Let's Fade ESPN

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  • so im zach
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-07-09
    • 585

    #1
    Let's Fade ESPN
    This is a little idea I've been fooling around with, and I figured I might as well keep track of it here.

    If one was to avoid props and only fade the ESPN public on ML plays for NBA, NHL, and NCAAB in March, record would be... 46-27.

    I plan on using 5Dimes for odds to see how many units one would win following these plays here on out.

    Also, here's the individual sport breakdown for March on ML plays...

    NBA: 8-8
    NHL: 16-4
    NCAAB: 22-15
  • so im zach
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-07-09
    • 585

    #2
    March Record: 29-15-0
    Thread Record: 0-0-0, 0 units

    NBA:

    Hawks +110 - W
    Pistons +110 - W
    Trail Blazers +123 - W

    NCAAB:

    Niagara +160 - L
    Tenn Chat +131 - W

    NHL:

    NY Rangers +127 - L
    LA Kings +130 - W
    Comment
    • fearless
      Restricted User
      • 08-14-06
      • 4950

      #3
      Cool, thanks.
      Comment
      • so im zach
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-07-09
        • 585

        #4
        March Record: 34-17-0
        Thread Record: 5-2-0, +4.04 units

        Sick night.
        Comment
        • so im zach
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-07-09
          • 585

          #5
          March Record: 34-17-0
          Thread Record: 5-2-0, +4.04 units

          NCAAB:

          Hawaii +105 - L

          NBA:

          Knicks +150 - W

          NHL:

          Nashville +105 - L
          St. Louis -125 - W
          Comment
          • so im zach
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-07-09
            • 585

            #6
            March Record: 36-19-0
            Thread Record: 7-4-0, +4.54 units

            NHL:

            Anaheim +105 - W

            NCAAB:

            Nebraska -102 - L
            Comment
            • so im zach
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-07-09
              • 585

              #7
              March Record: 37-20-0
              Thread Record: 8-5-0, +4.57 units

              NBA:

              Spurs -148 - L
              Phoenix +165 - L

              NHL:

              Washington +115 - W
              Columbus -112 - W
              Colorado -110 - W

              NCAAB:

              Virginia Tech +147 - W
              Marquette +132 - L
              NC State +125 - L
              Alabama +140 - W
              USC +105 - W
              Comment
              • so im zach
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-07-09
                • 585

                #8
                March Record: 43-24-0
                Thread Record: 14-9-0, +7.16 units

                NBA:

                Toronto Raptors +105 - L

                NCAAB:

                Wisconsin -155 - L
                Georgia Tech +205 - L
                Mississippi State +130 - W
                Arizona State -108 - W
                Syracuse +258 - W
                Comment
                • ico2525
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-30-08
                  • 598

                  #9
                  I'm totaling 6 units not 7 assuming you're betting always to win the same amount. I like this trend. I could make a living off this trend at $200/unit.

                  Where do you go to get this data?
                  Comment
                  • so im zach
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-07-09
                    • 585

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ico2525
                    I'm totaling 6 units not 7 assuming you're betting always to win the same amount. I like this trend. I could make a living off this trend at $200/unit.

                    Where do you go to get this data?
                    Play ESPN fantasy games. Create or join a fantasy league. Use the ESPN Draft kit, read fantasy blogs, watch video, or listen to ESPN fantasy podcasts.


                    I reworked the math and still got +7.16 units?
                    Comment
                    • so im zach
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-07-09
                      • 585

                      #11
                      March Record: 46-27-0
                      Thread Record: 17-12-0, +8.49 units

                      I'm adding a filter. Favorites above -130 will no longer be accepted as plays.
                      Comment
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