Tomorrow is the toughest NFL card I have seen in a long time
Seriously I can't find a single game where I can find an edge on betting either side or even ML.
I'm taking the day off tomorrow. Tread lightly my friends.
pinnacle420
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-12
6254
#2
Pavy take the under 48 In bears/saints game and thank me later.. Cheers!!
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mminkovski
SBR MVP
06-22-07
1077
#3
same here, Vikings have a bye week and I can't find a single game to bet on.
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teaserpleaser
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-14-08
26015
#4
That's why im passing going to magic mountain or maybe take my dogs hiking ....killed it today rather not give it back I looked at the card should be a bloodbath here sunday.
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The Giant
SBR Posting Legend
01-21-12
21480
#5
Originally posted by pinnacle420
Pavy take the under 48 In bears/saints game and thank me later.. Cheers!!
Sometimes it's not good to lock in early.
The number is over 50.
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tokio
SBR MVP
03-30-10
2150
#6
Broncos ML and Packers ML? I don't know how Cowboys are gonna stop Manning and I definitely can't see Packers going 1-3.
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TonyTall
SBR MVP
08-21-13
3551
#7
pavy do this
pick 3 leans on 1 o'clock games. so say you have team A at -4, but you dont bet you wait until half
then at half team A is trailing 14-10 and you take them -4.5 for the 2nd half, you got them at a pk!
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TonyTall
SBR MVP
08-21-13
3551
#8
in 3 games, you are certain to find this scenario to pounce on
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nvrlose37
SBR MVP
06-01-12
2730
#9
Originally posted by tokio
Broncos ML and Packers ML? I don't know how Cowboys are gonna stop Manning and I definitely can't see Packers going 1-3.
This is my all in parlay.
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Scorpion
SBR Hall of Famer
09-04-05
7797
#10
take the under dal/denver
det +7
kc -2.5
bal +2.5
cinc +1
sea -2
caro -1.5
60% easy
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teaserpleaser
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-14-08
26015
#11
not going to lie the over in the colts/seahaws game and the Bengal/pats game 44 is a tad low still don't know if i'll play them though....gut just screams that that colts seahawks will go over the number
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MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#12
Pretty much agree but there's always winners just gotta find em
Ravens, Saints, Panthers, Bengals leans.....
Colts/Seahawks Over probably my favorite play but there really isn't anything that stands out
Either way not betting any more than a unit a game....Not forcing any big plays
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MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#13
Originally posted by teaserpleaser
not going to lie the over in the colts/seahaws game and the Bengal/pats game 44 is a tad low still don't know if i'll play them though....gut just screams that that colts seahawks will go over the number
Great minds think alike
If this were in Seattle I wouldn't like it but I think Colts can score at home and the Seahawks will get theirs
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pinnacle420
SBR Hall of Famer
10-01-12
6254
#14
Originally posted by The Giant
Sometimes it's not good to lock in early.
The number is over 50.
We'll giant I loved it at 48 and at 50 that's Christmas in October bro!! Even better.. It doesn't hit 46..
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bubblebuttluv
SBR Hall of Famer
11-13-12
5179
#15
Yeah, Pavy it is BRUTAL.
The only single game I can really see on this "football week's" schedule is Falcons moneyline on Monday night. Going 1-3, losing two straight in the dome, and just losing to the Jets in general will be a fukking disaster. If the Falcons lose this game it will basically take a miracle to even get an NFC wildcard, even at this early stage.
I can also see Broncos moneyline and MAYBE Packers moneyline.
I'll probably also put some on 49ers moneyline at around 7:30 PM if the day has gone well.
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ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27020
#16
i would advise to tread lightly with the over in the Colts game
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Ra77er
SBR Posting Legend
06-20-11
10969
#17
Parlay everything on the board, do that 4 or 5 times, rub one out, start looking for ways to hedge the third leg of one of your 12 teamers, create a thread.
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SteveRyan
SBR MVP
11-15-11
1654
#18
Originally posted by pavyracer
Seriously I can't find a single game where I can find an edge on betting either side or even ML.
I'm taking the day off tomorrow. Tread lightly my friends.
Funny you made this thread cause I was thinking the exact same thing on Wednesday. Then I ended up finding some edge on totals. Most of my plays this week are on overs but I did take two dogs straight up.
Pats O45
Seattle O43
Saints O53
Packers O48
Jax U42
Philly ML
AZ ML
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MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#19
Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
i would advise to tread lightly with the over in the Colts game
Line just seems too low, and its usually for a reason but I have had success this year just going with what I cap
I think both teams hit the 20's even though Colts D has been better than expected
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teaserpleaser
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-14-08
26015
#20
Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
i would advise to tread lightly with the over in the Colts game
walter white style... Not sold on the colts D they shut down Niners without Vernon davis and its clear they are limited at Wr right now with all their guys banged up anybody can shut down jags Oakland and Miami scored 20 and 17 on them seattle is a different beast im actually more concerned with colts getting theirs...might just take seahawks team total im beat have to look again sunday.
