How do I become a winner like some of you?
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nash13SBR MVP
- 01-21-14
- 1122
#36Comment -
RamsterSBR Hustler
- 06-08-09
- 81
#38I go with props and team totals more than ML and spreads. NBA 1q, 2nd half hedging, nfl 1st 7.5 are my favs.Comment -
sicklerSBR Posting Legend
- 06-05-08
- 15006
#39
Line shop. Chase steam whenever/wherever possible.Comment -
Noobnumber12SBR Rookie
- 01-23-14
- 20
#40Thanks for all the great answers guys!
Would be great if someone could explain their capping routine or something so maybe I'll get a fell of how it's supposed to be done. If you don't wanna write it here feel free to PM me!
CheersComment -
Easy-Rider 66BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 02-14-12
- 36818
#41The reality that you will make $$ long term is most likely a Lie. The odds are not in your favor. So if you commence do it for entertainment purposes/disposable income only. GL.Comment -
lesterdymondSBR MVP
- 07-25-11
- 2360
#43Buy a season package from a handicapping service. Guys like Jim Feist and Brandon Lang are gambling godsComment -
cant call itSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-29-10
- 8817
#44Here is how I like to cap a game.
I pick two games I really like. Only two, never more or less.
Write each team in each corner of a chalk/dry-erase board.
Blindfold myself, $hit in my hand, and throw it at said board.
The team I hit closest too I go all in on.
It works sixty percent of the time, every time.Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#46study line history, and think contrarianComment -
Hot JerrySBR Hall of Famer
- 08-16-13
- 5545
#47because ur nice kid I help u and u will make money !! It takes time and own picks - u DONT copy anyone - rule # 1 !! Pick a one sport that u like to start with and than start picking ur games on paper only - for one month [ it mean that u will NOT bet real money for one month ] just watch and see how u do and get ur self a full schedule [ for hole season ] !! Remember this for rest of ur gamming life - U will BETT only the good teams and fallow them very close . Any good team that did not won [ or lose ] 2 times in a row is time for that team to win so bet the team first time [ light bet - no more than 2% of ur bank role ] and have the extra money to fallow that team for next 3 games and bet progressively - EVERY GOOD TEAM WILL WIN in 5 games and Cover !! Start with this kid and never bet more than 3 games in one day , don't chase ur money with another game -Take a lose if u have too , There is another day ,and bet the same amount of money on each game !! There will be days that u don't bet - because u don't like the games on that day !! U don't bet every day !! Only when the team u been fallowing is over do to win and cover !! So good like to u kid and remember this is marathon and NOT a sprint !! and my advice to u start with straight bets only at least for while - till u get better and then try parlays !!Comment -
gauchojakeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-17-10
- 34116
#48buy a dart board but more importantly, get a sharp set of darts. that's what they mean by sharp.Comment -
zhoutangclanSBR Rookie
- 01-24-14
- 2
#49My strategy usually is to be very conservative about which bets to make. I only make bets that I feel very confident about. Once I win a couple bets, I use the profit from the wins to make parlays and cross my fingers and hope for the best! HahaComment -
Dirty SanchezSBR Posting Legend
- 03-01-10
- 16031
#50Comment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#51For normal bets, use bet size = $0. If you really like the bet, you can triple the bet size.Comment -
Noobnumber12SBR Rookie
- 01-23-14
- 20
#52Wow! Thanks for all the great feedback guys!
@HotJerry
Thanks alot man. Took your advice and going to track my plays for a month and not putting any real money inComment -
ZedsDeadSBR Rookie
- 01-25-14
- 5
#53Just signed up myself and wondered the same. There are some great tips in this thread. Thanks everyone. Good luck!Comment -
Chong WizardSBR MVP
- 03-15-10
- 1005
#54Hookers and Blow that's how you become a winnerComment -
statnerdsSBR MVP
- 09-23-09
- 4047
#55if you think capping your own games is the way to go you are fukked. market is efficient. every single worthless stat you can think of is baked into the price already.
if you do have a sport you think you can cap you must, must, must, must make your own number BEFORE checking the odds. openers are anchors so if it moves at all you will view value in relationship to the anchor. but what did the move do compared to your own number? if you are not making your own number you are fukked. making your own number, bet them, you will know if you can cap or not after about 250 plays.
derivatives
best number
reduced juice
arbComment -
Will BookSBR Hustler
- 01-18-14
- 95
#56
Playing like this puts you on the same side as the book, which is where you want to be. In short, bet like an idiot. This is hard to do, b/c it is counter intuitive. You are taking the teams everyone thinks are "for sure losers". If your bet doesn't hurt when you make it, it probably ain't a winner. Good luck.
