Vegas Dave NHL Pick For 3/5

AMBlai01 · 03-05-09, 08:01 PM

GL Dave...love the new cheesy graphics! Top notch.

The HG · 03-05-09, 08:25 PM

nice vid, short, to the point, informative.

Dallas though, is completely schizo, I don't feel comfortable taking them in general this year unless I'm getting plus odds or on the -1.5 puck line.

I do like the under 5.5 in this one a good amount though, I got it at -106. Both teams can disappear on offense, and Turco is playing better as the year goes on. Quick is decent as well. I would have expected a -120 range ML for the under on this total.

Not saying I don't like Dallas here, just that I wouldn't touch a side in this one.

GL everyone, and thanks for the vid VD.

VegasDave · 03-05-09, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by AMBlai01

GL Dave...love the new cheesy graphics! Top notch.

Just figured out how to do this... needs a bit of work obviously but no one watches hockey vids anyway so I thought I'd try it out to see if it'd work

Originally posted by The HG

nice vid, short, to the point, informative.

Dallas though, is completely schizo, I don't feel comfortable taking them in general this year unless I'm getting plus odds or on the -1.5 puck line.

I do like the under 5.5 in this one a good amount though, I got it at -106. Both teams can disappear on offense, and Turco is playing better as the year goes on. Quick is decent as well. I would have expected a -120 range ML for the under on this total.

Not saying I don't like Dallas here, just that I wouldn't touch a side in this one.

GL everyone, and thanks for the vid VD.

I don't blame you HG... the Kings are the same way. Probably why this line is set where it is; no one knows what the hell to do with these two teams.

Agree the under is a solid play here for the reasons you mention. Quick hasn't been as sharp as he was to start the season, but he should be able to hold the Stars to 2 or 3.

Good luck if you play it

pocketlint · 03-05-09, 10:21 PM

So that rationale accounted for....

isnt there a formidable chance that L.A. might play a more relaxed game (since the P.O.s are definitely out of reach) to give the hometown crowd an entertaining time and in the process tweak a win by disrupting the tempo of the stars (stoppage of play due to fights and such)?

I know it looks like a big "IF" but in the thick of it ....stuff happens before you even notice it....

(like the Bruins-'Otes game - the game just flew by with Phoenix snatching it)

pocketlint · 03-05-09, 10:23 PM

hope that doesnt look like splitting hairs...

VegasDave · 03-05-09, 10:46 PM

Not at all pocketlint! I use that logic in football all the time, when a team fighting for a playoff spot faces a team with nothing to lose (especially a division rival), you see upsets all the time.

The reason that didn't sway me is the Kings never seem to play loose at home; on the contrary, they seem to try to hard in front of the home fans. They are 1 - 5 - 2 in their last 8 at home, and have been shut out something along the lines of 6 time at home.

If they weren't such a bad home team, I'd definitely have given stronger consideration to your angle

yisman · 03-05-09, 11:52 PM

Dallas/LA I could not wager. Seems like nothing there.

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by yisman

Dallas/LA I could not wager. Seems like nothing there.

I understand... just feel like getting the better team with more motivation against a bad home team that just lost a top scorer was worth a shot at -110.

Dallas up 3 - 0 with a little under 5 mins left in the 2nd.

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 12:39 AM

Originally posted by VegasDave

I understand... just feel like getting the better team with more motivation against a bad home team that just lost a top scorer was worth a shot at -110.

Dallas up 3 - 0 with a little under 5 mins left in the 2nd.

3 goals scored in that little under 5 mins

4 - 2 Stars, 12 even left to go.

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 01:05 AM

Kings make it 4 - 3 with 3:18 left... just pouring it on here in the 3rd, outshooting the Stars 15 - 3 this period.

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 01:11 AM

Wow Kings tie it up with 13 seconds left! I really wish I had TV

allwater334 · 03-06-09, 01:16 AM

Fvck that BS...omg...how many penalties r there going to be in the last 4 mins...wowowow, shocked how the winner in OT hit the stars player and went right in the net for LA win....VegasDave, u jinxed my pick!!!

xxx · 03-06-09, 01:17 AM

livetv.ru/en should have the game on the net.

El Sol · 03-06-09, 01:25 AM

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 01:26 AM

Sorry allwater... what an epic collapse in the 3rd... ridiculous.

allwater334 · 03-06-09, 01:40 AM

Dave, no reason to be sorry. You are a class act and I was just picking at u when I said u jinxed my play. I made the play so it is my fault that I lost, nobody elses!!!

