How to throw a ton of money away instead of working... [Personal Thread]

[TheSportsAnalyst]

fck, pinnacle doesn't have this game and bet365 have only 50,5

Yeah, Pinny usually do not cover this league because it's pretty beatable...

But I see Bet365 U 51.5 @2.00 atm.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

[faust114]

[ATTACH]67120[/ATTACH]

YEP, thanks, got it... half hour ago was it only 50,5

[TheSportsAnalyst]

I was in a local Tipico betting shop when I placed this one this morning and they had the same price of their online site, didn't checked much more bookies tbh.

[czw4life]

Playing the under 51.5?

[TheSportsAnalyst]

I am on the under czw, but since the price on the over dropped from 2.12 to 1.75 maybe somebody, probably better than me, is on the over.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Only a few bookies have this one and I'll play it as a 2*

#27 Ice Hockey - Germany DEL2
Landshut to beat Bremerhaven DNB @2.30 [*2u]

You could have the slightly more risky win included OT at 2.35 on Bet365 (2.40 somewhere else) or the less rewarding but more safe +0.5 at 1.75/1.80
Explanation:
This is a playoff to get the promotion in the highest german hockey league, semifinal game #3, series tied on 1-1.
Bremerhaven won the RS and they destroyed Lausitzer 4-1 in the first round, as expected (Fuchs ended the season 35 pts behind).
Landshut, #5, upset the strongest home team in the league Ravensburg ending the series 4-3 with an incredible comeback starting from 1-3, winning 2 games out of 3 on the road (and losing one only after the OT) against a team which lost only 3 games on their own ice all season long.
Form is on the road side, morale probably too.
During the RS Landshut won 2 games out of 4 against Bremerhaven (one on the road) and was close in the other clash, as they were in Game #1 of this series.
More often than not these two teams play each other very tight and 2.30 for the DNB looks a decent option to me.
Small stake.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#28 Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers Over 7.5 @2.00 [*4u]

[yodlegern]

Tailing all the picks I can (bodog)

[Jay Millz]

Count me in!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#29 Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox Under 8 @1.89 [*4u]

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#26 Nordstrand (W) 27 v Tertnes (W) 33 - LOST -4.00u
#27 Bremerhaven 0 v Landshut 2 - WON +2.60u
#28 Kansas City Royals 1 @ Detroit Tigers 2 - LOST -4.00u
#29 Minnesota Twins 6 @ Chicago White Sox 7 - LOST -4.00u


SUMMARY BY SPORT
Basketball: 1w-2l -4.36/12u
Cricket: 3w-2l +6.32u/19u
Handball: 3w-2l +4.04u/20u
Ice Hockey: 2w-0l +5.96u/6u
MLB: 9w-5l +10.60u/56u

TOTAL: 18w-11l (62.07% SR) +22.56u/113u (+19.96% Yield)


#30 Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles Under 8.5 @2.05 [*4u]
#31 St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds Under 7.5 @1.83 [*5u]
#32 New York Yankees @ Houston Astros Under 8.5 @1.95 [*4u]
#33 San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Cardinals Over 9 @2.11 [*4u]
#34 Toronto Blue Jays to beat Tampa Bay Rays @2.43 [*4u]
#35 Seattle Mariners to beat Los Angeles Angels @2.27 [*4u]
#36 Los Angeles Dodgers to beat San Diego Padres @1.95 [*4u]

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#30 Boston Red Sox 2 @ Baltimore Orioles 6 - WON +4.02u
#31 St. Louis Cardinals 0 @ Cincinnati Reds 1 - WON +4.15u
#32 New York Yankees 1 @ Houston Astros 3 - WON +3.80u
#33 San Francisco Giants 2 @ Arizona Cardinals 0 - LOST -4.00u
#34 Toronto Blue Jays 3 @ Tampa Bay Rays 0 - WON +5.72u
#35 Seattle Mariners 8 @ Los Angeles Angels 2 - WON +5.08u
#36 Los Angeles Dodgers 5 @San Diego Padres 1 - WON +3.80u


SUMMARY BY SPORT
Basketball: 1w-2l -4.36/12u
Cricket: 3w-2l +6.32u/19u
Handball: 3w-2l +4.04u/20u
Ice Hockey: 2w-0l +5.96u/6u
MLB: 15w-6l +33.17u/85u

TOTAL: 24w-12l (66.67% SR) +45.13u/142u (+31.78% Yield)

[TheSportsAnalyst]

After a very deep work studying the match I've decided to sit out from SL v WI match.
I'll place only two small *1u props, just for fun to enjoy the match together.

