Here's another Play I really like this week. Penn St is welcoming in their division rival Wolverines with a WHITE OUT in HAPPY VALLEY. These guys oversold tickets this week, it's going to be complete nuts. It's arguably the biggest game for the Nittany Lions this year, it's basically their Bowl Game. I had Indiana +3/ml last week against them, but a big part of that was because they were going to get caught looking ahead. Also they of course struggle with that style of offense (i.e. UCF).
Michigan comes in 5-0 riding high off blow out win against Minnesota, they have only been on the road once and we all saw that performance (24-21 win) against the awful Uconn Huskies (who btw are still looking for their first win). I'll give Brady Hoke Credit for the Minnesota game-plan because he did finally take the pressure of his young cartoon watching QB Devon Gardner. When they get Toussaint going on the ground, DG can really hurt you with both his PA and running himself. However, If you make them one Dimensional, he really struggles.
Michigan has a few key injuries on the defensive side of the ball that will make it that much harder for to stop the Penn St Offense. They also have a very bad secondary, which adds up to a long day in the Valley.
Penn St's Quarterback Christian Hackenberg could potentially have a big day. This is going to be a physical game that plays right into the home team's hands. Look for the Penn St to pound the rock (they might not pick up a ton of yards) but they will set up some big plays down field to star WR Allen Robinson off Play Action. If they can keep Hackenberg up right, they have an excellent chance at controlling this game.
I think they will stack the box against Gardner and force Michigan to beat them through the air. The White Out crowd will make it that much harder for DG to be effective. Flat out the Wolverines are not that good outside of the Big House, and I don't expect they leave Pennsylvania with a win.
Look for Devon Gardner to get rattled early and most likely turn the ball over. The big plays down the field against the weak Michigan secondary will be the difference.
Penn St +120 2x
Injuries to report
Michigan
Weather should not be an issue
Line moving down from the opener of 3
Michigan comes in 5-0 riding high off blow out win against Minnesota, they have only been on the road once and we all saw that performance (24-21 win) against the awful Uconn Huskies (who btw are still looking for their first win). I'll give Brady Hoke Credit for the Minnesota game-plan because he did finally take the pressure of his young cartoon watching QB Devon Gardner. When they get Toussaint going on the ground, DG can really hurt you with both his PA and running himself. However, If you make them one Dimensional, he really struggles.
Michigan has a few key injuries on the defensive side of the ball that will make it that much harder for to stop the Penn St Offense. They also have a very bad secondary, which adds up to a long day in the Valley.
Penn St's Quarterback Christian Hackenberg could potentially have a big day. This is going to be a physical game that plays right into the home team's hands. Look for the Penn St to pound the rock (they might not pick up a ton of yards) but they will set up some big plays down field to star WR Allen Robinson off Play Action. If they can keep Hackenberg up right, they have an excellent chance at controlling this game.
I think they will stack the box against Gardner and force Michigan to beat them through the air. The White Out crowd will make it that much harder for DG to be effective. Flat out the Wolverines are not that good outside of the Big House, and I don't expect they leave Pennsylvania with a win.
Look for Devon Gardner to get rattled early and most likely turn the ball over. The big plays down the field against the weak Michigan secondary will be the difference.
Penn St +120 2x
Injuries to report
Michigan
| Ondre Pipkins | DT | Out For Season (knee) |
| Jake Ryan | LB | Questionable October 12 (knee) |
Line moving down from the opener of 3
