SBR....Take Siena Huge Tonight...again???

[tblueeyes]

Too late....he did.

[raydog]

hasbrouck not being healthy would be huge for niagaras chances for sure.

[LT Profits]

I am on Siena -3.5 myself

[rjt721]

I am on Siena -3.5 myself

Same here.

[SamsNCharge99]

hasbrouck not being healthy would be huge for niagaras chances for sure.

I talked to Ronald Moore who told me that Kenny is not looking good to play tonight.

he's having a problem walking on the calf and in a lot of pain.

[ryanXL977]

stop going all in sammy
shit happens all the time
stop doing it

[ACCBball]

over 72 first half. two meetings they have shot 142 times and 128 times, thats not including FT attempts. If they average 70 attempts a half then they need to shoot around 40 percent to hit the over 72 for the first half. 2nd half might get tight since this a championship game but I expect the first half to be run and gun.

[chrisharvard01]

fading a home team who with a win will get in the dance??? good luck. not sure why anyone would think nia should win this game. tired and at a place where they got smashed last time

SIE is one of the more solid teams in the MAAC with a great home record, I can't argue that.

NIA may be tired, but SIE is without (G) K Hasbrouck who for instance, played 24 minutes in SIE's last at home victory over NIA (before they went to NIA and lost by 25. Thats, twenty-five).

This will be very interesting

[xfrozenx]

Sammy, Siena is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 on a neutral site, and 2-6 in their last 8 on a neutral site as a favorite!

I received this e-mail of a free pick this morning.

The Saints defeated Niagara 82-65 at home earlier this season and will have home court on their side again in the MAAC title game tonight. Niagara defeated Siena in the last meeting at Niagara 100-85 and all that loss does is fuel Siena's fire here. Siena is a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS at home against Niagara the last 3 seasons and 15-5 ATS in the last 20 lined games in this matchup. Siena returns all 5 starters from a team a team which crushed Vandy in the Big Dance a season ago and it believes it can make a deeper run in '09. Anything less than a win here will be considered a major disappointment for the Saints. We'll lay this small number.

My personal advice, fade the public here. Feels like another trap after the Troy loss last night....

[SamsNCharge99]

you forgot about big injury in Kenny Hasbrouck

[raydog]

his injury makes this game unbettable. gl sammy

[MrMonkey]

Hasbrouck Senior, 30+ minutes, 15 pts game, no bench? Not playing?Unless Sam there is something you know that we don't, even the Monkey knows this is a no play!

I'm thinking less points for Siena, tired shooting team in Niagara, under 153.5 or no defense by teams? Anyone have opinions on totals? Good luck again Sam!

Mrmonkey

[xfrozenx]

his injury makes this game unbettable. gl sammy

Nice 666th post! LOL. I'm taking Niagra ML, looks too good to pass up and I bet more of the crowd is going Siena.

[SamsNCharge99]

Hasbrouck Senior, 30+ minutes, 15 pts game, no bench? Not playing?Unless Sam there is something you know that we don't, even the Monkey knows this is a no play!

I'm thinking less points for Siena, tired shooting team in Niagara, under 153.5 or no defense by teams? Anyone have opinions on totals? Good luck again Sam!

Mrmonkey

no bench?? Yes, they don't use it as much, but they have one if they need to. Yes, I know something that others don't. I know the team. Some of them personally.

Clarance Jackson played 29 minutes yesterday in the absence of Hasbrouck. Averaging 8.4 a game, he game through w/ 16 yesterday. Expect him to get double digits shooting the 3 ball tonight.

Also expect freshamn Downy to play more tonight. He averages a little more than 3 per game, but if he's shooting well, he can easily knock down 3+ 3 pointers.

Kenny not playing is huge, but role playters will step up.

Watch out for sleeper ROSSITER. He averages 10 a game, and he's been playing very well last 2 games. 12 and 8 yesterday, I see a double double out of him tonight or close to it.

Siena wins tonight Monkey. bet them

[BiffTFinancial]

Hasbrouck Senior, 30+ minutes, 15 pts game, no bench? Not playing?Unless Sam there is something you know that we don't, even the Monkey knows this is a no play!

I'm thinking less points for Siena, tired shooting team in Niagara, under 153.5 or no defense by teams? Anyone have opinions on totals? Good luck again Sam!

Mrmonkey

I like the over, although Hasbrouck's injury is making me think no-play with a number that high. As a general rule, people tend to assume that tired means no offense. However, i think that, more often that not, defense is affected more. When i play and i'm tired, i know that defense goes first [and, i know, we're talking about the highest level of amateur athletes, not a rec game, but i submit that same principles still apply]. I think that this is high-scoring 1H, then both teams bear down and play more defense in 2H.

[InTheHole]

I like this play a lot...nice write-up and good luck.

[TrafficUB]

i think siena should win this, niagara went into dbl OT last night vs Rider's, their probably tired

[SamsNCharge99]

I like this play a lot...nice write-up and good luck.

thanks man...good luck tonight

i think siena should win this, niagara went into dbl OT last night vs Rider's, their probably tired

that's one reason, but don't bet just on that knowledge of being Tired...look at my other thread for my video breakdown

[bigugly]

You nailed this one.

[SamsNCharge99]

DO WORK Siena