12 Things that scare me about the Patriots today:

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30076

    #1
    12 Things that scare me about the Patriots today:
    1) The weather won't be that bad. High 30s, Wind 20-30mph,
    Rain but not very strong rain. Don't expect Luck to struggle in this.
    2) Pats rank 30th in league on Rushing Defense. So Indy using rush
    could be a lot more than just to mix it up. Brown and Richardson
    are decent backs who have shown breakout ability.
    3) Key Patriot Outs: Wilfork, Mayo, Spikes, Vollmer, Gronkowski, Dobson.
    4) Key Patriot Probables but Injured: Vereen, Arrington, Mankins,
    Amendola, McCourty, Svitek, Dennard
    5) Patriot backfield is only average at best.
    6) Luck's 443 passing yards last week at KC, a better pass d than Pats
    (13th/18th) despite Reggie Wayne and Heyward-Bey out.
    7) T.Y. Hilton's 224 yards, 13 recs, 2 TD's
    8) Robert Mathis leads the league in Sacks @ 19.5
    9) Colts pickup of DEION BRANCH.
    Deion is the type of receiver who can pick up instantly with a QB
    such as Luck who is accurate and be a factor even on 4 days practice.
    Do not expect Branch to just be a decoy (although having him as a decoy
    for Hilton is mega-value all in itself) - expect Brach to actually be a factor.
    Plus, you know Brach knows the Pats playbook inside-out, was on roster
    this year, actually Brady wanted to re-sign him was the rumor but someone
    balked on that.
    10) Colts have more Patriot Superbowl Rings than the Patriots do.
    Branch and Vinatieri have 5 Pats Rings. Brady is the only player on the
    Pats with his 3.
    11) Adam Vinatieri at Foxboro... sure as steel.
    12) The manner in which the Colts came roaring back to defeat KC
    in one of the greatest playoff comebacks in NFL History. Unreal momentum.

    still thinking about how/what to play on this.
  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #2
    Patriots will roll.

    Don't over think it.

    All the squares are on the Colts
    Comment
    • PAULYPOKER
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-06-08
      • 36581

      #3
      Originally posted by Snowball
      PP you're throwing money away if you think that Colt team is
      coming into Foxboro in January and handing one on the chin to Belichick/Brady.
      Not gonna happen.
      Dorothy ain't in Kansas anymore.
      Comment
      • SteveKerrsJunk
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-13
        • 2706

        #4
        Pats look vulnerable. I agree.
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94463

          #5
          Originally posted by Snowball
          1) The weather won't be that bad. High 30s, Wind 20-30mph,
          Rain but not very strong rain. Don't expect Luck to struggle in this.
          2) Colts pickup of Deion Branch. Branch knows the Patriots playbook,
          having been on the roster this season.
          3) Key Patriot Outs: Wilfork, Mayo, Spikes, Vollmer, Gronkowski, Dobson.
          4) Key Patriot Probables but Injured: Vereen, Arrington, Mankins,
          Amendola, McCourty, Svitek, Dennard
          5) Patriot backfield is only average at best.
          6) Luck's 443 passing yards last week at KC, a better pass d than Pats
          (13th/18th) despite Reggie Wayne and Heyward-Bey out.
          7) T.Y. Hilton's 224 yards, 13 recs, 2 TD's
          8) Robert Mathis leads the league in Sacks @ 19.5
          9) Last but NOT least: Colts pickup of DEION BRANCH.
          Deion is the type of receiver who can pick up instantly with a QB
          such as Luck who is accurate and be a factor even on 4 days practice.
          Do not expect Branch to just be a decoy (although having him as a decoy
          for Hilton is mega-value all in itself) - expect Brach to actually be a factor.
          Plus, you know Brach knows the Pats playbook inside-out, was on roster
          this year, actually Brady wanted to re-sign him was the rumor but someone
          balked on that.
          10) Colts have more Patriot Superbowl Rings than the Patriots do.
          Branch and Vinatieri have 5 Pats Rings. Brady is the only player on the
          Pats with his 3.
          11) Adam Vinatieri at Foxboro... sure as steel.
          12) The manner in which the Colts came roaring back to defeat KC
          in one of the greatest playoff comebacks in NFL History. Unreal momentum.