Nicky Santoro · 03-06-09, 01:44 AM

allwater, lets be honest here, vegasdave did jinx your pick tonight, you are just being nice now.

boys, i am sorry about the loss tonight.. it was a tough one. but that's sports for you.. but i still say my loss was tougher. i swear i had SJ -220 at wsex tonight.. sj up 3-0 and coasting. i turn the DEN game and bam, it's 3-3, and then SJ lose in OT.. we had similar losses tonight, but mine might be a tad worse. sj up 3-0 at home, and lose.. what were the odds?

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 01:45 AM

Originally posted by allwater334

Dave, no reason to be sorry. You are a class act and I was just picking at u when I said u jinxed my play. I made the play so it is my fault that I lost, nobody elses!!!

Haha well thank you, but on a loss like that, you have to blame anyone in a 1000 mile radius.

It isn't your fault... you weren't the one that decided to only play 40 minutes of hockey tonight. Very strange 3rd period for the Stars.

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 01:47 AM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

allwater, lets be honest here, vegasdave did jinx your pick tonight, you are just being nice now.

boys, i am sorry about the loss tonight.. it was a tough one. but that's sports for you.. but i still say my loss was tougher. i swear i had SJ -220 at wsex tonight.. sj up 3-0 and coasting. i turn the DEN game and bam, it's 3-3, and then SJ lose in OT.. we had similar losses tonight, but mine might be a tad worse. sj up 3-0 at home, and lose.. what were the odds?

Against the Wild no less, not exactly a team known for being offensively explosive.

I agree Nicky, yours was brutal... both of our losses give up 3 - 0 leads... rough night.

blittydeuce · 03-06-09, 04:00 AM

My only wager so far in vegas was kings over 5.5.
What's good for tomorrow boys?

pocketlint · 03-06-09, 02:16 PM

sheeeez..

Your vid, which I watched very close to the game last night, made me believe that the DALLAS-L.A. game was going to be a lack luster affair (although I had already placed a huge chunk on the game going over, earlier in the day).
So I bet heavy on Dallas thinking that they wud "tweak" a 1-goal victory in a largely dull game (kinda like the Boston-Phoenix game).

Sure proved me wrong. Amen.

PapaGeorge · 03-06-09, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by VegasDave

Good Luck

you got some good points there...u failed to mention goaltending again why is it you never mention goaltending starters....also its a shame williams is not in the lineup hes a gooodd player....also dallas played last night...might be lil tired.......i might have to lean with the kings on this one....for now

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by pocketlint

sheeeez..

Your vid, which I watched very close to the game last night, made me believe that the DALLAS-L.A. game was going to be a lack luster affair (although I had already placed a huge chunk on the game going over, earlier in the day).
So I bet heavy on Dallas thinking that they wud "tweak" a 1-goal victory in a largely dull game (kinda like the Boston-Phoenix game).

Sure proved me wrong. Amen.

The game was going exactly as I expected it would when it was 3 - 0 Dallas with 5 mins left in the 2nd.

I didn't see 3 goals happening in those 5 mins, and then the ice being tilted completely in the Kings favor for the entire 3rd period. Dallas should be better than that.

Strange game. Since I've been a mod, I've been snake-bitten on these close games. But then, I've been snake-bitten my whole handicapping career, so I can't blame being a mod. Hopefully baseball season will shake things up for the better

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by PapaGeorge

you got some good points there...u failed to mention goaltending again why is it you never mention goaltending starters....also its a shame williams is not in the lineup hes a gooodd player....also dallas played last night...might be lil tired.......i might have to lean with the kings on this one....for now

This game was yesterday, and I didn't go into details on the goalie matchup because I just wanted to keep it sweet and see if I could get that graphic to work.

PapaGeorge · 03-06-09, 04:33 PM

Originally posted by VegasDave

This game was yesterday, and I didn't go into details on the goalie matchup because I just wanted to keep it sweet and see if I could get that graphic to work.

i noticed im a idiot sorry bout that...but why dont u ever talk bout goaltending..goaltending is what decides a game...u use to be a goalie you should know this!

VegasDave · 03-06-09, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by PapaGeorge

i noticed im a idiot sorry bout that...but why dont u ever talk bout goaltending..goaltending is what decides a game...u use to be a goalie you should know this!

Like I said, I didn't get in depth at all in this vid... but you are right, goalie matchups are key.

PapaGeorge · 03-06-09, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by VegasDave

Like I said, I didn't get in depth at all in this vid... but you are right, goalie matchups are key.

o ok i got ya bro...im trying to handicap these games tonight...looking tight tonight...but those Flames look very very solid now ready to take the cup possibly...i just dont think they r going to pull a win tonight....kippersoff is off tonight