I can't ever give 20 points in an nfl game but it's generally foolish to bet against the chickens at home as well. Coin toss type game.
Who is on the Jags +19.5
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InTheDrinkSBR Posting Legend
- 11-23-09
- 23983
#36Comment -
tblues2005SBR Hall of Famer
- 07-30-06
- 9235
#37I could say it could be 40-0 here but I am going to lay off this one though. Jags are that bad.Comment -
LowRollinSBR Sharp
- 02-29-12
- 467
#38everyone thinks this will be a giant blowout and there's no reason to think it won't be, which means jags +19.5 probably cashes.Comment -
R.P. McMurphySBR Hall of Famer
- 06-15-12
- 9654
#39Anything cam happen obviously I think many of us just rather stay away. Laying 20 it is never a good idea but there is always better games to choose from. If Hawks WANTED to they could win this by 40. And I don't wanna spend 3+ hours chewing on my remote in between smoking 2 packs taking the +20 lol!Comment -
mcgeezer1883SBR Wise Guy
- 09-17-13
- 568
#40Where is the prop for JAX total points +\- 2???Comment -
pologqSBR Posting Legend
- 10-07-12
- 19899
#41the jags coach knows the seattle defense from coaching them last year, not saying they will score a ton of points but will know how to score somewhat against the seahawks and also how to play against the offense.Comment -
hitman09SBR MVP
- 01-25-11
- 1157
#42I will take 20.5.Comment -
innovationSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-27-12
- 6218
#43Anyone listen to cofield and co?
Last 12 games of spreads this high or more fav went 2-10 ats
In 1976 bucs were 27 point dogs
I doubt Seattle does much more then run through the motions. However Seattle is -36 points better at home in a game they gave 110%.
I don't see the value of riding that slippery slope.Comment -
pavyracerSBR Aristocracy
- 04-12-07
- 82839
#44If this game was on week 15 I would take the Jaguars +19.5. But because it is in Week 3 I take the Seahawks. Jags traveled 6,000 miles to play in Oakland and now another 4,000 miles to play in Seattle less than a weak. They are spending more time in airplanes and airports than practicing on the field which they need because they are horrible on the field.Comment -
R.P. McMurphySBR Hall of Famer
- 06-15-12
- 9654
#45No Pavy I heard Jags stayed on left coast for the week. Just an fyi!Comment -
hockey216SBR MVP
- 08-20-08
- 4583
#46jacksonville is still an nfl team. an nfl team should never be a 20 point favorite over another nfl team.Comment -
keel44SBR MVP
- 08-01-09
- 3363
#47You gotta be weary of a back door cover. If you think Seattle should win, bet 1st quarter or half line.Comment -
Art VandelaySBR Hall of Famer
- 09-11-06
- 6690
#48Can you say 0-16! Millen and Detroit - you may have company...Comment -
GunShardSBR Posting Legend
- 03-05-10
- 10031
#50Jags point is worth if Henne starting over Gabbert.
Gabbert's poor QB play and losses is giving a false perception of the Jags.Comment -
wagerjunkieSBR MVP
- 08-24-13
- 4105
#52if there is anyway you can get Jags double digits first quarter spread that is the only play in this game. even that you are hanging on for dear life.Comment -
JikosSBR MVP
- 04-28-13
- 1663
#53The problem with taking the points is this game will basically be a 3 and out for the jags every single time and the Seahawks will have many many many many opportunities to score. I can even see them averaging 3 points per drive for the entire game.Comment -
petey5SBR Wise Guy
- 06-26-13
- 937
#54I would take the Jags to cover but I still don't think they are going to win a game this year.Comment -
SambookaSBR Wise Guy
- 02-21-11
- 822
#55Lets not forget, Jaguars beat the Falcons not too long ago,,, 8/29/13
still Jags are a professional sports NFL team.. anything can happen hereComment -
8ArIvd5SBR MVP
- 04-24-10
- 3175
#56Jags at home this week. Texans on the road next week. Where would your focus be?Comment -
Ralphie HalvesSBR MVP
- 12-13-09
- 4507
#57Anyone listen to cofield and co?
