I need to get out of this losing streak (My GAMEPLAN)

[thundercats]

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[InTheHole]

I am sorry to hear youre in this situation.

This won't be too helpful but without looking at the games in close detail I like Louisville, Boston, Connecticut, and Oklahoma.

Good luck...want to see everyone on these boards have enough cash to gamble and have fun.

[InTheHole]

Don't forget to bump this tomorrow

[Chi_archie]

thundercats HOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO O!

[Chi_archie]

buzzy???

[InTheHole]

[thundercats]

Thanks inthehole, I'm all ready taking a look at the lines that are out.

Right now its:
Louisville ML -145
Utah ML -280
And
Boston Celtics -212

I'm wondering why Louisville's ML is so low?

[InTheHole]

Let me do some research and I'll get back to you well before tipoff.

[InTheHole]

Line looks about right...this is a road game..

[InTheHole]

Nonetheless...there are alot of games....ill give you an opinion tomorrow

[pat venditto]

lions ml

[gm2022]

lions ml

To early in 2009 for that PV

[InTheHole]

OK I'm sure the Zags is a winner...im on the spread

[InTheHole]

ok Thunder

Check Brocks thread...he is actually pretty good and just got out of the game before he could bounce back

Take a look at these...

Ark LR
Arizona
Portland
Northwes
Wisc GB

[thundercats]

Those look like some good ones. Though i don't like Arizona and Portland, Zona seems kinda close, and Portland has screwed me too many times before.

As for my original 3 picks:
(Ncaab) Louisville vs Notre Dame - Louisville ML
(Ncaab) Utah St vs Idaho - Utah St ML
(NBA) Celtics vs Mavericks - Celtics ML

I usually would go ahead and wager on them now. And majority of the time i'd get the best lines for them. But right now i'm in no position to risk that, especially if theirs a late announcement of someone not playing. So i'm gonna wait it out, tell right before tip off.

If i parlayed it, i would win big. No where near what i had earlier in the week, but it would give me some cushion space, so that i could be more flexible, and more risky.

But that would mean that i would have to go ALL-IN. Which i'm usually allways against. But in this case, i only have a little left to just the "Minimum-wager-amount".......Its sad, but it is what it is. If my parlay lost, then i'd be down to JUST 1 last wager.

I might do a "IF-WIN" bet, but it wouldn't pay nearly as well as a parlay. But because if i won 1, then i would atleast get some winnings. But i'd have less than what i started with in the beginning of the day. and i'd have to be really carefull on how i order it.

Whats your thoughts guys? do those 3 picks look solid? yay? nay?

I can't remember who said it, but to quote:
"You make the big picks, you put down alot, and you win big.....But in the end, the last 10 bucks in your bankroll are the biggest wager you'll make"

[Dark Horse]

You're probably looking at it the wrong way. You have nine picks lined up for the next three days, because, as you say, you 'need winners'. In other words, you're chasing.

Let's say you're good at football. Do you make 21 NFL wagers per week when there are only 16 games? Basketball sucks people in. Don't get sucked in. If you don't want to lose, raise your standard. Others can't do it for you.

[daggerkobe]

When in doubt, just fade Dac.

[thundercats]

You're probably looking at it the wrong way. You have nine picks lined up for the next three days, because, as you say, you 'need winners'. In other words, you're chasing.

Let's say you're good at football. Do you make 21 NFL wagers per week when there are only 16 games? Basketball sucks people in. Don't get sucked in. If you don't want to lose, raise your standard. Others can't do it for you.

Thanks Darkhorse, i understand what your saying. Though i wouldn't compare it to the NFL cause i suck at football capping lol

Yea the "Chase" is still there, and it'll probably not go away until i lose it all. But since i do have a slim chance, i'm going for it. But this time i made this thread, so that i can get a large input on what everyone thinks. Rather than just going with my own opinion.

Your right with your NFL example of putting more picks than their are games. But these 9 picks, out of the next 214 games (both NBA today, and Ncaab tell Saturday) are the ones that i feel the most strong about. And to be honest, i usually make more than just a few picks a day. And it usually works out.........until, we'll.....you hit a bad streak that sends everything out of wack. But for this bad situation, i can't risk that. So i've limited myself to those sole 9.

[buztah]

That's how chasing works, pal. You always end up chasing on the faves -- on the team that SHOULD win. Then there's an upset and you get phucken buried.

[so im zach]

Louisville plays an inside game, and I think this is probably going to be a close one.

Utah St will most likely win--I've laid off them ever since that close Fresno St game, though. If Pooh doesn't get in foul trouble, Utah St is a really good team.

Not sure about the Celtics bet. I know LT is on Dallas ML and Zboiz took Boston -3.5. If I have to side with someone there, it's probably LT.

What I like tonight...

Santa Clara -5.5 for -195 - they're just coming off that big St. Mary's win.

[thundercats]

You guys are absolutely right about the Chase.

I've taken a step back, and re-thought all my picks for the day. I'm not going to go with Boston

2 Team parlay, Louisville ML and Utah St. ML, all in.

[thundercats]

Thanks guys, it was fun while it lasted.

Notre D blewout Louisville (by 33). Unexpected, ND couldn't seem to miss, and Louieville couldn't seem to make a shot. Reminded me alot of the Nuggets/Nets game.

I might stick around, just to post my picks, but of course not wager anything. But i'm defiantly taking a long hiatus before any real wagering starts up.

Please remember this guys, a few things.

- Money Management

- Sometimes the "SMART" pick, isn't necessarily the "RIGHT" pick.

Im sticking to my promise, that if lost this last deposit, that i would take a long time off.

I wish you guys the best of luck, and happy pickings.