Wednesday Picks

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  • BigDeem5
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-26-11
    • 17191

    #1
    Wednesday Picks
    Pirates ML +129
    Pirates -1.5 +195
    Pirates/Texas O 8.5 -105
    Rockies ML +135
    Yanks ML +118
    LAA/TOR O8.5 -105

    ADD: Indians FF U 4 -105 1/2 unit
  • Ratpack
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-12
    • 4133

    #2
    gl deemer
    Comment
    • billysink
      Restricted User
      • 03-29-09
      • 5172

      #3
      D I do see a lot of value in that Pirate play but you are spread out pretty thin. If your logic, to which I see value, holds on that alternate RL why would you need that over bet @ -105. That unit would be better applied to your most probable bonus money play.

      Trust yourself.
      Comment
      • billysink
        Restricted User
        • 03-29-09
        • 5172

        #4
        Glad to see your card lacks exotics. Parlays and teasers better left for the well heeled or just left alone.
        Comment
        • BigDeem5
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-26-11
          • 17191

          #5
          Sinker, Pirates win 7-3.

          I'll hit them all.

          Which is why I bet it.

          I think 5-1 is very possible.
          Comment
          • billysink
            Restricted User
            • 03-29-09
            • 5172

            #6
            7 runs is a big stretch against a team in a pennant race with 15 dudes in the bullpen waiting to put out any potential fire. Overs are of little value in that scenario at this time of year.

            In your case the percieved value and great price on the reverse is far more significant than that low juice total.

            Honest and simple question Big D. If you do hit them all ain't you gonna wish you had that unit @ 195 rather than -105. Even a dummy like me can see the logic.

            Good luck today.
            Comment
            • BigDeem5
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-26-11
              • 17191

              #7
              Originally posted by billysink
              7 runs is a big stretch against a team in a pennant race with 15 dudes in the bullpen waiting to put out any potential fire. Overs are of little value in that scenario at this time of year.

              In your case the percieved value and great price on the reverse is far more significant than that low juice total.

              Honest and simple question Big D. If you do hit them all ain't you gonna wish you had them unit @ 195 rather than -105. Even a dummy like me can see the logic.

              Good luck today.
              Yes, but same case if they win 6-5.

              RRL loses but the unit on over saves it.
              Comment
              • KiDBaZkiT
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-20-09
                • 14962

                #8
                Like the card. Going to be betting Yanks nearly everyday this week.
                Comment
                • BigDeem5
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-26-11
                  • 17191

                  #9
                  They could win 4-2 and cover RRL and not over, I mean we can sit here all day pussy footing over scenarios.
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #10
                    GL,

                    I'm watching this line. Don't like the over play at all.

                    I actually think the FF under is the play here, but of course I see the value on Pitt

                    I got this 3-2 final so gotta take the +$, but will prob his under 2x

                    I see a quick moving day game
                    Comment
                    • BigDeem5
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-26-11
                      • 17191

                      #11
                      Garza is tailing off, he's a choke artist.

                      He will give up 4-5 over 5
                      Comment
                      • billysink
                        Restricted User
                        • 03-29-09
                        • 5172

                        #12
                        Deemer trust yourself. If you believe in your methodology you do not need to save anything. You need to maximize on your work. Trying to buy a position you are not staked to is contradictory.

                        And costly in the big picture. It should only be used if you uncover something between now and first pitch that erodes your original stance on the event.

                        Anyway enough of my horse shit.


                        Good luck
                        Comment
                        • billysink
                          Restricted User
                          • 03-29-09
                          • 5172

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BigDeem5
                          Garza is tailing off, he's a choke artist.

                          He will give up 4-5 over 5
                          He will not be given that chance in all reality this being a day game and an off day tomorrow. That bullpen will be ready at any moment. All hands on deck today.
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #14
                            I couldn't pass on Corbin +120 either...
                            Comment
                            • BennyBigNuts
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-16-12
                              • 8700

                              #15
                              Love the Rockies today.

                              Also like Houston F5, then Dodgers n Royals.
                              No one game sticks out for me though. .
                              Gonna bet Royals small straight for breakfast then hammer accordingly based on the outcome.
                              Comment
                              • billysink
                                Restricted User
                                • 03-29-09
                                • 5172

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                They could win 4-2 and cover RRL and not over, I mean we can sit here all day pussy footing over scenarios.
                                If you win all 3 you cost yourself. If the result is as described above you bet on a position you did not assume. I am hoping you see the risk to which you have exposed yourself.

