 4-0-1 record in their last 5 overall games. Basel is averaging 2.12 g/gm on the road coming into this match. Luzern is 0-6-2 at home in league play with 2-1-2 record over their last 5 matches. They are averaging a low .75 g/gm at home. Luzern is only allowing 1 g/gm at home as well so this looks to be a low scoring match. This could be a 1-0 game for Basel but Luzern may park the bus. I feel at +126 Basel is still the play.

                                                                    P14: (Swiss Super League) Basel +126. 1 unit to win 1.26

                                                                    Switzerland Super League - Young Boys at Grasshopper o2.5 goals -130

                                                                    Both of these teams are scoring goals in league play as well as in their previous head to head match ups. Young Boys comes into the match averaging 1.50 g/gm on the road while conceding 1.38 g/gm. Grasshopper comes into this match averaging 1.75 g/gm at home while conceding 1.38 g/gm. I know that their historical meetings don't have much relevance for tomorrow's matchup but since 1994 they've played 30 matches at Grasshopper, 20 of those matches have went o2.5 goals while only 10 have gone u2.5 goals. The over is a little juiced but I like this play.

                                                                    P15: (Swiss Super League) Young Boys/Grasshopper o2.5 goals -130. 1.30 units to win 1.



                                                                    German Bundesliga - Schalke 04 at Stuttgart +124

                                                                    This is a little bit of a gamble. But my research put this game on my radar. Yes, Stuttgart is 1-1-4 but 3 of those loses have come against top 7 teams in the league. Schalke comes into this natch with a 1-0-5 record on the road in league play. Schalke is conceding 1.83 g/gm on the road. Again, some may say that previous matches don't tell you anything or have no relevance but when I look at it I see a team that dominates the other at home. Stuttgart is 7-1-2 in the previous 10 home matches against Schalke. Sometimes you got to show some faith in your decision so I like this play the best out of the 5.

                                                                    P16: (German Bundesliga) Stuttgart +124. 1.50 units to win 1.86.



                                                                    German Bundesliga - Wolfsburg at Hannover +.5 -110.

                                                                    Yes, Hannover comes into the match riding a 3 game losing streak, I've got a feeling they bounce back this game against an opponent they fair very well against at home. Hannover is 4-0-2 at home in league play while Wolfsburg is 2-1-3 on the road in league play with their most recent lose to Schalke on the road. Hannover is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home matches against Wolfsburg. I see this ending in a draw but possibly Hannover getting a late goal for the victory.

                                                                    P17: (German Bundesliga) Hannover +.5 -110. 1.10 units to win 1.

                                                                    English Championship - Rotherham United at Cardiff -117

                                                                    Cardiff is on fire at home, winning their last 5 home matches and being 7-0-2 at home in league play. They host a team struggling to score on the road averaging only .67 g/gm with a 1-4-4 record on the road. On the flip side Cardiff is averaging 2 g/gm at home and on this 5 game home winning streak it's an impressive 2.40 g/gm. I look for Cardiff to take their home win streak to 6 games with a comfortable 2-0, 3-1 victory tomorrow.

                                                                    P18: (English Championship) Cardiff -117. 1.17 units to win 1.


                                                                    Conference USA Championship - Louisiana Tech +9 -105 vs Marshall

                                                                    Well I loved this line at +11, I still like it at +9 just not as much. Marshall is coming off their first loss of the season and La Tech is coming off a blow out victory against Rice. Marshall might come out flat and give La Tech a chance to get out to an early lead. I see this at worst being a touchdown game on either side.

                                                                    P19: (NCAA) Louisiana Tech +9 -105. 1.05 units to win 1.



                                                                    Good luck with your plays tomorrow
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Yazworm91
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-01-13
                                                                      • 2397

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Update

                                                                      P20: (Ita Serie A) Halftime line Roma +1 -130. 1.30 units to win 1.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Yazworm91
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-01-13
                                                                        • 2397

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Wow getting that red card in the Roma game is not going to help.
                                                                        Comment
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