#37 Cricket - ICC World T20
Batsmen H2H: Kusal Perera to beat Dwayne Smith @1.83 [*1u]

None of the duo has faced the opposing team in their T20 international career.
Dwayne Smith so far disappointed in the tournament if we take off the Bangladesh game, his scorecards are 8 (13), 17 (19) and 11 (29) for a total of 36 runs in 3 matches and a strike rate of 63.9
This is a big let down for a batsman who avg. more than 25 runs/game in T20i with a strike rate above 125 when batting at the top of the order.
Kusal Perera, 23 yo, is one of the rising stars in his position, and taking out the unlucky game v ENG he always scored at least 14 runs (2 more than Smith average) in this tournament: 61 v SAF, 14 v NED, 16 v NZL.


#38 Cricket - ICC World T20
Top West Indies Bowler: Sunil Narine @3.50 [*1u]

Considering Santokie form his 5.50 price is really tasty but it's he's too much untested in this conditions and he could completely miss the game so I prefer to stick with the solid Narine.
Narine threw 46 balls vs SL in his T20i career, collecting 3 wickets and an ER of 4.17 which is huge.
He also stands at t-10th in most wickets taken in this tournament with 6 in 4 matches played.

[GiveMeaBJ]

Wow, killed that baseball night action. Great thread, keep it rolling.

[Jay Millz]

of course i caught the morning but not the night... lets do it again!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#37 Kusal Perera 26 (12) v Dwayne Smith 17 (14) - WON +0.83u
#38 Sunil Narine 0/20 (3rd West Indies Top Bowler) - LOST -1.00u

The first one wasn't so hard but I'm slightly sad for the second...Pretty good ER from Narine in 4 overs but no wickets and Santokie took the Top West Indies Bowler title for the game with 2 very effective wickets despite 46 incredibly expensive runs allowed in 4 overs. Meh.


#39 Basketball - Ukraine
MBC Nikolaev +14.5 to beat Budivelnyk @1.96 [*4u]

[Jay Millz]

playin on the early mlb games today?

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Yeah, even if I should stay out enjoying the profit considering the results of last days. Hard/Impossible to improve those numbers.

Anyway...

#40 Cincinnati Reds to beat St. Louis Cardinals @1.95 [*4u]
#41 Detroit Tigers to beat Kansas City Royals @1.67 [*6u]

[Jay Millz]

bodog took down detroit game... dafuuk?

[dogman]

postponed

[Jay Millz]

just saw

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#39 Budivelnyk 94 v MBC Nikolaev 81 - WON +3.84u
#41 Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers postponed - PUSH

[BigOrGoHome]

Any more for tonight?

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#42 Basketball - NBB Brazil
Basquete Cearense +8 to beat Flamengo @1.95 [*2u]
#43 Basketball - NBB Brazil
Vila Velha +21 to beat Pinheiros @1.92 [*2u]

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#44 Basketball - Argentina
La Union (+5) to beat Quimsa @1.92 [*4u]

[Darkside Magick]

You doing a great job!

Which book(s) do you attain your lines from.

[TheSportsAnalyst]

Thanks Darkside!

Pinny if available, otherwise Bet365, willhill or asians.
sometimes smaller bookies or local, but with low stake.

[Jay Millz]

reds game is frustrating me

[Jay Millz]

as frazier smacks a homer for 3 runs... thats whats up!

[TheSportsAnalyst]

#40 St. Louis Cardinals 7 @ Cincinnati Reds 6 - LOST -4.00u
#42 Basquete Cearense 81 v Flamengo 88 - WON +1.90u
#43 Pinheiros 96 v Vila Velha 66 - LOST -2.00u
#44 La Union 68 v Quimsa 82 - LOST -4.00u



SUMMARY BY SPORT
Basketball: 3w-4l -4.52/24u
Cricket: 4w-3l +6.19u/21u
Handball: 3w-2l +4.04u/20u
Ice Hockey: 2w-0l +5.96u/6u
MLB: 15w-7l +29.17u/89u

TOTAL: 27w-16l (62.79% SR) +40.84u/160u (+25.53% Yield)

[TheSportsAnalyst]

No edge imo in current line for IND v SAF WT20 semifinal.
A couple of props to follow with passion the matchup and stay tuned if interested because I'll probably place something in-play.

Cricket - ICC World T20
#45 Rohit Sharma to be Top India Batsman @4.50 [*1u]
#46 Rohit Sharma (IND) to score more runs than Hashim Amla (SAF) @1.83 [*2u]

[GiveMeaBJ]

So India or South Africa to win?

[TheSportsAnalyst]

To me it's a very leveled matchup, with a very slight edge for India, I would play them with a small bet (smth like 2u) but not below 1.91 or so.
South Africa pitching lineup could influence their game so I'm not interested atm.

I'll wait for the in-play market to see how the match will develop and if I'll find a good price I'll probably back India.
But it's too early to say it, need to see lineups, weather and who will bat first.

[BigOrGoHome]

Any baseball?