How does Oregon St Lose Tonight?

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30076

    #36
    OSU ranks 3rd in Passing offense
    Boise ranks 81st in Passing defense.

    this is worth going large on.
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30076

      #37
      Originally posted by HOT WINGS
      Also, not sure how Beavers come to play. There on a 5 game losing streak with last one being a heartbreaking loss to there in state "powerhouse" rival. Its all about motivation in these non BCS bowls and I think Oregon State has about 10% motivation in this game. GL all and Merry Christmas
      ? makes no sense. Oregon State can say they won the Hawaii Bowl for the rest of their lives. The previous 5 losses
      only make them more hungry to savor a victory, go out on a winning note, with a Bowl game, that is the definition of motivation.
      Comment
      • HOT WINGS
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-29-10
        • 8055

        #38
        Originally posted by Snowball
        ? makes no sense. Oregon State can say they won the Hawaii Bowl for the rest of their lives. The previous 5 losses
        only make them more hungry to savor a victory, go out on a winning note, with a Bowl game, that is the definition of motivation.
        Yeah I see what your saying but rewind back to September when Oregon State started #25. I think they were envisioning a team that would be better than 6-6. I just think the season has been kind of a disappointment to everyone there and it was capped off with a 5 game losing streak. Maybe they come out motivated with a fire under there ass to the right ship, but just don't see it myself. Anyways been wrong plenty of times before so maybe Oregon State comes out and smokes them but Ill take my chances. GL snowball one of us will be happy.
        Comment
        • Dollars2Donuts
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-07-13
          • 8803

          #39
          I have the game capped similarly to Rangers above and for similar reasons.

          Add in the loss of Peterson, which will only have somewhere between zero effect and a negative effect and the Southwick debacle which will again have between zero and negative effect and I like OSU here. I wish I could have had them in the -140 range, but instead I was forced into playing with the 3 point handicap.

          I think OSU covers here over 60% of the time if this game is played 100 times.....that puts me solidly on OSU.

          I wish it were otherwise, because BS is my favourite NCAA school.....


          ​D2D
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388208

            #40
            Comment
            • SteveKerrsJunk
              SBR MVP
              • 10-25-13
              • 2706

              #41
              I took the Bait. Oregon St -3
              Comment
              • Dollars2Donuts
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-07-13
                • 8803

                #42
                JJ, who possibly gave you Oregon at -2.5?? I see the line moving the other way....
                Comment
                • SteveKerrsJunk
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-25-13
                  • 2706

                  #43
                  Line up to -3.5 on 5dimes
                  Comment
                  • broadway6
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-14-09
                    • 13337

                    #44
                    Jj due or fade material?
                    Comment
                    • MiDNiTe
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-11-13
                      • 7684

                      #45
                      beavers going to roll tonight
                      Comment
                      • vanc143
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 10-26-13
                        • 101

                        #46
                        Seems like a lot of people trying to convince themselves that Oregon is the right move here. I don't buy the controversy of the coach/QB situation. This team will still go out and play hard. Their "backup" QB actually has good numbers and has been playing a lot.

                        Just got BS at +4.
                        Comment
                        • Dollars2Donuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-07-13
                          • 8803

                          #47
                          Yep, it is at +4 on 5dimes as well. I am glad I got in at -3, but still believe that Oregon is the side to be on. I am a little scared about being on the same side as JJ, but even a blind nut finds a squirrel now and then.....

                          Comment
                          • nofear1227
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-13-12
                            • 301

                            #48
                            I've got Boise State and the points. Reason being is the adjusted offense and defenxse favor boise state. Oregon States adjusted passing offense is 55 vs a Pass defense of 58. Then Boise st pass offense of 100 vs a pass defense of 19. The rushing numbers favor boise st big time in my opinion. Boise state has a very mediocre rush rank of 83 but oregon state rush defense is 114 huge advantage boise st. Then they boast a rush defense of 14 vs a 92 ranked rush offense of oregon st. THese adjusted numbers are for competition and strength of defenses and offenses they have played. I'm rolling boise st and the points. Good luck to everyone else.
                            Comment
                            • ringemup
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-24-08
                              • 2112

                              #49
                              After reviewing this matchup, heres how I see it. OSU comes in on a winless rut having ended the season on a tough battle losing the Civil War rivalry to the Ducks. The Broncos have picked up a few wins to end the year despite sum off field turbulence with peterson departed. At first glance theres temptation to like Boise just off reputation as bowl busters recently. Having said this a couple of things concern me when looking at recent losses boise suffered and its clear to me talent is not wut it used to be for the broncos. On the other side OSU despite 5 straight losses showed fight in all but one which they were blown out. Although it is technically not a road game for either side it is clear as day Beavers play strong and loose away from home. Offensively Boises bread n butter starts with the ground game to set up manageable 3rd downs while OSU likes to go with an aerial attack that seems to have slowed down a bit. It just happens that both defenses are weakest against the O's strengths. However I feel OSU can patch up their run D with a months rest than Boises shabby pass D. The battles of having gone up against power running teams in the pac-12 will benefit OSU in their preparation. On defense I think OSU will force Hedrick into tough 3rd n long downs n r backed by a dangerous CB tandem wity ballhawking skills among leaders in INT with 6 each. This time theres no Titus Young or Austin Pettis n the receivers are good but not NFL-caliber. With OSU playing to give Riley a win to end the yr. make no doubt they will play blue collar football for 60 min. Boise is excited to be here too but you wonder whether asst. Gregory can match wits with Riley who has an NFL pedigree n will likely make better adjustments thruout the game. Look for the Beavers to come out with a lot of emotion and outplay a Boise team that has seemed fragile against better competition. Edge to Oregon State -3.5. GL, 5 UNIT PLAY.
                              Comment
                              • vanc143
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-26-13
                                • 101

