a challenge for pavy, and anyone else. 13 in a row

[ryanXL977]

take 1 dollar and make 13 straight +EV bets (using principal plus winnings each time), turn it into a minimum of 8k. And no matter what you get to, keep going till you get to 8k

can you do it? its pretty hard to get to $250 in itself

or start with $2 and you only have to win 12 in a row to get to 8k

its pretty fun and pretty much free

the challenge has been issued. Who will be the first to do it

[Casperwaits]

I will do it if you spot me a $

LA Clippers +7.5

[ryanXL977]

i was about to ask you for a buck, shit

[MonkeyF0cker]

Actually it would take 13 bets in a row (at -110) with $2 to reach $8926.39...

14 in a row with a dollar...

[curious]

take 1 dollar and make 13 straight +EV bets (using principal plus winnings each time), turn it into a minimum of 8k. And no matter what you get to, keep going till you get to 8k

can you do it? its pretty hard to get to $250 in itself

or start with $2 and you only have to win 12 in a row to get to 8k

its pretty fun and pretty much free

the challenge has been issued. Who will be the first to do it

I will.

My book's minimum is $10, so I will turn $10 into $80,000 and change. 13 wins turns $10 into $81,920

1. Utah -300 money line $30 to win $10 Win
2. Wisconsin Green Bay -550 money line 110 to win $20 Win
3.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Didn't figure it out with 14 in a row with a dollar but it's probably about $8k

[ryanXL977]

it seems possible, start with a roll of $100. just make $1 bets and keep doubling
at some point you should be able to hit at least 6-8 in a row, then become uber selective and go from there.
its $1 so no big loss

[Fiasco]

I'll try it

exactly 2$ starting

[konck]

1 win 10x's you got over 1k

[pavyracer]

You have to make sure when you start this you are on your first game of your 13 game winning streak. Maybe do one game every day. The problem is when you hit 12 in a row and make the balance $4,000 it will be hard to pick a winner to make it $8,000 because of the stress.

[curious]

You have to make sure when you start this you are on your first game of your 13 game winning street. Maybe do one game every day. The problem is when you hit 12 in a row and make the balance $4,000 it will be hard to pick a winner to make it $8,000 because of the stress.

Just take some meth and then you won't be stressed.

[SlickFazzer]

A mathematical analysis by Justin would be interesting.

[ryanXL977]

You have to make sure when you start this you are on your first game of your 13 game winning streak. Maybe do one game every day. The problem is when you hit 12 in a row and make the balance $4,000 it will be hard to pick a winner to make it $8,000 because of the stress.

thats why i posted dont stop till you get to 8k
also, youa re starting with 1 buck so dont forget to convince yourself its 1 buck, not 4k

besides, when you hit 12 in a row, you can deal with it when you get there

i just think it would be a very cheap and very easy way to have fun with games, very little stress bc its really only 1 buck to begin with
why the hell not
if you start with $100 it should last you the whole year.

[curious]

So far I am the only one who put actual money behind this along with a pick that can be graded. Everyone else is just philosophizing.

If you are dong this put an actual bet up with a pick before game time that can be graded so your record can be verified. Then, if that game wins, the next pick, etc etc. That is what I am going to do.

[MonkeyF0cker]

If you did it with $1 (@ -110):

1: $1.91
2. $3.65
3. $6.97
4. $13.34
5. $25.47
6. $48.62
7. $92.82
8. $177.20
9. $338.29
10. $645.83
11. $1232.95
12. $2353.81
13. $4493.64
14. $8578.77

[Boner_18]

I'll play (albeit for a dollar). I will take Casper's Clippers +7.5.

Might be done tomorrow.

[ryanXL977]

i propose +ev bets , it will save you one of those steps

[curious]

i propose +ev bets , it will save you one of those steps

I think you mean + odds. + odds and +EV are not the same thing.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Chances of hitting at fair value (0 EV, 50%):

13 in a row: 0.012207%
14 in a row: 0.006104%

[VegasDave]

I'm nowhere close to the math guys around here (I mean not in the same ballpark), but just a quick simple equation...

In order to find out how likely something is to happen x amount of times in a row, you plug it in to (probability of occurance) to the x power.

Coin flip landing on heads twice in a row? (.50)^2 = .25, 25% chance.

3 times? (.50)^3 = .125, or a 12.5% chance.

So I'll give you the benefit of the doubt and say you are a winning capper, and that any individual -110/-110 event you have a 53% chance of picking correctly.

So (.53)^13 = .00026, or a 0.026% chance.

Good luck!

[MonkeyF0cker]

True odds for each:

13 in a row: 8191:1
14 in a row: 16383:1

[ryanXL977]

i didnt say it would be easy, its near impossible
but its cheap and will last a while

[B1GER1C828]

ima try..but when i get to like 600 ima prob bitch out

[B1GER1C828]

first play is jazz -2 2 dollars to win 1.81.

[curious]

2nd game Wisconsin Green Bay -550 ML

Utah wins easily....

2nd game Wisconsin Green Bay -550 110 to win $20

[MonkeyF0cker]

Uhh. How does a -550 ML figure into this?

[MonkeyF0cker]

Pretty sure he meant ATS bets...

[curious]

Pretty sure he meant ATS bets...

You bet your money the way you want and I will bet my money the way I want. Okay?

[B1GER1C828]

your not supposed 2 bet the 5.50 to win 1 dollar...supposed 2 b 1 dollar at -550 which was $.18

not really any fun if ur just gna take huge favors 2 win 10 bux..haha

[MonkeyF0cker]

You bet your money the way you want and I will bet my money the way I want. Okay?

Yeah. Go ahead. But what you're doing has no relevance to the thread, genius.

[pavyracer]

Play #1 for my $1 to win 91c is:

Eastern Illinois -16.5

[Fiasco]

Play 1: Baylor -4.5 -105

2 to win 1.9

[curious]

Yeah. Go ahead. But what you're doing has no relevance to the thread, genius.

I'll pick 13 winners in a row. Oh, I forgot you mother ****ing pussies won't play money lines.

You don't want 13 winners posted before game time? Fine with me. Why don't you ****ing crybabies go **** yourselves. ****ing pussies can't lay a money line without whining about. **** all you goddam mother ****ers.

[curious]

Yeah. Go ahead. But what you're doing has no relevance to the thread, genius.

I won 68 units in NCAAB today shithead. How many units did you win?

Goddam mother ****ing piece of shit.

[Fiasco]

Play 1: Baylor -4.5 -105

2 to win 1.9

O-1