Could be a BIG Thursday for the skilled degenerate!

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  • GimpedMaster
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-15-10
    • 764

    #1
    Could be a BIG Thursday for the skilled degenerate!
    I feel I've got tomorrow nights football games nailed, going to put plays on Clemson and the Eagles, and going to put a LARGE 2 team teaser linking them, allowing Clemson to only need to win by a TD and allows Eagles to lose by a field goal.

    That part of my plan feels rock solid and I'm confident I'll make good money there... My question for you is this.

    Tomorrow afternoon there is an unusually large slate of baseball games, with several playoff teams involved with 'magic numbers' dwindling. These ball games should be completed by kickoff in the football games so which ones should be best exploited to strengthen the football plays later in the evening?

    I'm most interested in three chalky selections:

    San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates 12:35 PM ET
    Season Rd/Hm Last Start Last 3 App
    STARTERS GS REC ERA AIP REC ERA DATE OPP DEC IP H ER REC IP ERA
    I. Kennedy (R) 29 6-9 4.85 6.0 1-5 5.28 9/13 @ATL ND 6.0 5 3 1-0 17.0 2.65
    G. Cole (R) 17 8-7 3.33 6.0 5-5 3.95 9/14 CHC W 7.0 5 1 2-0 20.0 1.35
    I don't see the Pirates getting swept in a 4 game series against the Padres in the midst of this playoff push, they are "due" for an offensive outburst and a win (if you believe in being "due" in baseball like I do) and Cole has been very good in September.

    I believe he acts as a much needed 'stopper' here for the Bucs.

    Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers 1:08 PM ET
    Season Rd/Hm Last Start Last 3 App
    STARTERS GS REC ERA AIP REC ERA DATE OPP DEC IP H ER REC IP ERA
    J. Paxton (L) 2 2-0 0.75 6.0 1-0 0.00 9/14 @STL W 6.0 2 0 2-0 12.0 0.75
    D. Fister (R) 30 12-9 3.67 6.1 7-5 3.46 9/14 KC L 7.2 8 1 1-2 21.0 2.57
    Tigers just got pounded tonight and shut out to boot. Their offense doesn't get shut down for extended periods of time and they're too talented to lose this series at home to the lowly Mariners.

    I'm a little worred about this Paxton kid and his hot start but I don't think he's going to go unmolested in Tiger stadium against one of the top lineups in baseball.

    St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies 3:10 PM ET
    Season Rd/Hm Last Start Last 3 App
    STARTERS GS REC ERA AIP REC ERA DATE OPP DEC IP H ER REC IP ERA
    M. Wacha (R) 7 3-1 2.81 5.2 2-0 3.21 9/14 SEA L 5.0 4 2 1-1 18.0 1.00
    R. Oswalt (R) 5 0-6 7.71 6.1 0-1 9.00 9/14 @ARI L 4.2 7 2 0-3 9.2 7.45
    My Cards have taken 2/3 so far from the Rockies after the come back win tonight and I think this is a simple case of a Cards team on a roll combined with a Roy Oswalt in one of the last starts of his career, having been SHELLED his last 3 consecutive starts while Wacha has been on fire since returning to the rotation.

    Chalky I know, but which ones would you say offer the greatest level of security?
  • Jikos
    SBR MVP
    • 04-28-13
    • 1663

    #2
    Cardinals
    Comment
    • goduke
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-10
      • 11668

      #3
      do any of these 3 teams have to win tommorrow? No not at all. Everyone of them could lose and still be perfectly fine. Dont play baseball right now its equivalent to playing a lottery ticket
      Comment
      • Ghenghis Kahn
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 19736

        #4
        "San Diego has won 14 of 15 at PNC Park and is 31-10 all-time at the ballpark."

        that kinda scares me. i pass on the cards.

