Do you get cold feet when a game looks too easy?

[fearless]

Sean Henn (NY Yankees) at Roy Halladay (Toronto)

Henn made three starts in 2005 and lost each of them, lasting 11 1-3 innings and giving up 14 earned runs for an 11.12 ERA.

How do the Yankees feel about this game? "It would be nice to clinch, but we know we are facing, to me, the game's best pitcher," Damon said.

The Yankees are still playing for something but, let's face it, Sean Henn has about a 5% chance of out-pitching Roy Halladay. Toronto is playing for nothing but Halladay still has a chance to win the cy young award.

I would like to add that Toronto is 46-30 at home.

I always get nervous when a game looks too easy like this. How about you?

Incidentally, Toronto is -180 to -200 at different sportsbooks and casinos.

[moses millsap]

How many times out of 100 do you think Toronto wins this matchup?

[fearless]

How many times out of 100 do you think Toronto wins this matchup?

I don't know baseball too well, it's too unpredictable for me. But, if Halladay and the Blue Jays bring their "A game", they should win easily. But, with them being out of contention and the Yankees still playing for the best record in the American League, it's still a bit of a toss up (with a huge advantage to the Blue Jays, IMHO).

What do you think?

[moses millsap]

I don't know baseball, it's too unpredictable for me. But, if Halladay and the Blue Jays bring their "A game", they should win easily. But, with them being out of contention and the Yankees still playing for the best record in the American League, it's still a bit of a toss up (with a huge advantage to the Blue Jays, IMHO).

What do you think?

I haven't even capped this game at all yet, but I was just trying to get you to look if there was any value in this game. Odds at Pinnacle currently is -205, which correlates to 67.2%, if you think the Blue Jays win more than this amount of the time, then there is value with the Blue Jays.

[fearless]

I haven't even capped this game at all yet, but I was just trying to get you to look if there was any value in this game. Odds at Pinnacle currently is -205, which correlates to 67.2%, if you think the Blue Jays win more than this amount of the time, then there is value with the Blue Jays.

I think that you can pencil in Henn to give up at least a run an inning (his average). And Halladay, if he pitches up to usual standard, should pitch into the seventh inning and give up 3-4 runs or less. That should add up to a Toronto lead heading into the late innings, shouldn't it?

If you handicap this game, please tell us what you think.

[rm18]

No pitcher gives up a run an inning over the long haul in baseball, or he would not be in the majors.

The Yankees have the best lineup in baseball, Halladay could easily get rocked, Toronto should win but I would play New York before the Jays.

[fearless]

No pitcher gives up a run an inning over the long haul in baseball, or he would not be in the majors.

Is two seasons long enough? http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/7535

Halladay could easily get rocked

Just saying it doesn't make it so. Halladay is incredibly consistent:

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/players/6134

9-4 3.10 ERA career against the Yankees too.

There's like a one in ten chance that he could give up over 5 runs, I would say.

[mad]

Ultimately you gotta' ask yourself:

"What would Dr. Phil do?"

[rm18]

Two seasons?, he has pitched 13 innings in the show , if he pitched 100 innings I guarantee you his ERA would not be 9.00, or he would be in retirement.

[bigboydan]

When it looks to easy to take the team, you pertty much know whats comming. It's kinda like the old saying "don't make sense"

according to the consensus numbers though, the public seems to be on the Jays tonight, which does somewhat suprise me a little bit.

Yankees (S Henn) vs Blue Jays (R Halladay)
Yankees 34.59%
Blue Jays 65.41%
2394 Bets

[pags11]

I'm really not sure what a too easy game looks like, probably because I'm used to betting football and hoops where the point spread is slanted...baseball was always tougher for me in having to pick the straight up winner with ML's...

[fearless]

Toronto won a close one, 3-2. Henn was the difference, IMHO, giving up his custumary run an inning (approximately). I didn't bet on this game because I really don't like to bet on baseball.

[moses millsap]

Toronto won a close one, 3-2. Henn was the difference, IMHO, giving up his custumary run an inning (approximately). I didn't bet on this game because I really don't like to bet on baseball.

Bruney's the one that came in and gave up all the 2 out hits/rbis. I know the runs werer charged to Henn, but Bruney's the one who screwed them over.

[jjgold]

No value on the game even if it won

Why would anyone lay the wood against the yanks even with subs playing? Anything can happen in pro sports on any given day.

[pags11]

a game may look "too easy" if you haven't handicapped it well...if you feel like you handicapped it well and it still looks good, then I say play it...