          still thinking about how/what to play on this.

          last time a team came back like that

          Comment
          • El Nino
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 05-03-12
            • 18426

            #6
            That "Average" backfield is going to win this game and keep luck off the field. Branch is washed up...he is a non-factor.
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30076

              #7
              just added to the list see the new #2.
              Comment
              • PAULYPOKER
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 12-06-08
                • 36581

                #8
                Originally posted by Big Bear
                All the squares are on the Colts
                I see you been readin dat dare pseudo consensus again...Lol..........
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388208

                  #9
                  I'm leaning to taking the points today in this game

                  How can Brady keep doing it with no players?
                  Comment
                  • greenhippo
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-15-12
                    • 9091

                    #10
                    Snowball was just buried so hard in his own thread he's refusing to acknowledge it. Pauly you done killed this kid, I'm calling the police.
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30076

                      #11
                      Pauly you gotta realize I am a local
                      the weather isn't gonna be as bad as previously thought
                      and we can't be lazy as cappers - initial leans sometimes
                      have to be re-evaluated ... during the week i was too busy on
                      NBA plays to actually sit and cap this game today
                      now I'm not saying the Pats won't win but there are a lot of problems
                      with the team.

                      Pick
                      42% Colts ML +270
                      58% 7 pt teaser: Colts +14.5 / Over 44

                      - the teaser covers the ML if it loses at that ratio.
                      - total payout if both: +158
                      Comment
                      • bubblebuttluv
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-13-12
                        • 5179

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        I'm leaning to taking the points today in this game

                        How can Brady keep doing it with no players?
                        No players for Brady?

                        Amandola is a good player, Edelman is a legit starter, Vereen (when he isn't fumbling the fukking ball) and Ridley are good running backs, Blount is a good enough running back, and Brady has helped mold Dobson into a pretty good wide receiver.

                        Plus Brady is the ultimate competitor. The rest of the team may get down when a game looks really bad, but Brady never ever quits. Brady made that second half comeback against Denver happen and that last drive win against New Orleans happen.
                        Comment
                        • PAULYPOKER
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-06-08
                          • 36581

                          #13
                          I did, didn't ya read it?

                          Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                          You're a homer!

                          Good Luck!
                          Comment
                          • billysink
                            Restricted User
                            • 03-29-09
                            • 5172

                            #14
                            If dude spent all that time writing a novel on a dog why does it say at end of novel he still figuring out how to play the damn thing.

                            Was this a school project?

                            Fella got down on all fours here and basically gave the dog a hummer but can't figure out how to get paid for said hummer.

                            Pass
                            Comment
                            • billysink
                              Restricted User
                              • 03-29-09
                              • 5172

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Snowball
                              Pauly you gotta realize I am a local
                              the weather isn't gonna be as bad as previously thought
                              and we can't be lazy as cappers - initial leans sometimes
                              have to be re-evaluated ... during the week i was too busy on
                              NBA plays to actually sit and cap this game today
                              now I'm not saying the Pats won't win but there are a lot of problems
                              with the team.

                              Pick
                              Colts ML +270
                              7 pt teaser: Colts +14.5 / Over 44
                              Fairly new at this?
                              Comment
                              • inTomWeTrust
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-20-13
                                • 1763

                                #16
                                People cant accept that the Brady Factor is cancelled out when Andrew Luck is on the feild.. they cancel eachother out
                                Comment
                                • billysink
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 03-29-09
                                  • 5172

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Snowball
                                  Pauly you gotta realize I am a local
                                  the weather isn't gonna be as bad as previously thought
                                  and we can't be lazy as cappers - initial leans sometimes
                                  have to be re-evaluated ... during the week i was too busy on
                                  NBA plays to actually sit and cap this game today
                                  now I'm not saying the Pats won't win but there are a lot of problems
                                  with the team.

