2 NFL underdogs I like today

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65706

    #1
    2 NFL underdogs I like today
    Buffalo Bills +10 v. New England

    1) I like home dogs.
    2) It is proven that double digit home dogs is the best flat bet wager you can make betting NFL.
    I don't remember the exact number but double digit home dogs cover around 63 percent of the time.
    3) Buffalo is much improved, will give NE a game at home today.

    New York Jets +3.5 v. Tampa Bay

    1) I like home dogs
    2) I don't trust Freeman to win on the road, not only win on the road, but to do so by 4 or more points.
    3) Jets defense is actually pretty good, they should keep Martin under 100 yards.

    If Geno Smith plays smart QB, nice passes in the flats, you know, dump off short passes, he'll be fine.
  • Vinnie Paz
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-27-12
    • 12177

    #2
    Thanks Nash
    Not sure about the jets, if they fall behind im not sure theyy have the pieces to crawl out of a hole. Marty morninweig will have geno throwing way too much as well.
    Comment
    • Jaug
      SBR MVP
      • 01-11-09
      • 3087

      #3
      NY jets with that linemove looks like a trap imo. Could be a TB blow out.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        i read in some article that home dogs of 8 or more are 24-3 ats the last 3 years, i knew it was good but that just sick if accurate.. id love buf if it wasnt for the fact EJ missed so much preseason. i do think bills can hang as ej will run that uptempo zone read stuff with spiller and while i expect pats to force a few mistakes i also think bills will put some points on the board. gotta expect pats to be able to run all over buf and hang about 31-34 but i have bills scoring in the 24 point range so i think it be really close spread wise but as in college when i like a heavy dog to compete with the fav the over instantly becomes a play for me so that where i am at in this one. pats/bills ov 51..like the play nasher. gl today
        Comment
        • KidSeoul
          SBR MVP
          • 11-27-05
          • 1203

          #5
          Already on both of them!
          Comment
          • R.P. McMurphy
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-15-12
            • 9654

            #6
            Geno throws 3 picks! GL
            Comment
            • wildcorndog
              SBR MVP
              • 08-30-10
              • 1456

              #7
              lol... Hope ur betting Monopoly money.
              Comment
              • joco
                SBR MVP
                • 04-24-11
                • 3242

                #8
                Ej Manuel is garbage. Pats win by 17
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  i read in some article that home dogs of 8 or more are 24-3 ats the last 3 years
                  I get 16-3
                  Comment
                  • GzaTheGenius
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-12-13
                    • 4181

                    #10
                    Spiller gonna have to do some work for the bills to cover, I'm thinking pats blow them out of the water.

                    Jets also lose by double digits IMO, there is no real home field advantage here considering they're playing this game in Giants stadium.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by stevenash
                      I don't remember the exact number but double digit home dogs cover around 63 percent of the time.
                      Yep, 43-25, 63.2% since 2000
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by GzaTheGenius
                        there is no real home field advantage here considering they're playing this game in Giants stadium.
                        This part is not true, the teams share MetLife Stadium. Not like the old Giants Stadium where the Giants owned the rights, but even there Jets were well supported in home games.
                        Comment
                        • agharah1
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-07-10
                          • 2304

                          #13
                          I like the Vikings +4.5 Deeper talent pool, superior coaching. Jared Allen and Chad Greenway *OWN* Stafford. Lions linebackers can't tackle Peterson, and they can't cover Ponder's checkdowns. Some no-name will go off against this horrifically coached dysfunctional Lions team.
                          Comment
                          • Darkside Magick
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-28-10
                            • 12638

                            #14
                            Both plays are solid
                            Comment
                            • GzaTheGenius
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-12-13
                              • 4181

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              This part is not true, the teams share MetLife Stadium. Not like the old Giants Stadium where the Giants owned the rights, but even there Jets were well supported in home games.
                              I know it was more of a sarcastic remark. Jets were worse at home last year than they were on the road. If things get ugly for geno smith early the boos will come out and maybe even some tebow chants, who knows. -3 for Tampa is a steal
                              Comment
                              • agharah1
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-07-10
                                • 2304

                                #16
                                So far the Lions:
                                Got stuffed on 2nd and 3rd and inches in the red zone.
                                Blew a chip shot field goal.
                                Had a td reversed on a bad call.
                                Gave up a 78yd busted coverage TD.
                                Lost their right tackle to a groin injury.
                                Committed a bone headed penalty on a pick six that led to an INT.
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65706

                                  #17
                                  ^
                                  And yet Detroit is hanging on with a lead.
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65706

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by wildcorndog
                                    lol... Hope ur betting Monopoly money.
                                    lol thanks for dropping by
                                    Comment
                                    • Joe Sharp
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-01-09
                                      • 3011

                                      #19
                                      Nice job Nash.
                                      Comment
                                      • detroitlionsfan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-30-12
                                        • 1895

                                        #20
                                        nice work nash
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Nashy I should of tailed you
                                          Comment
                                          • FearTheBeard
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 05-28-13
                                            • 62

                                            #22
                                            Good work, should've faded myself on TB. Mediocre QBs on the road are not to be trusted...
                                            Comment
                                            • BennyBigNuts
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-16-12
                                              • 8700

                                              #23
                                              Nasherrrrrrrr
                                              Fukkin hog like always.
                                              Get the cash buddy!
                                              Comment
                                              • Da Manster!
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-13-07
                                                • 17720

                                                #24
                                                good job, Steve Nash!......and you know how I love home dogs as well!...especially in the pro's!...
                                                Comment
                                                • dante1
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 10-31-05
                                                  • 38647

                                                  #25
                                                  Steve good job, btw your messages box is filled and cannot send you a pm. No biggie, I am sure it was nothing.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Deol
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-01-11
                                                    • 1340

                                                    #26
                                                    Impressive Pics!!
                                                    Comment
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