Superbowl prop i jsut came across that looks gold

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

Will both teams make fg's of 33 yards or more

this seems like a cake job provided you believe any team plays a lick of defense, what do you guys think

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

to top it off its at +155 odds, carib shows 51 bets on this event 100% is on yes

[pimike]

Good bet, my book has 34 yards at +145, less money one more yard

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

yea my thought is this, the line could be -130 and YES would stil lattract 85% of the action, so why are they offering +155 unless they want you to take it?

[so im zach]

wow, i really like that prop.

[THEGREAT30]

Seems gold as stated, but it's not always what it seems like.

[donjuan]

What percent of the time do you think Reed kicks a 33+ yard fg in this game? Same question for Rackers.

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

What percent of the time do you think Reed kicks a 33+ yard fg in this game? Same question for Rackers.

well after looking over season numbers it actually looks pretty good, id put the % above 55 and your getting +155 on the flip side, what formula function would you use here to determine this? thanks ahead of time donjuan

[UntilTheNDofTimE]

And the main reason is Im a believer in the steelers defense and i think arizona will get into scoring range about 4 times in this game, coming away with at least 2 fg attempts i just dont beleive they'll beable to hit the hail amry on the steelers, the fact that neil rackers has a strong leg gives even more room for this one.

[donjuan]

expected % of the time Rackers makes a 33+ yarder*expected % of time Reed makes a 33+ yarder

e.g. if Rackers makes a 33+ yarder 60% of the time and Reed does so 63%, then they would both make a 33+ yarder 37.8% of the time. For breakeven on +155, you need them to have a geometric expected avg. of 62.62%.