Kershaw Today?? Is It Worrhy Of $5000 Bet?

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    Kershaw Today?? Is It Worrhy Of $5000 Bet?
    Can he lose?

    Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.
  • Gus Fring
    SBR MVP
    • 03-21-13
    • 3423

    #2
    Make a vid JJ
    Comment
    • sbrhedge
      SBR MVP
      • 01-18-11
      • 1354

      #3
      Originally posted by jjgold
      Can he lose?

      Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.
      Of course he can lose.

      You want to lay $4800 to win $2000 at -240? Are you scared?

      If you're scared, this question is pointless. Don't bet.

      A slightly better value bet is MIA +1.5 @ +120.

      Straight MIA @ +210 is the worst bet of the 4 options. MIA needs to get Kershaw out in less than 7 innings to have a chance for the dog ML to go.
      Comment
      • BIGDAY
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 02-17-10
        • 48245

        #4
        I'm smacking a -240 fav in mma next Wednesday.

        It has a much better chance at hitting than Kershaw today.
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          JJ what happened to you trying to get a loan for football season?


          now you magically have $5,000 to bet?
          Comment
          • BIGDAY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 02-17-10
            • 48245

            #6
            I sent him a nickel. No idea where he got the rest.
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              Where did I say I am betting 5k??

              I am trying to say is it a lock by using a big dollar amount as an example

              I am betting it but RL maybe
              Comment
              • Big Bear
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-01-11
                • 43253

                #8
                well yes JJ i like it a lot but i dont wanna jinx it with the "L " word
                Comment
                • Big Bear
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 11-01-11
                  • 43253

                  #9
                  If and this is a big if the Marlins somehow pull off a miracle upset they will have to do it like 1-0 or 2-1

                  I hate totals but this game and the Pirates/ Giants look like easy unders
                  Comment
                  • King Mayan
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-22-10
                    • 21326

                    #10
                    You motherfukker.
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82839

                      #11
                      Don't you have to bet almost $15,000 to win $5,000 today?

                      What book are you using JJ?
                      Comment
                      • Underwraps
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 01-16-11
                        • 22

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Can he lose?

                        Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.
                        You must be a SQUARE. Quit now while your ahead
                        Comment
                        • BIGDAY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 02-17-10
                          • 48245

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Underwraps
                          You must be a SQUARE. Quit now while your ahead

                          Underwraper has a winner today. I gotta feeling this guy is a sharp fuk.
                          Comment
                          • Underwraps
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 01-16-11
                            • 22

                            #14
                            Not saying they can't win, but, if those are the kind of lines and teams that entice you to bet
                            you will be looking for the next shy real quickly
                            Comment
                            • BeatTheJerk
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-19-07
                              • 31794

                              #15
                              Originally posted by sbrhedge
                              Of course he can lose.

                              You want to lay $4800 to win $2000 at -240? Are you scared?

                              If you're scared, this question is pointless. Don't bet.

                              A slightly better value bet is MIA +1.5 @ +120.

                              Straight MIA @ +210 is the worst bet of the 4 options. MIA needs to get Kershaw out in less than 7 innings to have a chance for the dog ML to go.
                              If betting the marlins +210 is the worse bet, then why wouldn't betting the Dodgers -240 be the best bet like JJ states ? I know you were configuring that from 4 options, but I don't understand your logic even so.
                              Comment
                              • teaserpleaser
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-14-08
                                • 26015

                                #16
                                Not the dodgers ace lineup...too many backups no Ramirez have to pass but will be watching in game to jump on something.
                                Comment
                                • jnickell100
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-11-09
                                  • 4305

                                  #17
                                  Marlins are a lock today.
                                  Comment
                                  • joco
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-24-11
                                    • 3242

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BIGDAY
                                    I'm smacking a -240 fav in mma next Wednesday.

                                    It has a much better chance at hitting than Kershaw today.
                                    what mma fav we talkin?
                                    Comment
                                    • NicAtNight
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-29-11
                                      • 290

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                      Not the dodgers ace lineup...too many backups no Ramirez have to pass but will be watching in game to jump on something.
                                      Under looking like best bet at moment
                                      Comment
                                      • mwbrewers
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 04-02-13
                                        • 41

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by joco
                                        what mma fav we talkin?
                                        I'm guessing Condit Over Kampmann. If so, it's far from a "lock" but it's a good pick for sure
                                        Comment
                                        • riffraff24
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-20-11
                                          • 7234

                                          #21
                                          fml
                                          Comment
                                          • teaserpleaser
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-14-08
                                            • 26015

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by NicAtNight
                                            Under looking like best bet at moment
                                            Rolled with an Ace Parlay Latos and Kershaw +115 or something like that just to have action while im looking for something to pound in game. Why cant kuroda or nova be on the bump when Yankees throw out a Ace lineup like they are today Andys been better lately and jays have no bautista but I hate backing pitchers that give up more hits than innings pitched...its a nice way to get an early day migrane.
                                            Comment
                                            • In The Money
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-28-09
                                              • 1294

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                              Can he lose?

