Fading VA Tech again, Thursday Night?

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Fading VA Tech again, Thursday Night?
    Normally I love Ga Tech at home on short weeks, because teams simply do not have enough time to prepare for the Triple Option. Its been a huge angle for me for quite some time, but that is mostly used with non conference games.

    The Hokie Defense is very experienced up front, and obviously have seen this attack before. IF any DC can prepare them its Bud Foster, right?




    They haven't seen Vad Lee or faced this attack with a QB who is capable of throwing the football when they need to. This is not Joshua Nesbitt or Tevin Washington. The Yellow Jackets lost this game last year in their opener @ lane 20-17. (Hokies had all that time before the season to prepare)

    Also we all know how bad the Hokie kicking game is, and that might force Beamer's hand in some critical situations, to keep the ball in Logan Thomas hands. (You know how that typically goes)

    The line jumped off the key number quickly from 7 to 7.5

    I think Ga Tech is excellent choice for ML Parlays/Teasers this week...

    Can't see this Hokie team going into Bobby Dodd and coming out with a Win.

    They might not dice them for 300+ but 230-240 should be sufficient as long as they don't put the ball on the ground multiple times. (only 1 on the season up to this point)

    Bottom line is the Yellow Jackets should control the Time of Possession, as they are converting 3rd downs at a 67% Clip.

    That should set the tone with an early lead and make that Hokie Offense play from behind. A recipe for a long night in Atlanta on National Tv.

    Thoughts?

    Good Luck Gentlemen

  • Huckleberry Pig
    SBR MVP
    • 02-07-13
    • 2564

    #2
    Great write-up. Agree with everything you said. Wish the line was still at -7.


    Not that it matters much with VT offense, but what does GT D look like?
    Comment
    • Louisvillekid1
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-17-07
      • 52143

      #3
      Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
      Great write-up. Agree with everything you said. Wish the line was still at -7.


      Not that it matters much with VT offense, but what does GT D look like?
      Add some thoughts on that a little later.

      Looking at the rest of the card now....

      I think this line could go to 8/8.5 before kick, but I'm not the best predictor of that. I wouldn't mind laying the extra 10 cents to buy down to the key #
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        I am actually on Va Tech +7.5.
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #5
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          I am actually on Va Tech +7.5.
          You think that will be the best # you can get?
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            When LT on a game we listen
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
              You think that will be the best # you can get?
              Well when I played it, it had gone down from 7.5 to 7 at a lot of places. I now see that it turned around and is back at 7.5 at most places so I might have jumped the gun. The truth of the matter though is that there is really not too much difference between 7.5-8, so I'll only be annoyed if it hits 8.5.
              Comment
              • Huckleberry Pig
                SBR MVP
                • 02-07-13
                • 2564

                #8
                LT what makes you like Va Tech? Just curious, wanna see both sides takes
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
                  LT what makes you like Va Tech? Just curious, wanna see both sides takes
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Foster has defended the Ga Tech triple option better than any ACC team over the last five years, I see this is as a relatively low scoring game. Maybe not low scoring enough to play under 42ish, but low scoring enough to give the hook on the 7 value.
                    Comment
                    • broadway6
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-14-09
                      • 13337

                      #11
                      Bud foster knows how to stop ga tech. That said, va tech can't run, pass, or score. Teaser or ML is the way to go.
                      Comment
                      • coca84
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 08-31-11
                        • 34

                        #12
                        I think a Teaser is the way to go here.
                        Comment
                        • Louisvillekid1
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-17-07
                          • 52143

                          #13
                          Cocaine
                          Comment
                          • tblues2005
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-30-06
                            • 9235

                            #14
                            Va. Tech is so overrated it isn't funny. Fade them until they beat you. I agree on this one too.
                            Comment
                            • Iwinyourmoney
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-18-07
                              • 18368

                              #15
                              I like the + points here
                              Comment
                              • coitus_maximus
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-05-12
                                • 870

                                #16
                                I disagree with VT being overrated now. I think the other way now after close games with ECU and Marshall. Now public opinion against VT and all for GT since they came back against UNC and demolished Duke. What you need to see is how teams are rushing the ball vs. VT. The most yds against them is 133 by marshall. Even the great running SEC team Alabama had less than 100 yds rushing. So with a low scoring game and a good D against the run who knows how to stop the triple option and won last 5 of 6 matchups, getting 7.5 is a good deal.
                                Comment
                                • pokerwhiz90
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-02-10
                                  • 2618

                                  #17
                                  VA Tech teaser is high value, couple that with 49ers +3... who's on it with me?

                                  getting 13 points, when the total is at 41 seems like a good option

                                  also, games have been very close, and i was unimpressed with the slow start against unc last week - although i did cash with them!
                                  Gtech is 4-0 ATS, i think they will win but probably not cover

                                  IMO +13 has a smaller edge over the -1 Ga tech line you can tease
                                  Comment
                                  • khaden
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-19-09
                                    • 1864

                                    #18
                                    Not sure yet but leaning Ga tech - improved passing game and seem to be playing much faster and aggressive on defense under their new DC
                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #19
                                      Books seem very comfortable with the dog tonight imo

                                      Some preferring to go the 6.5 -120 route

                                      I don't think people know how good Vad Lee is yet
                                      Comment
                                      • Smoke
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-09-09
                                        • 48111

                                        #20
                                        Vtech is my BTP play im currently ranked #87
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          i took gtech small but man this 3rd week in a row ive bet them and almost always i get burnt by week 2 of doing this, and easily could have last week, they have a non cover win in their future as long as i keep betting them.. lol
                                          Comment
                                          • YoGaddy
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 09-02-12
                                            • 278

                                            #22
                                            What do y'all think about having GTECH PK and over 35?
                                            Comment
                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-17-07
                                              • 52143

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by YoGaddy
                                              What do y'all think about having GTECH PK and over 35?
                                              Well I played them ML

                                              Also played a ML Parlay and Teaser and left the back end open

                                              Not gonna try to nail both sides of this game
                                              Comment
                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-17-07
                                                • 52143

                                                #24
                                                Few Notes:

                                                This game is a whiteout

                                                Weather: The night-time forecast in Atlanta calls for around 58 degrees, mostly clear with a slight chance of rain.

                                                Status of J.C. Coleman?
                                                Comment
                                                • 9ersPride
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-21-13
                                                  • 186

                                                  #25
                                                  IWIN great call bro..keep it up
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tokio
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-30-10
                                                    • 2150

                                                    #26
                                                    Lee is horrible. Jezzus, he couldnt even hit a receiver without throwing it 5ft off the mark.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #27
                                                      I am so disappointed in myself for this

                                                      made so many rookie capping mistakes

                                                      IT WILL NOT HAPPEN. AGAIN

                                                      my capping style never puts me on a side like this

                                                      I'm still not recovered from this

                                                      saturday afternoon can not come some enough

                                                      marked this as a loser 3 minutes into the game

                                                      Comment
                                                      • tony_come
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-31-10
                                                        • 21695

                                                        #28
                                                        Lkid we want more plays from you. Thx pal
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #29
                                                          The writing was on the wall,

                                                          just dropped the ball here
                                                          Comment
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