fearless-pico action point challenge - make your picks

[fearless]

I've got between now and the end of the season to choose 30 NBA plays (sides and totals). The plays will be graded on action points. pico has bet me that I won't finish positive in action points over the 30 plays.

Who will win?

(Please be advised that I will bump this thread after I win. )

[pico]

@-110 per point. i'll bump this after you lose. if you make a pick, it is final. no mulligans.

[fearless]

@-110 per point. i'll bump this after you lose. if you make a pick, it is final. no mulligans.

I know. I can make my pick up until the listed start time on SBR Odds. If SBR Odds says the game starts at 8 pm, I have until 8 pm to make a pick on that game. If I'm late it's no action. No penalties for being late. Ok?

[pico]

I know. I can make my pick up until the listed start time on SBR Odds. If SBR Odds says the game starts at 8 pm, I have until the time to make pick. If I'm late it's no action. Ok?

the post time stamp has to be before start of the game. most nba games starts at 7:05.

yep, if it one minute late, then it is no action.

[pico]

no penalties. treat it like a sportsbook.

[fearless]

the post time stamp has to be before start of the game. most nba games starts at 7:05.

yep, if it one minute late, then it is no action.

We'll use SBR Odds to determine the start time of a game. We could espn.com too, that's fine with me.

[pico]

game always starts 5 or 35 minutes after the hour. it is not that confusing.

[fearless]

game always starts 5 or 35 minutes after the hour. it is not that confusing.

I agree but if there's a dispute we'll settle it by using espn.com. Fair enough? The box score has the start time right on it:

http://scores.espn.go.com/nba/boxscore?gameId=290128011

[pico]

ok, but it says 7pm. with books you can bet it until 7:05pm. just remember espn time plus 5 minutes.

oh, and no editing posts in the contest thread. if you do that, that is automatic forfeit.

[fearless]

ok, but it says 7pm. with books you can bet it until 7:05pm. just remember espn time plus 5 minutes.

oh, and no editing posts in the contest thread. if you do that, that is automatic forfeit.

Maybe we should make this thread in the handicapping contest section so that won't be possible. I think I want to do that. I don't want some kind of malfunction to ruin this.

[pico]

ok, i think you need to contact the mods to make you one.

[fearless]

ok, i think you need to contact the mods to make you one.

Not necessary. Anyone can make a thread there.

[pico]

ok, just send me the link after you made your first pick. i'll keep an eye on it.

[fearless]

ok, just send me the link after you made your first pick. i'll keep an eye on it.

Of course. I don't think I should grade my own picks. Do you want to? I'll just check for accuracy.

[pico]

i'll grade it. i have a feeling you're just going to make 1 pick per week

[fearless]

i'll grade it. i have a feeling you're just going to make 1 pick per week

If I do that I'll never finish.

Somedays there could be two or three. You never know.

[fearless]

I've got between now and the end of the season to choose 30 NBA plays (sides and totals). The plays will be graded on action points. pico has bet me that I won't finish positive in action points over the 30 plays.

Who will win?

(Please be advised that I will bump this thread after I win. )

16-13-1 +82 action points

fearless won with ease as expected.

It was only expected by me and ryanspeer who also voted for me. Thanks man.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapping-contests-33/fearless-pico-action-point-challenge-140487-p3.html#post1679626

[fearless]

If you take out my vote and pico's (due to bias) the voting was 3-1 on pico. This is a perfect example of how wrong the public usually is about sports betting.

[yisman]

nice job!

I voted for you now. I didn't see this poll when it was posted.

[fearless]

nice job!

I voted for you now. I didn't see this poll when it was posted.

Monday morning quarterback.

[pico]

you got lucky with that over. plus 30 picks doesn't say much. if you want to do one with 100 picks, then i'll be impressed. good job though.

[fearless]

you got lucky with that over. plus 30 picks doesn't say much. if you want to do one with 100 picks, then i'll be impressed. good job though.

You picked the number 30, not me. If you would have said 100 I would have done that too. We can do 100 next year no problem.

[pico]

i said i wanted to do 50, you said no.

[fearless]

i said i wanted to do 50, you said no.

You told me if I wanted to do 50 I could do it if I wanted. I didn't want to do 50 with a couple months left in the season.

I don't want to screw with a 100 picks for $50, it's not enough money. We would have to increase the money significantly to make it worth it.

If we could increase the amount of money significantly then I'll do 100 picks next NBA season, no problem at all.

[fearless]

This isn't worth screwing with. It's too complicated with neither of us living in the US, we use different currencies, etc. I'm not even allowed to send bank wires to people in other countries were I live, forget it.

[pico]

how would you like to do 500 picks with the same rules for 1k USD next season? need someone we both trust to hold the money though.

[fearless]

how would you like to do 500 picks with the same rules for 1k USD next season? need someone we both trust to hold the money though.

I don't make 500 picks in a season. 100 is reasonable for me. There's two problems with that for me: 1. My wife would never agree. 2. I can't send bank wires, I can use Western Union though.

I might be able to convince my wife that $500 is reasonable. 100 picks is it for me. Like I've told you before, I'm a pretty low volume bettor, like one or two games a day max but I wouldn't be confident enough of those games ATS for a contest like this though.

Who would hold the money? I don't think we can resolve that problem with both of us basically living in different countries and the person holding the money would be in a different country from us. That's a recipe for trouble.

[pico]

for $500 dollars, i expect more picks that 100. we can do 2 season with 500 picks if you think you can't hit the number after 1. i don't really trust anyone here. if you're serious, we can meet in person and set this up and go over the terms.

[fearless]

for $500 dollars, i expect more picks that 100. we can do 2 season with 500 picks if you think you can't hit the number after 1. i don't really trust anyone here. if you're serious, we can meet in person and set this up and go over the terms.

2 years of picks for one contest? At first you said 100 picks and I think that's a reasonable number. I think 100 picks in one season is plenty.

I don't want to push myself, it's 100 picks or nothing. I tend to crack a little under pressure and I don't want to choke because I felt like too much pressure.

If we meet in person we're both adding a lot of expenses to this thing.

I think we can do everything online. Look at LT and Tsoprano, their contest is for $500 and they've done everything online.

I've heard people saying that sportsbooks will hold money for people in situations like this? Do you know of a way to set this up so a sportsook could hold the money?

[pico]

i'll come to where ever you live. we got a whole year to work this out.

[fearless]

i'll come to where ever you live. we got a whole year to work this out.

Who's gonna hold the money? I have no idea how to make that work.

[fearless]

A trip from Hong Kong to where I live and back could easily cost you several hundred dollars. That's not fair and not worth it. I wouldn't allow that.

[pico]

you don't have to worry about my travel cost. all i have to do is to be there before the start of the next nba season. i travel a lot so unless you live in North Korea, i don't see any problem on my end.

[fearless]

you don't have to worry about my travel cost. all i have to do is to be there before the start of the next nba season. i travel a lot so unless you live in North Korea, i don't see any problem on my end.

I PMed you my proposition. I really like it and I think it should work for everybody. No middle man needed, imho. Plus, I would like to include the WNBA in this as I want to bet it pretty heavy this summer.

[diogee]

You guys could set up an x-bet on matchbook...the only problem is whoever accepts the offer would be paying commission so the offered odds would have to be around -101 instead of even money.