Woodhead Take Your Bookie to the Woodshed Prop

[No coincidences]

who cares when and where the picks came from? He's thrown 5 picks in 5 games. That is the important stat.

Again, three came in the first week.

I'm not saying you can't pay juice on a prop, but I don't see the rationale behind a -190 bet on this particular one. To each his own.

[TPowell]

Again, three came in the first week.

I'm not saying you can't pay juice on a prop, but I don't see the rationale behind a -190 bet on this particular one. To each his own.

You can't pick and choose what games you include in your analysis (for the most part). Only exceptions are injuries, WR's not playing, etc

[No coincidences]

You can't pick and choose what games you include in your analysis (for the most part). Only exceptions are injuries, WR's not playing, etc

So you're saying quantity is more important than how often it's occurred, given you're betting on whether or not he's throwing one tonight and not how many he's throwing?

[BroncosBettor]

Best of luck man. 5 receptions is a lot for a running back and a running back who will likely be sharing the field. Just my opinion.

[The Giant]

I like this play.

I've used Danny Woodhead a few weeks in fantasy daily football, and the guy is legit.

I just followed on this prop, at -135. I can't remember the last time I played a prop, hopefully this hits. Good luck.

[Fernburn74]

I see this prop local book at 5.5 +115

[Fred The Hammer]

I have Woodhead Over 5 catches (-130) for $200 myself. Was going to do another Pop the Prop thread but saw this first.....11-6 this year and 5-1 with catch props. Haven't read this whole thread but my Colts have a legit secondary and Bethea will shadow Gates leaving DW for a bunch of dump offs. He's already caught 29 in their last 4 games (over 7 per game). Imo the only way this one loses is if Indy holds the ball for 8 minutes drives every time they get the ball but pretty unlikely he only gets 4 or less w/Indy's secondary against mediocre WRs

[EaglesPhan36]

[TonyTall]

absolute no play. matthews and him will split time. you must feel that the chargers will fall behind by a couple scores, cause if they are leading this game they will run with mathews 15+ times

6 to win, no thanks

[TPowell]

So you're saying quantity is more important than how often it's occurred, given you're betting on whether or not he's throwing one tonight and not how many he's throwing?

yes, how often it occurred isn't important

[pavyracer]

I have longest TD scored longer than 48.5 yards for -105.

[Fred The Hammer]

absolute no play. matthews and him will split time. you must feel that the chargers will fall behind by a couple scores, cause if they are leading this game they will run with mathews 15+ times

6 to win, no thanks

Makes sense that if you like DW^5 then you like Indy to lead and/or win. Matthews got dinged up last week and he sucks anyway....they'll try to run him some but Rivers is their only chance.

[tatddy]

yes, how often it occurred isn't important

Even though I said I was done I couldn't help but think out the simple math while I was out playing tennis with the woman. I don't have a financial analysis degree like you do .... so bear with me pal.

Let's say your job that you want to quit to fund your living with this prop pays around 1K a week. Based on my non-financial degree math my brain tells me you'd be down (betting 1K a game on this prop) around $5,100 bucks betting this over Rivers last 21 games at 1K a pop at -190 for Rivers to throw a pick.

So I guess we're just stuck with my simple math and your "+ev" prop. Fortunately if you still live with your parents you can indeed quit your job.

Good night

[No coincidences]

yes, how often it occurred isn't important

I guess I don't follow.

Good luck though TP.

[broadway6]

this thread made me chuckle...good night

[face]

he loves keenan allen tonight
no love for woodhead but maybe he catches 2 or more

[face]

throw it to fukkin woodhead!

[BigDeem5]

3 catches. Need Indy to somehow get up a TD, when Chargers throw, Matthews heads to bench

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah playing with a lead tonight didn't help much, but if the Colts can score here to keep it close - maybe we can squeak out a push.

[TPowell]

Even though I said I was done I couldn't help but think out the simple math while I was out playing tennis with the woman. I don't have a financial analysis degree like you do .... so bear with me pal.

Let's say your job that you want to quit to fund your living with this prop pays around 1K a week. Based on my non-financial degree math my brain tells me you'd be down (betting 1K a game on this prop) around $5,100 bucks betting this over Rivers last 21 games at 1K a pop at -190 for Rivers to throw a pick.

So I guess we're just stuck with my simple math and your "+ev" prop. Fortunately if you still live with your parents you can indeed quit your job.

Good night

you square ass idiot, that isn't how you price a prop bet. Don't quit your fuggin day job

[Drew0585]

Woodhead at 73 total yards. I have over 74.5 yards. Come on!!!

[The Giant]

Very nice!



Now let's get this to overtime and get ourselves a win.

[EaglesPhan36]

Your yardage props cashed. Pushed on the receptions. I'll be okay with that. Rooting for Luck to take it down for a TD and some late passing or OT ...

[firedawg]

[Drew0585]

[BigDeem5]

SDG has had no penalties or sacks, b/c when they're behind they dump to woodhead

[tatddy]

you square ass idiot, that isn't how you price a prop bet. Don't quit your fuggin day job

Had to send you a pt for making yourself look like a clown all thread. Night.

[TPowell]

SDG has had no penalties or sacks, b/c when they're behind they dump to woodhead

have a feeling they dump it off again if they get the ball back.

[TPowell]

Had to send you a pt for making yourself look like a clown all thread. Night.

clueless pal, here's a couple back

[No coincidences]

you square ass idiot, that isn't how you price a prop bet. Don't quit your fuggin day job

I get more confused by the post.

What is he saying that is wrong?

[The Giant]

We need a third down dump off pass right here.

[BigDeem5]

fuking matthews looks great

[The Giant]

That huge run by Matthews killed us.

[tatddy]

clueless pal, here's a couple back

Thanks. Small profit. And for the record I was rooting for both guys in this thread to win. Wasn't I who started the attacks.