                                Just a little advice Deem.
                                Comment
                                • iceman9870
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 03-09-09
                                  • 38

                                  #17
                                  good luck
                                  Comment
                                  • Ratpack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-15-12
                                    • 4133

                                    #18
                                    louisville corbin has been HORRIBLE as of late and the dbacks cant hit
                                    Comment
                                    • tatddy
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-02-10
                                      • 10779

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by billysink
                                      Deemer trust yourself. If you believe in your methodology you do not need to save anything. You need to maximize on your work. Trying to buy a position you are not staked to is contradictory.

                                      And costly in the big picture. It should only be used if you uncover something between now and first pitch that erodes your original stance on the event.

                                      Anyway enough of my horse shit.


                                      Good luck
                                      2 days ago you said the kid doesn't listen. So I'll assume you're talking to us. And we appreciate your insight so thx...good read. Deemer can post read this in a few years.

                                      Good luck big D
                                      Comment
                                      • Big Bear
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 11-01-11
                                        • 43253

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                        Sinker, Pirates win 7-3.

                                        I'll hit them all.

                                        Which is why I bet it.

                                        I think 5-1 is very possible.
                                        you should parlay them all for $20 in case you go 6-0
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #21
                                          Lets see these bullpens shut it down...
                                          Comment
                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-17-07
                                            • 52143

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                            GL,

                                            I'm watching this line. Don't like the over play at all.

                                            I actually think the FF under is the play here, but of course I see the value on Pitt

                                            I got this 3-2 final so gotta take the +$, but will prob his under 2x

                                            I see a quick moving day game
                                            Hit FF under for 2x but then went and through another 1.2 on the Game.

                                            Should of just stuck w/ my instinct.

                                            Also, Billy nice posting in this thread...

                                            You can lead a horse to water, but....
                                            Comment
                                            • bubblebuttluv
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-13-12
                                              • 5179

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                              Love the Rockies today.

                                              Also like Houston F5, then Dodgers n Royals.
                                              No one game sticks out for me though. .
                                              Gonna bet Royals small straight for breakfast then hammer accordingly based on the outcome.
                                              bump for the tracking thread.

                                              Benny is known to change picks, the thread that keeps the only true Benny record, needs his authentic plays.
                                              Comment
                                              • billysink
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 03-29-09
                                                • 5172

                                                #24
                                                Bubbs with all due respect I think we have all moved on from this. There is nothing more to accomplish and there was little to begin with.

                                                I would think that this is personal and if so can you keep it to one thread? Most here are mature enough to resolve and restart at some point but it seems that this is important to you. Keep in mind it is no longer of any significance to most. The less we are exposed to it the more we will appreciate how much it means to you.

                                                Best of luck and may your quest cleanse your soul.
                                                Comment
                                                • allabout the $$$
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-17-10
                                                  • 9843

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by bubblebuttluv
                                                  bump for the tracking thread.

                                                  Benny is known to change picks, the thread that keeps the only true Benny record, needs his authentic plays.
                                                  this is a good thread with some really good knowledge being put out there keep your business with benny to your thread
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigDeem5
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-26-11
                                                    • 17191

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                                    Pirates ML +129
                                                    Pirates -1.5 +195
                                                    Pirates/Texas O 8.5 -105
                                                    Rockies ML +135
                                                    Yanks ML +118
                                                    LAA/TOR O8.5 -105

                                                    ADD: Indians FF U 4 -105 1/2 unit
                                                    That's how you drill a game, priks
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-16-12
                                                      • 8700

                                                      #27
                                                      Nice slap on the pee-rats game deemer.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Brutus84
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-08-11
                                                        • 5188

                                                        #28
                                                        Congrats on winning $130. I think that is the amount you stiffed someone out of.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388179

                                                          #29
                                                          seems like no tracking anymore
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bubblebuttluv
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-13-12
                                                            • 5179

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                                            seems like no tracking anymore
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDeem5
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-26-11
                                                              • 17191

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BigDeem5
                                                              Pirates ML +129
                                                              Pirates -1.5 +195
                                                              Pirates/Texas O 8.5 -105
                                                              Rockies ML +135
                                                              Yanks ML +118
                                                              LAA/TOR O8.5 -105

                                                              ADD: Indians FF U 4 -105 1/2 unit
                                                              5-2

                                                              Fellas big night
                                                              Comment
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