                                              Some of those young Marlin arms can blank you which scares me.
                                              Usually he is only this big of a fav at home which scares me however Doyers are hottest team in the bigs right now
                                              Comment
                                              • teaserpleaser
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 08-14-08
                                                • 26015

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by mwbrewers
                                                I'm guessing Condit Over Kampmann. If so, it's far from a "lock" but it's a good pick for sure
                                                coin flip
                                                Comment
                                                • TonyTall
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-21-13
                                                  • 3551

                                                  #25
                                                  under 23.5 h+R+e best play here
                                                  Comment
                                                  • oldscho0led
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-18-11
                                                    • 1407

                                                    #26
                                                    SBR all over Kershaw. Pass for me.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388179

                                                      #27
                                                      I took the RL

                                                      Layed the -1.5

                                                      Gl
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Big Bear
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                        • 43253

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by oldscho0led
                                                        SBR all over Kershaw. Pass for me.
                                                        get out of your head dude. Dont over think it.

                                                        SBR will not have any impact on what happens on the field today
                                                        Comment
                                                        • joco
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-24-11
                                                          • 3242

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                                          coin flip
                                                          disagree. condit coming off 2 tough losses i expect him to easily take care of kampmann.

                                                          i thinbk i like cowboy cerrone over dos anjos the best tho. cowboy gonna fukk him up
                                                          Comment
                                                          • teaserpleaser
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 08-14-08
                                                            • 26015

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by joco
                                                            disagree. condit coming off 2 tough losses i expect him to easily take care of kampmann.

                                                            i thinbk i like cowboy cerrone over dos anjos the best tho. cowboy gonna fukk him up
                                                            can condit wrestle not really (dude gives up takedowns way to easy and is too comfortable on his back) kampman can wrestle im based off facts you're basing your play on him being super motivated to get back in the win column none of witch is going to help his wrestling or his tendency to chill out and play from his guard. striking isn't that uneven cardio not that uneven I was surprised to see odds this mismatched kampman is well rounded you do know he took a split dec over condit back in 2009 right? If you think condit improved soo much since then have at it these guys are very close I don't like to bet into nail biters but good luck.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • teaserpleaser
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 08-14-08
                                                              • 26015

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                                              can condit wrestle not really (dude gives up takedowns way to easy and is too comfortable on his back) kampman can wrestle im based off facts you're basing your play on him being super motivated to get back in the win column none of witch is going to help his wrestling or his tendency to chill out and play from his guard. striking isn't that uneven cardio not that uneven I was surprised to see odds this mismatched kampman is well rounded you do know he took a split dec over condit back in 2009 right? If you think condit improved soo much since then have at it these guys are very close I don't like to bet into nail biters but good luck.
                                                              For you new gambler this is what you call taking somebody to school
                                                              Comment
                                                              • joco
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-24-11
                                                                • 3242

                                                                #32
                                                                yes i do think hes improved alot since...he had the interim belt and fought gsp for the title man...kampmann never got anywhere near a title fight. and i do see a huge advantage for condit in striking..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • teaserpleaser
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 08-14-08
                                                                  • 26015

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by joco
                                                                  yes i do think hes improved alot since...he had the interim belt and fought gsp for the title man...kampmann never got anywhere near a title fight. and i do see a huge advantage for condit in striking..
                                                                  I hate to break it to you bud but losing a one sided fight to Gsp or holding some interm belt means fukk all moving forward not even sure what to say about the bold but okay good luck with the pick when I tell you I couldn't care less about this fight im telling you the truth I hope he wins for you really do.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • joco
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-24-11
                                                                    • 3242

                                                                    #34
                                                                    after "losing" to kampmann, condit beat ellenberger, rory mcdonald (his only loss), dan hardy, stun gun, then nick diaz before losing to gsp...thats a pretty impressive list knocking out 3/5. ...his striking and submission game is superior to kampmann imo. 26 out 28 of condits victories have ended early by ko or submission against some good competetion.

                                                                    kampmann beat him by split decision in 09? that doesnt say much cuz the judges dont know what the fuk theyre doing in the first place. ive seen them penetrate up the scoring hundreds of times

                                                                    ur not schooling anyone bro. ive watch every mma event from bellator to ufc to strikeforce since 2009
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • teaserpleaser
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-14-08
                                                                      • 26015

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by joco

                                                                      ive watch every mma event from bellator to ufc to strikeforce since 2009
                                                                      2009 good for you you're a tuf newbie
                                                                      Comment
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