                                  Pick
                                  42% Colts ML +270
                                  58% 7 pt teaser: Colts +14.5 / Over 44

                                  - the teaser covers the ML if it loses at that ratio.
                                  - total payout if both: +158
                                  Someone help this kid. I don't have the time or patience.

                                  Kid must be Deem Deems cousin.
                                  Comment
                                  • bubblebuttluv
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-13-12
                                    • 5179

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by inTomWeTrust
                                    People cant accept that the Brady Factor is cancelled out when Andrew Luck is on the feild.. they cancel eachother out
                                    lol, you must be fukking joking.

                                    Brady is the best QB in the game in my opinion and a lot of other people's and Luck is just now on the come up.

                                    Luck may have some "Luck" but Brady makes magic happen every week.
                                    Comment
                                    • Snowball
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 11-15-09
                                      • 30076

                                      #19
                                      Dobson is OUT.
                                      and billysink i guess you never saw that arrangement before
                                      so you just learned your new thing of the day
                                      Comment
                                      • kid_mikey_84
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-04-14
                                        • 180

                                        #20
                                        Pats and Colts EASILY the two worst playoff teams remaining. Winner will lose next week regardless.
                                        Comment
                                        • billysink
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 03-29-09
                                          • 5172

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Snowball
                                          Dobson is OUT.
                                          and billysink i guess you never saw that arrangement before
                                          so you just learned your new thing of the day
                                          Gee thanks for that kid. Quite an arrangement. How many units you got spread out over the three different results you played for basically no chance to make anything at all. No need to defend your extremely well thought out arrangement here just how many units.
                                          Comment
                                          • bobby heenan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-20-09
                                            • 4120

                                            #22
                                            lol@deion branch...if he is going to have to be a factor for indy...the game is already over....his last year with the pats i saw dbs get flagged against him simply because he could not get away from them....they were literally draped all over him as soon as the ball was snapped
                                            Comment
                                            • PAULYPOKER
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-06-08
                                              • 36581

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by bobby heenan
                                              lhis last year with the pats i saw dbs get flagged against him simply because he could not get away from them....they were literally draped all over him as soon as the ball was snapped
                                              Fantastic!
                                              Interference calls are better than actually catchin the ball, especially in end zone..........
                                              Comment
                                              • bubblebuttluv
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-13-12
                                                • 5179

                                                #24
                                                Does Snowball remember post #37 in the thread below?



                                                Two many people are trying to be brock-ish and playing both sides of the game before it starts to cover their ass.

                                                Just like too many people are trying to be like JJ now by starting threads with general statement titles.

                                                Just be your own person.
                                                Comment
                                                • lakerboy
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                  • 94463

                                                  #25
                                                  the under was the play here 6 days ago
                                                  Comment
                                                  • broadway6
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-14-09
                                                    • 13337

                                                    #26
                                                    1 thing that scares me is the colts defense. They gave up 40 points to the chiefs at home. Yes the Fukkin chiefs without their best player.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lakerboy
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                      • 94463

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by broadway6
                                                      1 thing that scares me is the colts defense. They gave up 40 points to the chiefs at home. Yes the Fukkin chiefs without their best player.


                                                      they play good against good teams though.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Snowball
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 11-15-09
                                                        • 30076

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by billysink
                                                        Gee thanks for that kid. Quite an arrangement. How many units you got spread out over the three different results you played for basically no chance to make anything at all. No need to defend your extremely well thought out arrangement here just how many units.
                                                        it doesn't matter how many units. the teaser covers the ML whether it's 1 unit
                                                        in toto or 10 or 100 all-in... teaser is the parent wager.
                                                        i don't post in terms of units unless i'm using a system.
                                                        this is a large bet in terms of total bankroll so it's 50 units. half my br.
                                                        why not ? i don't see that teaser losing... and the Colts can win this game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kmarinouofm
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 8437

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                          last time a team came back like that

                                                          http://www.pro-football-reference.co...9301310buf.htm
                                                          so was it the bills that had a sick comeback ?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • billysink
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 03-29-09
                                                            • 5172

                                                            #30
                                                            So you win the teaser and lose your money line and where you at.

