This NFL game tonight scares the hell out of me

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65728

    #1
    This NFL game tonight scares the hell out of me
    Almost all my friends are drinking the KC kool-ade tonight.
    Almost all the NFL junkies at work are loving KC tonight.
    Now I am reading a couple of professional handicappers (not touts) are loving the Chiefs as well.

    Is everybody going to get buried tonight?

    I said (if you remember) KC is a dark horse this season, and could go to the AFC title game, but I am leaning Philly myself in this spot.

    Chime in guys
  • easyliving
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-25-12
    • 8876

    #2
    huge no bet for me simply no angle to bet here and it could go both ways
    Comment
    • unluckysob
      SBR MVP
      • 05-21-08
      • 1527

      #3
      Heritage line moved from -3 to -3.5, somebody likes EaglesQUOTE=stevenash;19677180]Almost all my friends are drinking the KC kool-ade tonight.
      Almost all the NFL junkies at work are loving KC tonight.
      Now I am reading a couple of professional handicappers (not touts) are loving the Chiefs as well.

      Is everybody going to get buried tonight?

      I said (if you remember) KC is a dark horse this season, and could go to the AFC title game, but I am leaning Philly myself in this spot.

      Chime in guys[/QUOTE]
      Comment
      • NYSportsGuy210
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-07-09
        • 11347

        #4
        Andy Reid against his former team. We may see shoot out. We may see Michael Vick sacked, injured and turning the ball over a lot.

        Anyone's guess.
        Comment
        • TonyTall
          SBR MVP
          • 08-21-13
          • 3551

          #5
          rivers was unreal on 3rd down 10/15

          he also had one of the best games of his career 400+ yards 3td's 0 picks

          i think this was an outlier game i really do. i think philly rolls them tonight. i wouldnt back KC +7

          philly is the play at home, short week for kc to prepare for that tempo

          Eagles 31-20
          Comment
          • detroitlionsfan
            SBR MVP
            • 04-30-12
            • 1895

            #6
            Agree

            Not touching this gm
            Comment
            • geebert74
              SBR MVP
              • 09-03-09
              • 2445

              #7
              I have the eagles. I have had the eagles since last week, and at 11:30 tonight Im going to love the eagles.
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94379

                #8
                Line screams a fg game win for philly. Books want no part either.
                Comment
                • 5mike5
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-21-11
                  • 52065

                  #9
                  If It scares u dont bet it.

                  No play
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82843

                    #10
                    The Eagles will cover the spread. My prediction is Eagles 31 Chiefs 17.
                    Comment
                    • ebelisle22
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-27-11
                      • 4726

                      #11
                      under
                      Comment
                      • Vinnie Paz
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-27-12
                        • 12177

                        #12
                        Chiefs d looked pretty good from the little I saw vs Dallas(Gabbert game doesn't count)

                        Can eagles seriously score 30+ every game ?


                        Can't bet eagles game cause i love them too much, but I'm pumped to watch this 1. Should be a doozy!
                        Comment
                        • booksbroker
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-19-13
                          • 553

                          #13
                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                          The Eagles will cover the spread. My prediction is Eagles 31 Chiefs 17.
                          Eagles can score 30+ but WILL NOT have the defense to keep KC from scoring alot of points. I am more worry about Eagle"s not score enough point to cover the over. I am thinking more like 31-28 KC win.
                          Comment
                          • NJN86
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 07-07-13
                            • 92

                            #14
                            I don't think people fully grasp how terrible this Eagles D is. Everyone just focuses on the offense but the D has been unable to A) get pressure on the QB B) stop the run or C) cover anyone in the last 6 quarters.
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82843

                              #15
                              Originally posted by booksbroker
                              Eagles can score 30+ but WILL NOT have the defense to keep KC from scoring alot of points. I am more worry about Eagle"s not score enough point to cover the over. I am thinking more like 31-28 KC win.
                              Chiefs offense only scored 21 points vs Jaguars (worst team in the league) and 17 points vs Cowboys. What makes you so sure they can score 31 points on the road on a short week?