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ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27020
#21
these NFL weeks are why I love teasers LOL
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MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#22
Originally posted by teaserpleaser
walter white style... Not sold on the colts D they shut down Niners without Vernon davis and its clear they are limited at Wr right now with all their guys banged up anybody can shut down jags Oakland and Miami scored 20 and 17 on them seattle is a different beast im actually more concerned with colts getting theirs...might just take seahawks team total im beat have to look again sunday.
Colts need to win with Luck and their weapons on the outside.....maybe some draws and screens with T-Rich, but gotta let Luck do his thing
Can the Colts O-line hold up though? Dolphins gave them trouble at home and Seattle is a different animal
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tokio
SBR MVP
03-30-10
2150
#23
Seahawks on the road is not the same Seahawks at home. We saw this last week and if it wasnt for a Texans meltdown and play calling, they were getting handled.
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ChalkyDog
SBR Hall of Famer
10-02-11
9598
#24
Really liking the card tomorrow. Hard a hard time finding games for the NCAA card today.
Few games I pounded. Thinking points again.
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Ernie Mccracken
SBR MVP
09-11-11
1986
#25
How can you not like the Colts?
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MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#26
Originally posted by ChalkyDog
Really liking the card tomorrow. Hard a hard time finding games for the NCAA card today.
Few games I pounded. Thinking points again.
What bets ya lookin at Chalky?
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ramones951
SBR MVP
12-23-08
2356
#27
Originally posted by tokio
and I definitely can't see Packers going 1-3.
This logic is so flawed... every time I see it, I am reminded why most are terrible at handicapping NFL. Regardless of the outcome of this particular game, I sure am glad I've moved on from this level of thinking
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parlayin
SBR MVP
11-03-07
1091
#28
What do you mean? "i cant see nyg going 0-3 worked well against carolina (then kc)"
The fact that each game is an independent event means nothing. Lets start associating things like whatyou think their ioverall record SHOULD be to projecting the outcomeof an individual game!
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ChalkyDog
SBR Hall of Famer
10-02-11
9598
#29
Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
What bets ya lookin at Chalky?
Dogs.
Indy, Oakland, and maybe Jets Monday Night.
I've been cashing on teasers all year long. Really want to tease Dallas up, but I'd rather just tease the over.
Really want to bet Bears, but I don't trust myself to see this right.
Going to limit it to 2 plays max on the early games, and that will determine my action for the rest of the day.
Got a few college/NFL teasers than have a leg or three.
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MoneyLineDawg
SBR Posting Legend
01-01-09
13253
#30
Originally posted by ChalkyDog
Dogs.
Indy, Oakland, and maybe Jets Monday Night.
I've been cashing on teasers all year long. Really want to tease Dallas up, but I'd rather just tease the over.
Really want to bet Bears, but I don't trust myself to see this right.
Going to limit it to 2 plays max on the early games, and that will determine my action for the rest of the day.
Got a few college/NFL teasers than have a leg or three.
I'm a big dog bettor myself, especially in the NFL
Like Oakland and the Jets + the points....Torn on Colts/Seahawks side, just like the Over more than anything there
Yeah, Denver Overs are money, tease it and you're golden
I'm probably on the Saints myself but still unsure because the Bears are damn good at home...In years past, Saints would lose this game for sure but I think their D and team as a whole is a lot tougher this season......Basically they're not just that pussy finesse dome team as much IMO
Tough call
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greenhippo
SBR Hall of Famer
02-15-12
9091
#31
Over in Giants/Eagles easy $$$$
Chargers pound the Raiders
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bubblebuttluv
SBR Hall of Famer
11-13-12
5179
#32
The point of the "they can't go 1-3" thing is that the belief of "they are due" (which is essentially what the "they can't go 1-3 means") is complete bullshit.
You can say how badly it will suck if they go 1-3 or how their season will be ruined if they go 1-3, but to say it "can't happen" is ridiculous.
This is the NFL (this goes for any other sport as well), you EARN every win and you DESERVE every loss.
Jacksonville DESERVES the record they have because for NFL players, they play like scrubs.
Denver EARNED their record because they are playing amazing.
parlayin, you probably are great pples. But, talking about how something "can't happen" in sports is bush-league.
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winz
SBR Wise Guy
11-19-12
537
#33
best move is if nothing jumps out then just wait and try to make an educated 2nd half play...personally i wish i had the discipline to do that consistently, always seem to hit at a high percentage on 2nd half plays.
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etothep
SBR MVP
09-14-07
1299
#34
Only leans I have are SEA/IND O43.5, HOU/SF U42.5 & OAK +4.5
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Riza
SBR Rookie
09-14-13
38
#35
Originally posted by tokio
Broncos ML and Packers ML? I don't know how Cowboys are gonna stop Manning and I definitely can't see Packers going 1-3.
yea thats pretty much what i thought. i need packers and broncs SU to close a $2600 parlay. GL if you are betting them