Troy +8 Thursday Seems Like A Lot...

[LT Profits]

...for what could very well be a game where the team that has the ball last wins. Besides, in college anyway, when two good offenses face each other and one is a passing team and one is a running team, I am usually partial to the better passing team. And getting more than a touchdown does not hurt.

[Ari Gold]

Corey Robinson is the name people need to know. 30/32 319 and a tuddy vs UAB in a win then comes back with a dominating performance against Sav with 17/19 180 and 4 tuddys.

Gus Malzahn is back at Auburn.

Give me the points please and thank you!

[billysink]

So you favor a road team because they are a passing team and discount a home team that controls the ball.

Not sure I follow your logic.

[LT Profits]

So you favor a road team because they are a passing team and discount a home team that controls the ball.

Not sure I follow your logic.

Both teams' defenses are liabilities but Troy should be able to score faster and seems like the team more capable of building a quick lead. If that happens, Arkansas State may be taken out of its comfort zone and be forced to throw more. Of course if Red Wolves get the lead, they seem more capable of protecting it and milking clock while simultaneously getting good yardage. That is where Robinson becomes key. No I don't expect another game with 94% completion pct, but do enough to put points on the board.

[billysink]

Both teams' defenses are liabilities but Troy should be able to score faster and seems like the team more capable of building a quick lead. If that happens, Arkansas State may be taken out of its comfort zone and be forced to throw more. Of course if Red Wolves get the lead, they seem more capable of protecting it and milking clock while simultaneously getting good yardage. That is where Robinson becomes key. No I don't expect another game with 94% completion pct, but do enough to put points on the board.

I am going to see Troy play a road game before I get too giddy about the kid or the team's ability to move the ball in another venue. Arkansas State is a big step up in competition from Savannah State and to a lesser extent UAB.

[Jaug]

On it

[LT Profits]

Rk 	Date          	School	Opponent          		Cmp 	Att 	Pct 	Yds 	TD 	Int 	Rate 
1	9/3/2011   	Troy 	@ 	Clemson 	L               	24	42	57.1	258	1	1	111.8
2	9/17/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Arkansas 	L               	36	63	57.1	373	3	1	119.4
3	9/24/2011 	Troy 		Middle Tenn State 	W 	24	38	63.2	348	3	1	160.9
4	10/1/2011 	Troy 		Alabama-Birmingham 	W 	30	49	61.2	349	0	1	117
5	10/8/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Louisiana-Lafayette 	L 	38	53	71.7	322	2	1	131.4
6	 10/15/2011	Troy 		Louisiana-Monroe 	L 	19	34	55.9	129	0	2	76
7	10/25/2011	Troy 	@ 	Florida International 	L 	17	31	54.8	203	0	2	96.9
8	11/5/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Navy 	L                       	19	26	73.1	152	1	0	134.9
9 	11/12/2011	Troy 		North Texas 	L       	27	39	69.2	267	4	1	155.5
10	11/19/2011	Troy 		Florida Atlantic 	W     	32	48	66.7	396	3	1	152.4
11	11/26/2011	Troy 	@ 	Western Ky 	L       	18	33	54.5	303	2	2	139.6
12	12/3/2011 	Troy 	@ 	Arkansas State 	L       	32	52	61.5	311	2	2	116.8
Rk 	Date          	School	Opponent          		Cmp 	Att 	Pct 	Yds 	TD 	Int 	Rate 
1	9/1/2012   	Troy 	@ 	Alabama-Birm 	W     	11	20	55	164	2	0	156.9
2	9/8/2012   	Troy 		LA-Lafayette 	L       	46	70	65.7	485	2	1	130.5
3	9/15/2012 	Troy 		Mississippi St 	L       	32	45	71.1	343	0	2	126.2
4	9/22/2012 	Troy 	@ 	North Texas 	W      	29	42	69	274	2	1	134.8
5	9/29/2012 	Troy 	@ 	So Alabama W            	15	24	62.5	223	0	3	115.6
6	10/11/2012	Troy 		Western Ky 	L       	6	11	54.5	106	1	0	165.5
7	10/27/2012	Troy 	@ 	Florida Atlantic 	L       	15	32	46.9	211	1	1	106.3
8	11/3/2012 	Troy 	@ 	Tennessee 	L               	30	46	65.2	393	1	0	144.2
9	11/10/2012	Troy 		Navy 	W                     	25	28	89.3	322	1	0	197.7
10	11/17/2012	Troy 		Arkansas State 	L       	26	35	74.3	417	1	0	183.8
11	11/24/2012	Troy 	@ 	Middle Tenn State 	L 	22	36	61.1	183	1	1	107.4

He has passed for about 10,000 yards and completed over 60% of his passes in his first three years. There are logs for the last two years, he has had some good road games vs. major conference teams.

[LT Profits]

Sorry for the parsing but you can probably figure it out

[billysink]

Yes readable and thanks. Have seen him play a lot over his career including his last at Arky St in 11.

[firedawg]

don't count anything from the savannah st game. my kids high school team would merk them

[LT Profits]

don't count anything from the savannah st game. my kids high school team would merk them

Understood and I am not. Pretty obvious that Robinson has ability tossing that game aside.

[joco]

Ark st coming off that pathetic loss. They will redeem themselves. Let Troy have the 8. Ain't worried bout it

[BlitzTheBooks]

Troy +9 locked and loaded via Cantor a few days ago . Dropped to 7.5 at some books. I'll take being on the right side all day.

[LT Profits]

Locked and loaded at +8 -102

[jjgold]

LT I am tailing here

Was not going to bet college tonight but saw this thread

Troy plus the number

[irish1]

I do like troy to cover if not win. Ark St. is an overrated team and troy can put up the points. +8 looks attractive.

[Brock Landers]

+8 is the ONLY play here...

[pavyracer]

Off course the team that has the ball last wins. That's why the kneel down on the last play of the game. Have you ever seen a team kneel down while losing?

[BroncosBettor]

It does seem like a lot and I love taking fat numbers. From what I understand sharp money moved this line from Troy +10.5 to Troy +8. Seems like a good value play but some value has been sucked out coming down through the key number 10. Wish I could have gotten down earlier at +10 or higher. Still worth a look though.

[Bet10Heinekens]

1 possession game, got to take the points

[carolinacapper]

Thoughts on Troy ML + 245?