Another Classic example of a public trap game.
Utah and Golden State.
Utah obviously being the better team with the better record etc etc. Obviously golden state has been playing better with the return of montay ellis but thats irrelevant. Bottom line is that utah is the much better team and what are most people's thinking going to be on this game?
Their thought process is going to be the jazz only 1 point favorites vs the warriors?! THATS A STEAL AND A HALF, When in reality you money is getting stolen 55% of the time on these games or more.
So you've got say 65-70% of the public in these situations on the jazz with a lets say 40-45% chance of winning @ -110. Classic reason why the books win because the average bettor's thinking is OMG this line is way off i'm going to putt a HUGE bet in tonight on this jazz team when in reality the books love that you are betting into that line. This is especially true when the line opens up at jazz -1 and everyone and their mother is on the jazz but the line stays the same regardless of the fact that more than 50% of the public is on that side.
If you don't respect the oddsmakers lines especially when a good team is playing a team who lost to the wizards a few weeks back, you will be burried.
40-45% long term at -110 is JJgold 5th bank loan material.
For your sake I hope you took GSW tonight regardless of the result.
Utah obviously being the better team with the better record etc etc. Obviously golden state has been playing better with the return of montay ellis but thats irrelevant. Bottom line is that utah is the much better team and what are most people's thinking going to be on this game?
Their thought process is going to be the jazz only 1 point favorites vs the warriors?! THATS A STEAL AND A HALF, When in reality you money is getting stolen 55% of the time on these games or more.
So you've got say 65-70% of the public in these situations on the jazz with a lets say 40-45% chance of winning @ -110. Classic reason why the books win because the average bettor's thinking is OMG this line is way off i'm going to putt a HUGE bet in tonight on this jazz team when in reality the books love that you are betting into that line. This is especially true when the line opens up at jazz -1 and everyone and their mother is on the jazz but the line stays the same regardless of the fact that more than 50% of the public is on that side.
If you don't respect the oddsmakers lines especially when a good team is playing a team who lost to the wizards a few weeks back, you will be burried.
40-45% long term at -110 is JJgold 5th bank loan material.
For your sake I hope you took GSW tonight regardless of the result.
