Is this a good hockey bet, Car/SJ game ?

[Doug]

Does this combination of bets make any sense to you guys ?

huge dog here, nearly 3-1

If you played, straight, matchbook lines:
........................................ ........................................ .......................

Carolina +1.5 -109 109/100

Carolina/SJ over 5.5 +115 100/115

........................................ ........................................ ........................

There are only six results that lose both bets:

2-0
3-0
4-0
5-0
3-1
4-1

with SJ winning, anything else and you push with nearly no loss, or win both bets.

4-3 SJ for example, gets the money.

Anybody like it ?

[AMBlai01]

what about 1-0? 2-1? either way......I think you are looking at this a bit wrong....

If you are going to parlay the over and a PL, you should so SJ -1.5 and over 5.5

Although most books won't let you play that because its considered a correlated parlay....if you find one you can make some serious money on those...

[Doug]

This kind of depends on Carolina getting two goals, so it is similar to betting a Carolina team total over 2, which is at over 2 -130 at 5D ( 30 cent lineset).

I prefer it with tight MB lines.

Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks
Thu 2/5 15 Carolina Hurricanes +1½ -115 +255 Over 5½ +105 Over 2 -130 Under 2 +100
10:35PM (EST) 16 San Jose Sharks -1½ -105 -310 Under 5½ -125 Over 3½ +105 Under 3½ -135
Thu 2/5 15 Carolina Hurricanes +1 +172 Over 5 -150
10:35PM (EST) 16 San Jose Sharks -1 -203 Under 5 +130
Thu 2/5 15 Carolina Hurricanes -1½ +800 Over 6 +140
10:35PM (EST) 16 San Jose Sharks +1½ -1250 Under 6 -160
Thu 2/5 15 Carolina Hurricanes -1 +654
10:35PM (EST) 16 San Jose Sharks +1 -1007
Thu 2/5 15 Carolina (1st 60 min) +½ +150 +306
10:35PM (EST) 16 San Jose (1st 60 min) -½ -170 -366
Thu 2/5 15 CAR/SAN Goes to Overtime +350
10:35PM (EST) 16 CAR/SAN No Overtime -440
Thu 2/5 15 Carolina (1st 60 min) -½ +395
10:35PM (EST) 16 San Jose (1st 60 min) +½ -495

[Nicky Santoro]

what about 1-0? 2-1? either way......I think you are looking at this a bit wrong....

1-0 and 2-1 doesn't beat him. however, those 6 combinations of possible score outcomes are very common.. for a game like this, there is a decent chance that the score will be one of the 6 possible score scenarios.

[Doug]

what about 1-0? 2-1? either way......I think you are looking at this a bit wrong....

If you are going to parlay the over and a PL, you should so SJ -1.5 and over 5.5

Although most books won't let you play that because its considered a correlated parlay....if you find one you can make some serious money on those...

It's not a parlay, it is two straight bets, 1-0 or 2-1 either way wins,the Carolina +1.5, and loses the over....pretty much a wash.

Only those 6 specific scores, with SJ winning, lose the bet... except for possible minor juice.

[AMBlai01]

This game is funny to me all together....I really don't think San Jose should be that big of a Favorite, I was guessing before the lines came out last night that it would be in the -260 range then I look and it is over 300...

Do I think that San Jose will win? Of course...More than 2 goals? Very possible, they are due for one of those break out games where they put up 7 goals...in which case your over would hit......

[AMBlai01]

1-0 and 2-1 doesn't beat him. however, those 6 combinations of possible score outcomes are very common.. for a game like this, there is a decent chance that the score will be one of the 6 possible score scenarios.

I went back and re-read it...my mistake. I was thinking that he was going to parlay the two, as you can see by my response. Obviously 1-0 and 2-1 wouldn't beat him then....you are right.

[Doug]

1-0 and 2-1 doesn't beat him. however, those 6 combinations of possible score outcomes are very common.. for a game like this, there is a decent chance that the score will be one of the 6 possible score scenarios.

4-0 and 5-0 seem not so likely.

It comes down to :

Are those 6 results more likely than , stuff like:

Carolina winning:

6-0
5-1
5-2
5-3
5-4
4-2
4-3

SJ winning:

6-5
5-4
4-3

and any super high score, with a one goal margin.