Pardon my stupid ass question

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  • BobHarvey
    SBR MVP
    • 07-08-08
    • 3987

    #1
    Pardon my stupid ass question
    My wife asked me and I didn't have a good answer for her, so I thought I'd float it on the forum.

    How do the linesmakers constantly nail these numbers. I suppose if we really knew we'd be millionaires.

    With so many variables, It's uncanny how these guys get it real close or right on the number. Is it luck on their part?
  • durito
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-03-06
    • 13173

    #2
    huh
    Comment
    • BestPlay2day
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-25-08
      • 5794

      #3
      These guys eat, sleep, and drink gambling 24/7.
      Comment
      • BobHarvey
        SBR MVP
        • 07-08-08
        • 3987

        #4
        Like I said.
        Comment
        • MilfDriller
          Restricted User
          • 11-23-08
          • 10186

          #5
          your wife should be more concerned with washing the dishes and taking out the trash
          Comment
          • BobHarvey
            SBR MVP
            • 07-08-08
            • 3987

            #6
            Yes but even so. Take the NBA all star game. Total set at 263. Total ends up at 265.
            Comment
            • SlickFazzer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-22-08
              • 20209

              #7
              They run their operation like a business, gamblers do not.
              Comment
              • Shark79
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-19-07
                • 11211

                #8
                Harvey ... Linesmakers are moved by the mob ...
                Comment
                • BobHarvey
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-08-08
                  • 3987

                  #9
                  Here maiden name is Gambino. When she asks me a question, I try and get her the answer.
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82899

                    #10
                    Originally posted by bobharvey
                    my wife asked me and i didn't have a good answer for her, so i thought i'd float it on the forum.

                    How do the linesmakers constantly nail these numbers. I suppose if we really knew we'd be millionaires.

                    With so many variables, it's uncanny how these guys get it real close or right on the number. Is it luck on their part?
                    [ATTACH]5477[/ATTACH]
                    Comment
                    • BobHarvey
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-08-08
                      • 3987

                      #11
                      Is it like KFC's "secret recipe"? I've seen "systems" on the SBR forum that would take a freakin' calculus major weeks to figure out. What are we missing?
                      Comment
                      • unde0087
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-27-08
                        • 28969

                        #12
                        computer system
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BobHarvey
                          Here maiden name is Gambino. When she asks me a question, I try and get her the answer.
                          Comment
                          • sendek13
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 02-15-09
                            • 27

                            #14
                            this is also a stupid question but lets say the line for a team is -3. What happens if they win by 3? Do I win money? They have to win by 3 or more for me to make my money right? I know I'm stupid, but I'm a rookie
                            Comment
                            • BobHarvey
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-08-08
                              • 3987

                              #15
                              That one I know. Push. No win. no loss. It's like you hitting 20 on blackjack and the dealer flopping a 13 and drawing a a two and an ace and a four. A push.
                              Comment
                              • VegasDave
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-03-07
                                • 8056

                                #16
                                Originally posted by sendek13
                                this is also a stupid question but lets say the line for a team is -3. What happens if they win by 3? Do I win money? They have to win by 3 or more for me to make my money right? I know I'm stupid, but I'm a rookie
                                In this case, you'd have a push; your wagered money would be returned and you would neither win nor lose.

                                This is why a lot of spreads have .5, so there can be no pushes.
                                Comment
                                • pavyracer
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-12-07
                                  • 82899

                                  #17
                                  You always buy the hook sendek. Always buy the hook in football or basketball.
                                  Comment
                                  • The Seer
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-29-07
                                    • 10641

                                    #18
                                    is this the advanced course?
                                    Comment
                                    • curious
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 07-20-07
                                      • 9093

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BobHarvey
                                      My wife asked me and I didn't have a good answer for her, so I thought I'd float it on the forum.

                                      How do the linesmakers constantly nail these numbers. I suppose if we really knew we'd be millionaires.

                                      With so many variables, It's uncanny how these guys get it real close or right on the number. Is it luck on their part?
                                      They use the pythagorean theorem and the log5 formula. Go to www.kenpom.com and look at his predicted scores then look at the lines that the books set. Pretty much identical.
                                      Comment
                                      • pico
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-05-07
                                        • 27321

                                        #20
                                        some games are fixed. some are lucky. like other epople said, when you gamble 24/7 you know how to make the lines. for example, you know your cat takes a shit about 2-3 times a day and your dog about 5-6 times a day...your line for total amount of shit to clean up in a day should be somewhere around 8.
                                        Comment
                                        • pavyracer
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-12-07
                                          • 82899

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by curious
                                          They use the pythagorean theorem and the log5 formula. Go to www.kenpom.com and look at his predicted scores then look at the lines that the books set. Pretty much identical.
                                          Ahh...the length of hypotenuse is the square root of the lengths of the vertical and horizontal sides of a 90 degree triangle to the power of two.
                                          Comment
                                          • pokernut9999
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-07
                                            • 12757

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BobHarvey
                                            Yes but even so. Take the NBA all star game. Total set at 263. Total ends up at 265.

                                            And the spread was 2.5 and they won by 27 , damn they are sharp
                                            Comment
                                            • InTheHole
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-28-08
                                              • 15243

                                              #23
                                              Where is that article about this?
                                              Comment
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