                              Go research when was the last time a Chiefs team scored 31 points. Maybe once in the last 10 years.
                              Comment
                              • Sam Odom
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-30-05
                                • 58063

                                #16
                                This NFL game tonight scares the hell out of me

                                Comment
                                • booksbroker
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-19-13
                                  • 553

                                  #17
                                  Chief's is a different team this year.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jayvegas420
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-09-11
                                    • 28213

                                    #18
                                    I agree with Tony. I thought The Chargers played way over their heads last week. They looked like world-beaters. If the Chiefs can't play the same tonight they have no chance. Vick gets hurt, Jackson goes down then maybe KC has a shot but barring that this is a good pick at -3.

                                    I like there is at least, a common concensus on the over tonight!
                                    I like the over as well, not as much as the Eagles but still a strong lean.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDeem5
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-26-11
                                      • 17191

                                      #19
                                      Lay off
                                      Comment
                                      • Cuse0323
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-09-09
                                        • 30169

                                        #20
                                        Fck the lines and all that bullshit, KC dominates.
                                        Comment
                                        • brigade125
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 07-03-11
                                          • 685

                                          #21
                                          if it a toss up..then just take the dogs... dogs seems to cover on primetime games anyways....
                                          Comment
                                          • TonyTall
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-21-13
                                            • 3551

                                            #22
                                            easiest bet of the year. philly by 10+
                                            Comment
                                            • YOUNGBUCK
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-16-10
                                              • 6510

                                              #23
                                              Why won't Pinny move to 3.5
                                              Comment
                                              • Wulfman14
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-24-10
                                                • 8869

                                                #24
                                                all in the ex-con's hands. if reid recognizes any of eagles' schemes or former player mentalities that is an edge for kc. offensively though i think philadelphia will be too much for chiefs to handle (if vick plays like, well vick).
                                                i lost a lot of money last season betting the eagles. i think this season they do better. chiefs are a work in progress. eagles win.
                                                Comment
                                                • HendoNation
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 11-15-11
                                                  • 78

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  Chiefs offense only scored 21 points vs Jaguars (worst team in the league) and 17 points vs Cowboys. What makes you so sure they can score 31 points on the road on a short week?

                                                  Go research when was the last time a Chiefs team scored 31 points. Maybe once in the last 10 years.
                                                  Are there stats that imply short weeks affecting the game any certain way? Personally, I would think short weeks would benefit offense, since I would think most gameplanning would be done on the defensive end of the field. Just curious if anyone has done any "short week" O/U analysis.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pavyracer
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                    • 82843

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by HendoNation
                                                    Are there stats that imply short weeks affecting the game any certain way? Personally, I would think short weeks would benefit offense, since I would think most gameplanning would be done on the defensive end of the field. Just curious if anyone has done any "short week" O/U analysis.
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                                                    Check the scores from last year. How many games are high scoring? How many teams scored more than 24 points? I don't have the over/under closing lines for these games but I thing the vast majority were unders.

                                                    Short week affects the game plan. Less time to view film and practice multiple plays for both offense and defense.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                      http://www.nfl.com/schedules/2012/TNF

                                                      Check the scores from last year. How many games are high scoring? How many teams scored more than 24 points? I don't have the over/under closing lines for these games but I thing the vast majority were unders.

                                                      Short week affects the game plan. Less time to view film and practice multiple plays for both offense and defense.
                                                      ive straight banked last few seasons playing 1st half under on thu night..you are correct in no way do these short weeks benefit the offense..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChalkyDog
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-02-11
                                                        • 9598

                                                        #28
                                                        tease the dog, again?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kevin101
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-24-13
                                                          • 2260

                                                          #29
                                                          Over.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • joco
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-24-11
                                                            • 3242

                                                            #30
                                                            Philly and the under
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Ratpack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-15-12
                                                              • 4133

                                                              #31
                                                              chiefs win reid shuts them down 34-17
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jjgold
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 07-20-05
                                                                • 388179

                                                                #32
                                                                I just hit Phila again ml

                                                                All squares on kc
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mikefromsd
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 10-06-12
                                                                  • 169

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Just bet the home fave fellas. Don't overthink it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • stevenash
                                                                    Moderator
                                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                                    • 65728

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by joco
                                                                    and the under

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • CashItIn
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 09-05-09
                                                                      • 462

                                                                      #35
                                                                      i think if eagles score quick then chiefs will have trouble keeping up with them to be honest. They only scored 21 pts against the jags and alex smith plays so damn conservative. If I had to I would bet eagles Ml
                                                                      Comment
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