        "Fister has received a combined six runs over his last four starts, and his lone win was a 3-0 victory in Boston on Sept. 2."

        that kinda scares me. i pass on the tigers.

        but i'm probably gonna put st. louis in some type of a parlay, just fading oswalt...
        Comment
        • Ghenghis Kahn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 19736

          #5
          Originally posted by goduke
          do any of these 3 teams have to win tommorrow? No not at all. Everyone of them could lose and still be perfectly fine. Dont play baseball right now its equivalent to playing a lottery ticket
          that's your opinion...
          Comment
          • goduke
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-10
            • 11668

            #6
            Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
            that's your opinion...
            which part is my opinion? Saying that none of those teams have to win? Thats a fact.
            Comment
            • teaserpleaser
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-14-08
              • 26015

              #7
              Originally posted by goduke
              do any of these 3 teams have to win tommorrow? No not at all. Everyone of them could lose and still be perfectly fine. Dont play baseball right now its equivalent to playing a lottery ticket
              pretty much asking to take one in the NFL and CFB where games matter theres like 6 teams in bases NL central 3 teams and a few teams going for wildcard that kinda seem to care other than that its bullshit time in baseball.
              Comment
              • agendaman
                SBR MVP
                • 12-01-11
                • 3774

                #8
                hey buddy to hell with other peoples opinions some analysis stats then your gut feeling thats all
                Comment
                • tony_come
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-31-10
                  • 21695

                  #9
                  Thank you for your opinions
                  Comment
                  • Fred The Hammer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 11739

                    #10
                    Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                    pretty much asking to take one in the NFL and CFB where games matter theres like 6 teams in bases NL central 3 teams and a few teams going for wildcard that kinda seem to care other than that its bullshit time in baseball.
                    I hit an Over in the 4th inning on Tues.....I like Sept. baseball. How much does Clev Browns/Minn matter this weekend or anyone in CFB besides the top 5-6.
                    Comment
                    • Renegades
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-12-11
                      • 5290

                      #11
                      Never cross 0 in a teaser. Thats a losing prop in the long run. The game cant end on 0 so you lose 1 pt of value and games fall on 1 about 2% of the time so u basically are losing 3 pts of value. 0,-1,+1
                      Comment
                      • Disko808
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-07-11
                        • 323

                        #12
                        Fuk pirates!
                        Comment
                        • lucasdawg
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-19-13
                          • 3399

                          #13
                          was considering cardinales and tigers also! but im a noob at mlb right now and just trying my luck with the game just for fun
                          Comment
                          • Emancipator
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-12-13
                            • 788

                            #14
                            Tigers and Padres Under. Cardinals over Oswalt.
                            Comment
                            • PorkChop
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-18-08
                              • 8193

                              #15
                              I really don't see the Pirates or Cubs getting 4-games swept
                              Comment
                              • Smoke
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-09-09
                                • 48111

                                #16
                                Padres sweep
                                Comment
                                • Down_Goes Bookie
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-18-13
                                  • 422

                                  #17
                                  Like the Cards today and the dog Orioles at Fenway tonight. Tillman has been stud down the stretch and has good digits vs. the BoSox and at Fenway. Lackey will be his usual lackluster self. 5-3 Baltimore.

                                  Staying off SD vs. Pit. Kennedy has been a better day game vs. night pitcher this year and over his career and has been twirling some nice games of late, including 4 H over 7 IP vs. the Pirates Aug 21. Gotta respect Cole in this game but spotting Pit -180 or so...? No thanks. If anything I would be on SD for the improbable sweep.
                                  Comment
                                  • khaden
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-19-09
                                    • 1864

                                    #18
                                    All three of those MLB plays are winners - playeem straight and in a parlay-

                                    here's why they hit - I'm not playing them - if I play them they would lose! BB is like flipping coins for me
                                    Comment
                                    • Howyodoing
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 09-19-13
                                      • 21

                                      #19
                                      I like the mariners today.
                                      james Paxson is a beast!
                                      Comment
                                      • GoBlue77
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-20-11
                                        • 9166

                                        #20
                                        Ya pirates are garbage.
                                        Comment
                                        • GimpedMaster
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-15-10
                                          • 764

                                          #21
                                          Ended up going for all three of the Baseball plays and will be big on Philly and Clemson tonight.

                                          Here's to aiming for 5/5 today, greed is good!
                                          Comment
                                          • etothep
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-14-07
                                            • 1299

                                            #22
                                            Comment
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