Timmy + 116 v. Boston is worth a play tonight

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65693

    #1
    Timmy + 116 v. Boston is worth a play tonight
    Bullet point reasons as to why

    - Boston bullpen was spent last night, they don't have many pen arms available tonight.
    If Lester gets shelled early, he may have to take one for the team.

    - That six hour flight from Boston to SF is a killer under any circumstances.
    Usually I don't make that much of a deal in coast to coast travel, has to be a factor tonight.
    I am not sure if Red Sox are even in California yet. Their game last night ended after midnight.

    - National League Park
    No DH, install Papi at first base tonight, or lose his bat.
    Despite what some of you might say, Ortiz is not a mediocre first baseman, he is sub par, and that is being nice.

    - The current regular batters on the Red Sox that used to play in the NL (Drew, Victorino) that faced Timmy on a regular basis in the past have had zero success against Timmy.

    - SF hits left handed pitching very well
    Scutaro is .331 this year v. LHP, and pretty much hit .330 against Lester when he was in the AL
    Pence has plus power v. LHP and is batting .309 overall v. LHP
    Posey is batting .319 v. LHP
    Belt is batting .291 v. LHP
    (fun fact, look it up) Timmy is batting .500 v. LHP 3 for 6

    - Home underdogs
    They usually do me well

    - Plus money in coin flip situations
    Line is sitting Boston -126/+116
    This game s/be ev/ev
    Love betting + money in even up propositions

    This has to be mentioned if you are going to tail me.
    You don't know what Timmy is going to show up.
    He has been lights out several times this year.
    He has been God awful several times this year.

    Good Timmy shows up tonight, at home, against a worn out Sox team.
    2* +116
  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #2
    no chance in hell the Giants win
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65693

      #3
      Originally posted by Big Bear
      no chance in hell the Giants win
      OK, for me to respect this post, tell me why?
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        The Giants have a mental block about hitting at home.

        Visiting teams do not.
        Comment
        • Big Bear
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 11-01-11
          • 43253

          #5
          other teams come in there with the attitude its just another ball park.


          just my opinion
          Comment
          • simmy17
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-14-12
            • 487

            #6
            Agree with everything youve mentioned.. Still cant pull the trigger on the giants been a bomb scare at times this year
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              Shouldnt have said no chance in hell but i would be shocked if the Red Sox don't win.

              Ive just seen so many time good hitting teams come into san francisco and pound the Giants.

              the last team to come to mind is the Reds when they came out and took 3 out of 4
              Comment
              • Harry N. Lloyd
                SBR MVP
                • 03-26-08
                • 4810

                #8
                Totally agree with OP. The flight alone is enough reason. The Sox played past midnight last night, then have to pack up, go home, get some quick rest, then fly coast to coast and basically head straight to the ballpark. Lincecum ain't what he used to be......but still the Sox are basically unfamiliar with him. I don't remember any team ever having a more challenging bit of scheduling than Boston does in this game. SF is the call!
                Comment
                • teaserpleaser
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-14-08
                  • 26015

                  #9
                  like the over lester is a bum and you never know with timmey may give up 1 look like an Ace may give up 6 in 3 innings
                  Comment
                  • will2survive
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 8099

                    #10
                    I love this play. A 3000 mile trip overnight for the Red Sox to think about Arod and the Yankees getting the best of them. Lincecum is capable of top-notch performances.
                    Comment
                    • bubblebuttluv
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-13-12
                      • 5179

                      #11
                      As I said yesterday, I know enough to roll with Nash when I can't figure out a baseball game. GL all.
                      Comment
                      • joco
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-24-11
                        • 3242

                        #12
                        im on giants ml and giants rl. already on it before i saw ur thread. lester pitched well his last 2 starts and the red sox still lost both those games...that considered in combination with the traveling and the emotional series against the yankees and the game ending late last nite...im all over giants...lets get it
                        Comment
                        • mandude
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-16-09
                          • 1474

                          #13
                          The Sox didn't leave last night. They stayed over night in Boston & left early this morning. Not a good situation to be in with a late game getting almost no rest and then have to wake up early & catch a red eye for a 6 hour flight out west. This play is on the Giants or no play.
                          Comment
                          • Vinnie Paz
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-27-12
                            • 12177

                            #14
                            Good Timmy never shows up for me
                            Comment
                            • Darkside Magick
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-28-10
                              • 12638

                              #15
                              Legit play here...
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                Big Papi tweeted that he got some sleep on the airplane and when he got to san francisco he went to china town for a nice massage and happy ending.

                                He said quote
                                " I feel like a new man"
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Couldn't agree more, nasher.

                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                    The Giants have a mental block about hitting at home.

                                    Visiting teams do not.
                                    I've said it before and I'm sure I'll say it again: you get dumber by the post.
                                    Comment
                                    • Big Bear
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 11-01-11
                                      • 43253

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                      I've said it before and I'm sure I'll say it again: you get dumber by the post.
                                      i'm putting you on my ignore list.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Big Bear
                                        i'm putting you on my ignore list.
                                        Think about what you just said as a response.