I am not always right, but I am always sure.Comment -
Noobnumber12SBR Rookie
- 01-23-14
- 20
#57This is not going to make any sense, but look at the lines and listen to sports news. After you have made your best picks, and I am talking about games that look like the book made a mistake setting the line, switch and play the other way. The press has a way of getting you on the wrong side as well. Sometimes you will see an article, for example, "why Chicago can't win today." But, Chi. is a 3.5 fav. to a team that was featured on Sun. nite that covered easy. TAKE CHI. - the pts. Most times they will cover. And, I did say most times b/c shit happens.
Haha wow, never thought of anything like that! Not saying I will bet like that but sure will keep track wether it works or not!
Thanks again for all the awesome answers guys!
Playing like this puts you on the same side as the book, which is where you want to be. In short, bet like an idiot. This is hard to do, b/c it is counter intuitive. You are taking the teams everyone thinks are "for sure losers". If your bet doesn't hurt when you make it, it probably ain't a winner. Good luck.
I am not always right, but I am always sure
Haha wow, never thought about that! Will def see if I notice it happen!
Thanks again guys for all the awesome answers!
Would love more people writing if you feel you have anything to bring!Comment -
JR007SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-21-10
- 5279
#58fade line movesComment -
eberetta1SBR MVP
- 03-27-09
- 1159
#59I have won about $800 this season with the following method.
I even saved it in my sportsbetting procedures so I have it nearby for
next season. I never watch the games I bet, basketball not my thing. I
go and spend my time playing poker after making my sportsbets.
The way I bet college basketball games is I look for a team favored to win a game by 9 to 16 points. I usually wait until 10 games of the season have been played. Then I look to see if the teams have played each other. Over 90 percent of the time that I bet on a game, the teams have already played each other and one of them has won by 11 to 22 points. If it is an away game I allow 10 points for home field advantage. Then I make my decision. For example, Connecticut won Temple their last meeting at home by 22 points. So tonight, they are playing Temple on the road, so I expect Connecticut to win tonight by 11 since I assume Temple has a 10 point home field advantage. Actual score tonight was Connecticut 68, Temple 55. You can see the same thing with my two other bets of the night, except they were home games. Georgia State won last meeting by 15 on the road, so I expect them to win by 15-25 points at home(10 extra points for a home game). Result, Georgia State won 75-60. UL-Lafayette, same thing. UL-Lafayette won last meeting by 15 on the road(or somewhere nears that, you get the idea), so I expect themto win by 15-25 points at home. Result, UL-Lafayette 78, Troy 63.Comment -
crackerjackSBR MVP
- 08-01-06
- 3366
#60How much time do you have to invest? My best season of gambling ever was when I was capping full time. My wife left me and I was teaching school and didn't get a summer job. All I did all summer long was work out, cap baseball and watch games. So much fun. I won thousands and lost 45 lbs. I have never done as well but also have never put in as much time...Comment -
geebert74SBR MVP
- 09-03-09
- 2445
#61How much time do you have to invest? My best season of gambling ever was when I was capping full time. My wife left me and I was teaching school and didn't get a summer job. All I did all summer long was work out, cap baseball and watch games. So much fun. I won thousands and lost 45 lbs. I have never done as well but also have never put in as much time...Comment -
DJayAceSBR Rookie
- 02-22-14
- 5
#63if you think capping your own games is the way to go you are fukked. market is efficient. every single worthless stat you can think of is baked into the price already.
if you do have a sport you think you can cap you must, must, must, must make your own number BEFORE checking the odds. openers are anchors so if it moves at all you will view value in relationship to the anchor. but what did the move do compared to your own number? if you are not making your own number you are fukked. making your own number, bet them, you will know if you can cap or not after about 250 plays.
derivatives
best number
reduced juice
arbComment -
5mike5SBR Aristocracy
- 09-21-11
- 52039
#64its a hard life buddy dont be fooled....
play the only sport ur great at and have that disipline...
then u might have a chanceComment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#65I don't think you can teach someone how to win "your way" (unless they blindly tail your plays). Everyone just has to find their way in this thing, it could take months, years, for most people it never happens at all.Comment -
5mike5SBR Aristocracy
- 09-21-11
- 52039
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#67Following 3 teams maybe in each major sport and just betting those games when you have an edge
Get to know those 3 teams inside and out
Thats a great tip kidComment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#68I started out as a parlay/round robin guy... When I used to live in France. First of all it's almost impossible to win when you live in France because of ridiculous -125/-125 lines with pushes being LOSSES (just think about that for a second). Also I only bet soccer which is the only sport I followed at the time. I used to get on a run every now and then but bottom line is I was losing.
Now I live in England so can play with any book I want, never bet parlays except for fun with really small stakes, and rarely bet soccer... And I've finally started winning.Comment -
5mike5SBR Aristocracy
- 09-21-11
- 52039
#69nice job Seto, keep it going and goodluck...
Comment -
Dirty SanchezSBR Posting Legend
- 03-01-10
- 16031
#70The mark on my head is still there
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