Womens SemiFinals - Serena Vs Li Na

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  • Wulfman14
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-24-10
    • 8869

    #1
    Womens SemiFinals - Serena Vs Li Na
    another upset here ? doubtful. serena aint a headcase like murray.
    she has the better serve, more consistent and is 8-1 head to head against Li.
    the last meeting was a couple of weeks back in cincinnati where williams won 7-5, 7-5.

    the ML on Li is so damn tempting at +520. but even with a new coach Li has not been able to beat Serena. Arthur Ashe will most likely feature Azarenka and Williams in the women's final. and aza has shown she has all the weapons to beat williams.

    Li is good, williams just a little bit better in everything. games are similar though. but if Li can execute her game, play aggressive and force williams to the net i think she has a shot.

    still maybe its the books scaring me off but that +520 is too intimidating . but because of that we have a nice handicap for Li. i am hammering that . 15 units on Na Li for me(my unit size is 50 bucks). this is a huge bet for me as i usually only bet 50-150 bucks on any sport. this is the biggest bet for me all year and i thought i'd just share it with the forum.

    Na Li +5.5 -120
    i dont usually post my picks but i have made quite a bit off of Li this season. and im going big (at least for me) on this one. she has not let me down, especially on the handicap.

    lots of asian support in NY as i have sat at Arthur Ashe Stadium many times. best tickets i got were for the men's semifinals.

    this i suspect will be an intense match either going 3 sets or at least to a tiebreak.
    im not going to suggest you take the moneyline because i am not betting it.
    if you have a freeplay or something i would throw it on Li to win outright though.

    best of luck.


    -Wulf
  • shaunovery
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-15-07
    • 18143

    #2
    Go get em wulf
    Comment
    • BennyBigNuts
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-16-12
      • 8700

      #3


      BOL Fatboy
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Na could of beat her in Cincy with a couple of good shots more in each set

        Now maybe she played over her head and Serena was tired which might be the case
        Comment
        • InTheDrink
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-23-09
          • 23983

          #5
          Originally posted by Wulfman14
          serena aint a headcase like murray.


          shes a huge head case

          that said she wont lose....this is as driven as shes ever been

          we will see if vika has her number in the finals...should be a good match
          Comment
          • Russian Rocket
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 09-02-12
            • 43910

            #6
            good bet Wulfer!
            get that money!
            Comment
            • Russian Rocket
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-02-12
              • 43910

              #7
              Originally posted by InTheDrink


              shes a huge head case
              one the biggest head cases in tennis
              Comment
              • Wulfman14
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-24-10
                • 8869

                #8
                Originally posted by InTheDrink


                shes a huge head case

                that said she wont lose....this is as driven as shes ever been

                we will see if vika has her number in the finals...should be a good match
                li is in her last years of play too unless she wants to play like kimiko until her 40s. either way she is just as driven. i do agree i dont see williams losing but i do see this being a close match .
                Comment
                • matt1216
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-27-11
                  • 14683

                  #9
                  Pennetta is the upset pick
                  Comment
                  • Wulfman14
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-24-10
                    • 8869

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BennyBigNuts


                    BOL Fatboy
                    better that then have my ass exposed to this every night smallnutZ
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      Mass burial could be looming. Good luck dudes.
                      Comment
                      • Wulfman14
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 8869

                        #12
                        you think serena will rout na li EP ?
                        Comment
                        • Wulfman14
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-24-10
                          • 8869

                          #13
                          well aint no looking back now. hope fully she makes a match of it.
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Wulfman14
                            you think serena will rout na li EP ?
                            I dunno, but when the masses are on the same pick it does not often turn out well. Always exceptions, but this one seems real popular.
                            Comment
                            • matt1216
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 14683

                              #15
                              Pennetta +275 first set

                              +5 -115 for game.
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                Na is due to beat her actually but how can you take her??
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #17
                                  Personally think most of the lines for the WTA today are pretty spot on without much in the way of an edge. Pennetta likely to succumb to first timer's syndrome although Vika has to step her game up even more.
                                  Comment
                                  • frugalgambler
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-30-13
                                    • 3418

                                    #18
                                    Li Na did look good out there, but she has not faced a hard hitter yet. Serena should also be able to pick on Na's serve. The line seems to be about right to me.
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #19
                                      My choices that I am totally NOT playing would be under 20.5 for Aza-Penn & Over 20 for Serena-Li
                                      Comment
                                      • MagicDiceFlow
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-15-12
                                        • 4585

                                        #20
                                        Williams -1.5 sets is the better bet.

                                        Li might make it close and make it a 7-5 6-4 type sets but she just cant match Serena's consistency throughout a match to take a set. The only person that isnt afraid of playing Serena is Azarenka. Even after all these years playing Serena, Li is still intimidated by Williams.

                                        Good luck though
                                        Comment
                                        • TheMetsSuck
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-14-12
                                          • 6146

                                          #21
                                          Serena seems destined to win this years us open. Im on her -1.5 sets parlayed with spain ml. hopefully we both hit our bets.
                                          Comment
                                          • MagicDiceFlow
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-15-12
                                            • 4585

                                            #22
                                            Li won't see many break points off Williams serve today. Williams has a very low ball toss and wont be affected by the wind much today. Li Na has a very high toss and her serving might be affected today by the gusting wind on Arthur Ashe stadium at the moment. Almost every Li serve game will be vulnerable for breaking by Williams return.
                                            Comment
                                            • zola
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-11-12
                                              • 367

                                              #23
                                              Best of Luck Brother . I'm with you on the +5.5
                                              Comment
                                              • Wulfman14
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-24-10
                                                • 8869

                                                #24
                                                what a horrible first semi final. all i need is a hard fought close second semi. can li na win ? serena is playing above and beyond and MDF has a good point about the ball toss and wind. li na must just go for it , even if it falls out she must try and paint the lines. i think she can break serena at least once or twice. i believe she has justine henin's old coach right ? hopefully he advises her accordingly.
                                                Comment
                                                • Wulfman14
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 8869

                                                  #25
                                                  wind is pretty bad . break after break in this vika/pennetta match.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stanford Wong
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-25-12
                                                    • 148

                                                    #26
                                                    Serena is playing very very well right now ..... If it was a smaller tournament maybe Na would have a chance but a MAJOR I'm saying Serena today
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wulfman14
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                      • 8869

                                                      #27
                                                      serena's serve is sharp. fukkk . just need the +5.5.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wulfman14
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-24-10
                                                        • 8869

                                                        #28
                                                        serena is a fukkin beast christ.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #29
                                                          Looks like the burial is about neck deep already. Yikes.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jessetk313
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-12-11
                                                            • 1298

                                                            #30
                                                            I shoulda pounded serena for more than I did. I got nervous looking around here that Na could bury me just like stan wawa did yesterday. Not a chance dammit!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TonyTall
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-21-13
                                                              • 3551

                                                              #31
                                                              u need a nervous collapse by serena. that would only happen if li breaks her early next set
                                                              Comment
                                                              • NavsPicks
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-16-12
                                                                • 3344

                                                                #32
                                                                Over.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jessetk313
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                                  • 1298

                                                                  #33
                                                                  If my book let me bet tennis live I'd lay whatever juice they wanted me too because this thing is over.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Darkside Magick
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-28-10
                                                                    • 12638

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Bagel in first set?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Wulfman14
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                                      • 8869

                                                                      #35
                                                                      its over . fukkin williams is jsut playing unreal
                                                                      Comment
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