BLOWOUT SPECIAL_Maryland -11 over WFU (Womens ACC Tournament)

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  • chucksmith
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-06-08
    • 412

    #1
    BLOWOUT SPECIAL_Maryland -11 over WFU (Womens ACC Tournament)
    Guys,

    I have been on SBR for 2 years now. My join date may not refelct that, as I am more of a lerker than a poster. I enjoy reading the thoughts/angles of others to add to the criteria I look at when capping a game. Especially valuable is local knowledge. For example, former poster Baba O'Riley was money on his Spurs picks and Brock Landers has provided solid info on Illinois and Northwestern in the past. Chi Archie seems to be connected to Pitt although he is in Chicago, etc. Rarely do I post but today I want to share a play with the board that I think will cash by halftime.

    The 4th ranked Maryland Terrapins play the Wake Forest Demon Deacons today in Greensboro in a 2nd round game of the women's ACC Tournament. The Terps had a first round bye yesterday while the 9th seeded Deacons surprised an emotionally wrecked NC St team 59-54 yesterday in round 1 action. For brevity's sake, I will list info below as backup for my play. Please give this play consideration, as I believe it will be cashed by halftime.

    -Maryland has won 18 of their last 20 games. 3 of 4 losses this season came on the road to ranked opponents. The 4th loss was at unranked TCU in their first game of the year.
    -Maryland jockeying for position as a 1 seed and controls own destiny.
    -Maryland leads the ACC in scoring margin at +10.9 (all stats conference games only). Wake is 9th at -6.4.
    -Maryland averages 82.4 ppg, WFU 60.8.
    -Maryland leads the league in FG, FT and 3 Pt%
    -WFU is 12th, 11th and 7th, respectively.
    -Maryland won the first meeting Jan 8, 92-65. They scored the games first 20 points, led 46-28 at the half and went on a 21-6 run to put the game away early in the 2nd half. Since that game, Maryland has gone 12-2 and WFU 7-8.
    -Maryland has won the last 7 in a row in the series and leads 48-12 overall (I dont put much stock into this; different players/different seasons).
    -Yesterday was the first ACC Tournament win for Wake since 2005 and playing close to home in Greensboro I am sure they got their share of atta-girls. Look for them to come out flat.
    -One of Wake's key guards is out for the game and they have only 6 players that play over 10 mins. I question how well they will hold up against a team like Maryland that forces tempo.
    -I live in Charlotte and have seen both teams play on TV. Maryland is a machine and actually plays watchable, entertaining basketball and is fundamentally sound. Wake, on the other hand, makes everything look difficult and at times you would question how any of these girls are on scholarship.

    I will take any jokes that come may come my way about capping a womens game but let's face it, the lines are not as sharp on this action and there are "spots" where you can play with a large advantage.

    My play is Maryland -11 (5Dimes).
  • chucksmith
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-06-08
    • 412

    #2
    Mods, can you also bump this thread in the NCAA BBall section?

    I know I will get reamed if I lose this game and bring such attention to it but I am 100% comfortable with that.
    Comment
    • chucksmith
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-06-08
      • 412

      #3
      Not much interest in this game I see, my limited # of posts also has something to do with it as well

      Line up to 12.5 at 5Dimes

      Looking forward to getting out of office early, heading home and watching the game at 3:00, then headed to Hawks/Bobcats game
      Comment
      • fiveteamer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-14-08
        • 10805

        #4
        gl chucky, I put 8 units on this. DON'T LET ME DOWN.

        god bless.
        Comment
        • sallysnax8
          SBR MVP
          • 01-22-09
          • 1686

          #5
          my book doesnt offer whore's bball i wish it did it seems much easier then nba and ncaa
          Comment
          • chucksmith
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-06-08
            • 412

            #6
            Originally posted by fiveteamer
            gl chucky, I put 8 units on this. DON'T LET ME DOWN.

            god bless.
            see you at the window 5 teamer
            Comment
            • mdemps9190
              SBR MVP
              • 11-08-07
              • 1957

              #7
              yeah my book doesn't either.
              Comment
              • JGray1
                SBR Hustler
                • 03-16-08
                • 92

                #8
                Originally posted by chucksmith
                see you at the window 5 teamer
                You gon run into me there to
                Comment
                • fiveteamer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-14-08
                  • 10805

                  #9
                  Sweet. I never usually bet over my head but if this doesn't cash then I will have trouble with my rent, but I think this is pretty much a lock. I spent like 4 hours capping this game the other day.

                  god bless to all who make this bet.
                  Comment
                  • yort05q
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 02-23-09
                    • 24

                    #10
                    My book doesnt offer womens ball either... But I Love this play play also... I watch all maryland womens games because the shooting guard (Marissa Coleman) went to high school with me... IMO Maryland is the only team that has a chance to beat UCONN when the womens tourney starts.
                    Comment
                    • chucksmith
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-06-08
                      • 412

                      #11
                      Coleman and Tolliver will have a field day

                      GL and welcome to SBR
                      Comment
                      • JGray1
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 03-16-08
                        • 92

                        #12
                        Originally posted by fiveteamer
                        Sweet. I never usually bet over my head but if this doesn't cash then I will have trouble with my rent, but I think this is pretty much a lock. I spent like 4 hours capping this game the other day.

                        god bless to all who make this bet.
                        Its a 2nd round tournament game Im on it to but to say you capped it 4 4 hours a few days ago, this matchup was set last night.
                        Comment
                        • yort05q
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 02-23-09
                          • 24

                          #13
                          welp.. that didnt work out to well...cant believe they almost lost
                          Comment
                          • chucksmith
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-06-08
                            • 412

                            #14
                            Wow, what a bomb of a pick. I apologize to anyone who blindly tailed. I did my homework on this one and would play it again.
                            Comment
                            • fiveteamer
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-14-08
                              • 10805

                              #15
                              I'm totally ****ked now. Jesus christ.
                              Comment
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