Last 12 games of spreads this high or more fav went 2-10 ats
In 1976 bucs were 27 point dogs
I doubt Seattle does much more then run through the motions. However Seattle is -36 points better at home in a game they gave 110%.
I don't see the value of riding that slippery slope.
Anyway, I don't give any credence to what happened ATS back in the 70s and early 80s. There's no correlation there whatsoever, especially if you look at the state of handicapping then and now.
I lean heavy to Seattle -19.5. Good NFL teams still blow out bad NFL teams all the time. The Pats teams of a few years ago did it all the time, and it took Vegas all season to catch up. I'm not buying the "any given Sunday" "the Jags are an NFL team" bit. Good luck backing Chad Henne and the backup RB against Seattle's D. I can't see how you'd be too confident giving up less than 3 TDs.Comment -
slacker00SBR Posting Legend
- 10-06-05
- 12262
#59Comment -
hockey216SBR MVP
- 08-20-08
- 4583
#60the patriots didn't cover a spread for their life during the second half of that season. every week it was pats -14 or whatever rediculous and the dog covered every single week.Comment -
slacker00SBR Posting Legend
- 10-06-05
- 12262
#61My stats show the Pats were 5-4 ATS as 14+ point favs in 2007. But you're right that they covered less often later in the year. This brings up an interesting point, if we are to follow this logic through, it gives reason to believe SEA can cover because the game is early in the year rather than late in the year.Comment -
YoukeepthisloveSBR Sharp
- 11-28-11
- 275
#63When will you learn to NOT bet against the Hawks at home. They would have easily covered -20 against the Niners, what makes you think they won't against the Jags? Don't over think this. It's Hawks or nothing at Century Link.Comment -
GimpedMasterSBR Wise Guy
- 11-15-10
- 764
#64At this point I really don't see what the Jags have to lose in signing Tea-Bow. The guy will cost next to nothing since noone else wants him, yet he'll help fill the stands with idiot Floridians who think he's still a football god. Plus it'll be alot more entertaining to watch their games then seeing Gabbert or Henne toss meatballs to high school receivers that end up on the turf 90 percent of the time for three hours.Comment -
RavensFan2k3SBR Posting Legend
- 08-18-12
- 17378
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SBR_JohnSBR Posting Legend
- 07-12-05
- 16471
#67Wouldnt touch this one. This is a look-past game for Seattle while the Jags are completely desperate. Seattle just played a huge one that was extended by a weather delay. Plus their offense can get vanilla. This is one of those you are up 23-0 in the 4th and Seattle starts spreading out playing time and it ends 23-6. Pass.Comment -
JMonSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-09
- 9800
#68My stats show the Pats were 5-4 ATS as 14+ point favs in 2007. But you're right that they covered less often later in the year. This brings up an interesting point, if we are to follow this logic through, it gives reason to believe SEA can cover because the game is early in the year rather than late in the year.
Week 3 -16.5 ATS margin +14.5
Week 5 -16.5 ATSm +.5
Week 7 -16 ATSm +5
Week 8 -16 ATSm +29
Week 11 -15.5 ATSm +30.5
Notice the ATSm, besides a few weeks the Pats whipped the heavy spread....line makers made an adjustment, Pat lose 4 straight ATS.
Week 11 (fav of -23.5), Week 12 (-20) Week 15 (-21.5) Week 16 (-22)Comment -
k13SBR Posting Legend
- 07-16-10
- 18104
#69
What was their home record overall?Comment -
EdV38SBR Sharp
- 04-04-09
- 266
#70Just cash in your entire 401K and bet all of it on the Seahawks ML for an easy 2% gain in one day. The stock market hardly does those 2% gains in one day anymore so it's a good idea.Comment
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