Can someone explain hockey line for me?

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  • FlipsideRM
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-28-11
    • 10518

    #1
    Can someone explain hockey line for me?
    Capitals moneyline tonight is -170 but for capitals to win in the first 60 minutes (-.5) the line is -108.

    so basically if I think Capitals win in regulation and it doesnt go to overtime then im getting .62 cents lower on the line? That seems like insane value..or am i wrong on this.
  • amarius87
    SBR MVP
    • 11-07-12
    • 1117

    #2
    it is what it is.
    Comment
    • Broncos
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-17-12
      • 862

      #3
      No, you are correct. Caps in regulation seems like a good bet, especially @ -108. GL.
      Comment
      • easyliving
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-25-12
        • 8876

        #4
        Originally posted by FlipsideRM
        Capitals moneyline tonight is -170 but for capitals to win in the first 60 minutes (-.5) the line is -108.

        so basically if I think Capitals win in regulation and it doesnt go to overtime then im getting .62 cents lower on the line? That seems like insane value..or am i wrong on this.
        yep your right. However I'm not sure about the exact number but the % of hockey games that go to OT is alot higher than you would expect
        Comment
        • boeing power
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 03-23-10
          • 9698

          #5
          The line is correct and if you like the caps I'd take the regulation bet before I'd lay -170.
          Comment
          • FlipsideRM
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-28-11
            • 10518

            #6
            Im just looking at the odds and cant believe im getting -108 for caps win in regulation. the line for no overtime is -400 so I guess you guys know what im playing tonight. Screw me if the Caps win in overtime tonight right lol?
            Comment
            • geezir
              SBR Rookie
              • 08-06-13
              • 23

              #7
              I don`t geht what`s so special. According to the Odds the Caps should win about 55% of matches in reg. time. If you`re taking ML they have to win about 70% in reg. time or OT.
              Sounds fair but not unusual to me
              Comment
              • Russian Rocket
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-02-12
                • 43910

                #8
                Originally posted by boeing power
                The line is correct and if you like the caps I'd take the regulation bet before I'd lay -170.
                Fliper listen to this guy...
                Comment
                • milwaukee mike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-22-07
                  • 26914

                  #9
                  people always underestimate the number of games that go to ot, and also underestimate the number of games decided by 1 goal, most guys play the -1.5 and -.5 regulation lines. but in the long run you are better off on the other side of both of those.
                  Comment
                  • Russian Rocket
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-02-12
                    • 43910

                    #10
                    Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                    people always underestimate the number of games that go to ot, and also underestimate the number of games decided by 1 goal, most guys play the -1.5 and -.5 regulation lines. but in the long run you are better off on the other side of both of those.
                    Miker call me..

                    that's one day worth of plays

                    Comment
                    • boeing power
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-10
                      • 9698

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                      Fliper listen to this guy...
                      Good luck on the over,

                      I love it but missed the line move, value is gone

                      oilers have worst goalies in the league

                      Ovie should have a big game .
                      Comment
                      • Vegas39
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-22-11
                        • 30686

                        #12
                        Originally posted by boeing power
                        Good luck on the over,

                        I love it but missed the line move, value is gone

                        oilers have worst goalies in the league

                        Ovie should have a big game .

                        Thought that was San Jose
                        Comment
                        • Russian Rocket
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-02-12
                          • 43910

                          #13
                          Originally posted by boeing power

                          Good luck on the over,

                          I love it but missed the line move, value is gone

                          oilers have worst goalies in the league

                          Ovie should have a big game .

                          Originally posted by Vegas39


                          Thought that was San Jose
                          Vegas don't make me pull ohh so recent Jonathan Quick's gifs
                          Comment
                          • boeing power
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-10
                            • 9698

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Vegas39
                            Thought that was San Jose
                            Comment
                            • Vegas39
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-22-11
                              • 30686

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Russian Rocket


                              Vegas don't make me pull ohh so recent Jonathan Quick's gifs
                              Comment
                              • FlipsideRM
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-28-11
                                • 10518

                                #16
                                4-1 Caps after 2 periods
                                Comment
                                • Russian Rocket
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 09-02-12
                                  • 43910

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                  4-1 Caps after 2 periods
                                  Fliper you''re a King!
                                  Comment
                                  • milwaukee mike
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-22-07
                                    • 26914

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                                    Miker call me..

                                    that's one day worth of plays

                                    That's nice, hockey chalks have been money. But multiply that by 20 and it's less than what i've made off autobetting sharks ml and sharks puckline...
                                    Comment
                                    • milwaukee mike
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-22-07
                                      • 26914

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                      Im just looking at the odds and cant believe im getting -108 for caps win in regulation. the line for no overtime is -400 so I guess you guys know what im playing tonight. Screw me if the Caps win in overtime tonight right lol?
                                      The -108 implies a 52% chance of winning, the -170 implies a 62% chance of winning. If the odds of going to ot are 20%, you are still better off with the -170 because the difference is 10%. If it went to ot, i would give the caps better than a 50/50 chance of winning.

                                      the problem is that people look at the -170 and think that is a higher than 62% chance of winning, just like they look at -300 and think that is 90% chance of winning instead of the reality 75%.
                                      Comment
                                      • Russian Rocket
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-02-12
                                        • 43910

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                        That's nice, hockey chalks have been money. But multiply that by 20 and it's less than what i've made off autobetting sharks ml and sharks puckline...
                                        you must be balling comrade...
                                        Comment
                                        • Rich Boy
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-01-09
                                          • 9714

                                          #21
                                          23.6% of games went to OT last season
                                          Comment
                                          • Russian Rocket
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-02-12
                                            • 43910

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                            23.6% of games went to OT last season
                                            and?...have you checked the changes in rules for this season lately?
                                            Comment
                                            • milwaukee mike
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-22-07
                                              • 26914

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Russian Rocket
                                              you must be balling comrade...
                                              The sharks offset a lot of my other weaknesses
                                              Comment
                                              • Russian Rocket
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 09-02-12
                                                • 43910

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                The sharks offset a lot of my other weaknesses
                                                Comment
                                                • Vegas39
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-22-11
                                                  • 30686

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                  The sharks offset a lot of my other weaknesses

                                                  Should work til playoff time
                                                  Comment
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