                                #50
                                God damn man. Paragraphs are your friend. Use them haha.
                                Comment
                                • pavyracer
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-12-07
                                  • 82666

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                  LT Profits is promoting this pick as well
                                  LT Fades promoted Cowboys and Bears on Sunday. Right now he is only good for fades.
                                  Comment
                                  • Dollars2Donuts
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-07-13
                                    • 8803

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by ringemup
                                    After reviewing this matchup, heres how I see it. OSU comes in on a winless rut having ended the season on a tough battle losing the Civil War rivalry to the Ducks. The Broncos have picked up a few wins to end the year despite sum off field turbulence with peterson departed. At first glance theres temptation to like Boise just off reputation as bowl busters recently. Having said this a couple of things concern me when looking at recent losses boise suffered and its clear to me talent is not wut it used to be for the broncos. On the other side OSU despite 5 straight losses showed fight in all but one which they were blown out. Although it is technically not a road game for either side it is clear as day Beavers play strong and loose away from home. Offensively Boises bread n butter starts with the ground game to set up manageable 3rd downs while OSU likes to go with an aerial attack that seems to have slowed down a bit. It just happens that both defenses are weakest against the O's strengths. However I feel OSU can patch up their run D with a months rest than Boises shabby pass D. The battles of having gone up against power running teams in the pac-12 will benefit OSU in their preparation. On defense I think OSU will force Hedrick into tough 3rd n long downs n r backed by a dangerous CB tandem wity ballhawking skills among leaders in INT with 6 each. This time theres no Titus Young or Austin Pettis n the receivers are good but not NFL-caliber. With OSU playing to give Riley a win to end the yr. make no doubt they will play blue collar football for 60 min. Boise is excited to be here too but you wonder whether asst. Gregory can match wits with Riley who has an NFL pedigree n will likely make better adjustments thruout the game. Look for the Beavers to come out with a lot of emotion and outplay a Boise team that has seemed fragile against better competition. Edge to Oregon State -3.5. GL, 5 UNIT PLAY.
                                    I agree with your comments on Oregon playing loose on the road. At 4-2 away from home, going up against a team that loved to play at home....it just seems like the play. While I always bet for myself and don't factor in who the public is on, I still like it when most people disagree with me....so that makes me wonder a bit here, but imo everything points to an OSU win.

                                    Mike Riley versus a missing HC also has to be a huge advantage.

                                    As I said earlier, I think the line on total will be very sharp and that we will see something along the lines of 38-28 OSU wins and breaks Boise's run of bowl victories.
                                    Comment
                                    • vanc143
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 10-26-13
                                      • 101

                                      #53
                                      Sportsinteraction has it at -4.5 now. Wish I had waited for +4.5.
                                      Comment
                                      • Phanteezy
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 09-28-13
                                        • 156

                                        #54
                                        Tough game guys could see it going either way depending on how dominate the run game is for Boise. However Mannion has a great arm and could shred Boise just as easily...
                                        Comment
                                        • Darkside Magick
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-28-10
                                          • 12638

                                          #55
                                          Boise cover...but lose by fg
                                          Comment
                                          • daneblazer
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 09-14-08
                                            • 27862

                                            #56
                                            This may not last long
                                            Comment
                                            • SteveKerrsJunk
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-25-13
                                              • 2706

                                              #57
                                              C'mon Beavs. Gotta get 7 there little Dizzles.
                                              Comment
                                              • daneblazer
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 09-14-08
                                                • 27862

                                                #58
                                                Lol game over. Good call JJ
                                                Comment
                                                • ebbearsfb1
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-07-08
                                                  • 18815

                                                  #59
                                                  Ummm yeah beaver..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MiDNiTe
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-11-13
                                                    • 7684

                                                    #60
                                                    ppl who bet boise st and trash beavers bettors will be gone in 30min boise st another fresno
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MiDNiTe
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-11-13
                                                      • 7684

                                                      #61
                                                      vanc how's your boise st bet going
                                                      Comment
                                                      • NardVa
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-02-07
                                                        • 8325

                                                        #62
                                                        This game is over...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SteveKerrsJunk
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-25-13
                                                          • 2706

                                                          #63
                                                          Pow!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • broadway6
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-14-09
                                                            • 13337

                                                            #64
                                                            JJ got an early christmas present. Marry Christmas, Corbin
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ebbearsfb1
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-07-08
                                                              • 18815

                                                              #65
                                                              Refs on Oregon st.. merry Christmas winners!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SteveKerrsJunk
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-25-13
                                                                • 2706

                                                                #66
                                                                Long way from over.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • vanc143
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 10-26-13
                                                                  • 101

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                                                                  vanc how's your boise st bet going
                                                                  I wasn't trashing anybody. Just saying what I think will happen. Only the 2nd quarter dude, settle down.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bumdeal
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-17-13
                                                                    • 3954

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Stop saying this is over when it's nowhere close. Y'all gonna jinx it
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • NardVa
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-02-07
                                                                      • 8325

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Boise St can't get a stop. Oregon St just going right down the field.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dollars2Donuts
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-07-13
                                                                        • 8803

                                                                        #70
                                                                        No frigging doubt. So early, nothing is assured yet. If it gets to 66-6 then I will declare a winner.

                                                                        Boise with points could still get there for sure.
                                                                        Comment
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