                                                            Parent wager? Shit I been at this for almost 30 years and never seen a wager give birth.

                                                            Betting to cover your ass is a nice hobby kid. Enjoy yourself.

                                                            Based on your body of work here I suggest you make this a hobby and don't get carried away.

                                                            What the fukk was wrong with Indy +7.5 -106 and have a nice day
                                                            Comment
                                                            • billysink
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 03-29-09
                                                              • 5172

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by kmarinouofm
                                                              so was it the bills that had a sick comeback ?
                                                              Lakerboy is the only human being that would go back to 1993 to support some shit that don't matter a lick here. Has nothing to do with a damn thing.

                                                              Lakerboy in the fukkin war of indepedence the Patriots were down big until France bailed their ass out.

                                                              Do you see any Frenchmen today?? Just wondering.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ratzz
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 07-07-10
                                                                • 8965

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                Patriots will roll.

                                                                Don't over think it.

                                                                All the squares are on the Colts

                                                                lol..

                                                                rolling and folding are different.

                                                                Pats are folders

                                                                Comment
                                                                • konck
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-17-06
                                                                  • 12554

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Nice 12 days of Christmas story ...but thats basically what it is some how Brady gets it done ...end thread
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • frostno98
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-11-07
                                                                    • 9769

                                                                    #34
                                                                    This is where the Andrew legend is born, he will do something Peyton Manning couldn't against Billicheat.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Bill_Hicks
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-30-12
                                                                      • 1094

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Snowball
                                                                      1) The weather won't be that bad. High 30s, Wind 20-30mph,
                                                                      Rain but not very strong rain. Don't expect Luck to struggle in this.
                                                                      2) Pats rank 30th in league on Rushing Defense. So Indy using rush
                                                                      could be a lot more than just to mix it up. Brown and Richardson
                                                                      are decent backs who have shown breakout ability.

                                                                      3) Key Patriot Outs: Wilfork, Mayo, Spikes, Vollmer, Gronkowski, Dobson.
                                                                      4) Key Patriot Probables but Injured: Vereen, Arrington, Mankins,
                                                                      Amendola, McCourty, Svitek, Dennard
                                                                      5) Patriot backfield is only average at best.
                                                                      6) Luck's 443 passing yards last week at KC, a better pass d than Pats
                                                                      (13th/18th) despite Reggie Wayne and Heyward-Bey out.
                                                                      7) T.Y. Hilton's 224 yards, 13 recs, 2 TD's
                                                                      8) Robert Mathis leads the league in Sacks @ 19.5
                                                                      9) Colts pickup of DEION BRANCH.
                                                                      Deion is the type of receiver who can pick up instantly with a QB
                                                                      such as Luck who is accurate and be a factor even on 4 days practice.
                                                                      Do not expect Branch to just be a decoy (although having him as a decoy
                                                                      for Hilton is mega-value all in itself) - expect Brach to actually be a factor.
                                                                      Plus, you know Brach knows the Pats playbook inside-out, was on roster
                                                                      this year, actually Brady wanted to re-sign him was the rumor but someone
                                                                      balked on that.
                                                                      10) Colts have more Patriot Superbowl Rings than the Patriots do.
                                                                      Branch and Vinatieri have 5 Pats Rings. Brady is the only player on the
                                                                      Pats with his 3.
                                                                      11) Adam Vinatieri at Foxboro... sure as steel.
                                                                      12) The manner in which the Colts came roaring back to defeat KC
                                                                      in one of the greatest playoff comebacks in NFL History. Unreal momentum.

                                                                      still thinking about how/what to play on this.
                                                                      Richardson is the complete opposite of a breakout back. What's his longest run of the season?

                                                                      Answer: 22 measly yards.
                                                                      Comment
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