                                        Read it out loud if you have to. It's beyond asinine. A "mental block about hitting at home"?
                                        Comment
                                        • AchillesTG
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-19-13
                                          • 1648

                                          #21
                                          It's a little juicy, but you could hedge "bad Timmy" and take the Giants RL.
                                          Comment
                                          • Big Bear
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-01-11
                                            • 43253

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            Think about what you just said as a response.

                                            Read it out loud if you have to. It's beyond asinine. A "mental block about hitting at home"?
                                            SAn Francisco is the worst place to hit in the major leagues especially at night.

                                            The Giants can't attract any good hitting free agents since barry bonds bc of this.

                                            The Giants almost never put up runs at home. And when they go on the road they hit MUCH better.

                                            My theory is that opposing teams treat this like any other park and the Giants can't help but letting this cause them to have a mental block that they cant hit at home.

                                            Sure the Giants pitchers , pitch better at home but this park is often a slump buster for pitchers who are struggling.

                                            I hate betting the Giants at home b/c if they get down 3-0 its game over.
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65693

                                              #23
                                              • Giants are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
                                              • Giants are 27-11 in their last 38 interleague home games.
                                              • Giants are 17-7 in their last 24 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
                                              • Giants are 14-6 in their last 20 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.


                                              Like I said in post 1
                                              They like LHP
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDeem5
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-26-11
                                                • 17191

                                                #24
                                                Love it nasher
                                                Comment
                                                • italianbandit
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-17-11
                                                  • 2622

                                                  #25
                                                  Agree. Good luck. The most difficult time to hit at AT&T is during times of heavy fog. SF has the coldest summer temperatures of any US city partly because of it. Historically the heaviest times of fog are from June 15-Aug 15. The forecast is showing no fog tonight but that can change, I'll know more right before game time, I work right by it. Interestingly Lincecum prefers to pitch in colder weather.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • frogsrangers
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-25-12
                                                    • 5792

                                                    #26
                                                    Have already said Red Sox are on auto fade for this west coast trip
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PickoMoff
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 07-08-13
                                                      • 638

                                                      #27
                                                      Women lie, men lie but numbers don't lie! Since the only game I see to bet on is ARI at +155, I think I'll roll with Nasher tonight as well!

                                                      BOL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • stevenash
                                                        Moderator
                                                        • 01-17-11
                                                        • 65693

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by PickoMoff
                                                        Women lie, men lie but numbers don't lie! Since the only game I see to bet on is ARI at +155, I think I'll roll with Nasher tonight as well!

                                                        BOL
                                                        Liars figure, figures don't lie
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                          SAn Francisco is the worst place to hit in the major leagues especially at night.

                                                          The Giants can't attract any good hitting free agents since barry bonds bc of this.

                                                          The Giants almost never put up runs at home. And when they go on the road they hit MUCH better.

                                                          My theory is that opposing teams treat this like any other park and the Giants can't help but letting this cause them to have a mental block that they cant hit at home.

                                                          Sure the Giants pitchers , pitch better at home but this park is often a slump buster for pitchers who are struggling.

                                                          I hate betting the Giants at home b/c if they get down 3-0 its game over.
                                                          I don't even really know how to respond to this, so I'm just going to let the sleeping dog lie.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • artyfudgepacker
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-13
                                                            • 2205

                                                            #30
                                                            rolling with nashy $$$$
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ZetaPsi808
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-18-08
                                                              • 12119

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                              no chance in hell the Giants win
                                                              thats all i needed to read

                                                              i am pounding giants ml for a nickle
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ZetaPsi808
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-18-08
                                                                • 12119

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Big Bear
                                                                i'm putting you on my ignore list.
                                                                Big Bear dont let these guys get to you man. Keep doing your thing.

                                                                Hey would you mind posting your daily plays on the forum? i like your angle about how the giants dont hit well and i want to tail you in the future

                                                                thanks ace
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Footballtime
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-20-10
                                                                  • 3229

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Boys, Lets not forget SF was also traveling from Miami back to the west coast......Redsox stayed in Boston overnight, Left Logan at 10 am this morning! Absolute Coin flip here....................... Who knows which Lester Or Lincecum shows up tonight,, Both can give up 10 runs or none.......
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • innovation
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-27-12
                                                                    • 6218

                                                                    #34
                                                                    My fear is this Giant's offense "rights the ship" for Lester going forward.


                                                                    I think Under is the safe play here.....if it comes down to who gets the crucial hit late...Long flight or not Sox should have the edge and motivation.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • konck
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-17-06
                                                                      • 12554

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Steve ...... that is a text book example of how to cap MLB find value play it back it up with your reasonWin lose or draw good job
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...