Play MLB's Beat the Streak in a Day tomorrow

[ThaTopMoron]

correctly pick 57 players that will get a hit on tuesday and win 5.6 million

hey... it's worth a shot!

[Jefferey13]

I'll try it. I tried it on ESPN too.

[ThaTopMoron]

I'll try it. I tried it on ESPN too.

if nobody picks 57 out of 57 the person who picks the most tomorrow will win $1,000 still

ESPN's streak for the cash? i suck at that game. i try to just start off a month with a couple days with 2 wins... and then try to pick 1 winner a day from then on... and fukk it up every single time lol

[yisman]

I've played it twice.

Unless you pick right by the deadline, you're not even going to have 57 guys who play.

Last time they did it was June 29. I picked 57 guys in the lineup. 43 got a hit.

The leaderboard for the June 29 one:

Rank User Name Correct Incorrect
1 mbeck 49 8
2 rick.brandt72 48 9
2 hehlstorm 48 9
2 GreenMonster30 48 9
2 ronnybebes 48 9
2 raysfan1031 48 9
2 charlesjack 48 9

[Jefferey13]

Wait, I'm confused. I'm showing you can only pick two guys per day.

<dt style="margin: 0px 0px 15px; padding: 0px; font-weight: bold; font-size: 24px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: mlb_primary;">How to Play</dt><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Your goal is to break baseball's toughest record -- the legendary 56-game hitting streak</dd><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Pick up to two players every day who you think will get a hit</dd><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Get a hit, your streak continues; get no hits, start a new streak</dd><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Be the first to reach 57 games and win $5.6 Million



Is it two contests in one?</dd>

[yisman]

Wait, I'm confused. I'm showing you can only pick two guys per day.

<dt style="margin: 0px 0px 15px; padding: 0px; font-weight: bold; font-size: 24px; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: mlb_primary;">How to Play</dt><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Your goal is to break baseball's toughest record -- the legendary 56-game hitting streak</dd><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Pick up to two players every day who you think will get a hit</dd><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Get a hit, your streak continues; get no hits, start a new streak</dd><dd style="margin: 0px 0px 10px; padding: 0px; font-size: 16px; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-family: helvetica, arial, verdana, sans-serif;">Be the first to reach 57 games and win $5.6 Million



Is it two contests in one?</dd>

that is the regular contest which runs all season

there is another page for the separate 57 in a day contest

[oldscho0led]

38 is the current streak for BTS. STFC is more realistic in terms of winning.

[ThaTopMoron]

reg contest is picking a couple each day

tomorrow is a one day special for the game... you pick 57 batters out of tomorrow's lineups and if all 57 get a hit in their game, you win 5.6 million prize

[actiondan]

Shiiiittt I could get 60 if I wanted to

[yisman]

for the regular game, there was a challenger.

"And a few more things you need to see:
BTS leader's season-best run extended to 47
William Bryan, MLB.com's Beat the Streak season leader, closed to within 10 correct picks of winning $5.6 million when Chris Johnson of the Braves homered Friday."

But he took Justin Upton on Saturday and that ended it.

[rm18]

it is so much easier this year I am very frustrated, If you have 47 you do not even consider taking anyone that is not playing at Colorado

[Jefferey13]

it is so much easier this year I am very frustrated, If you have 47 you do not even consider taking anyone that is not playing at Colorado

Or someone named Upton.

[yisman]

I have to agree, Justin Upton was a very stupid pick. Guy must be a Braves fan.

[Jefferey13]

You know this peaked my interest, and since I love numbers, I thought I would find what types of players you need to choose to have the odds be in your favor, or in other words, having a better chance than 1 in 5.6 million of picking winners tomorrow. Obviously the season long contest has much better odds because you can pick the same player more than once, but I wanted to know for tomorrow.

This is comparing the streak to the streak of the great Joe DiMaggio. He had a couple really big advantages that a one day format doesn't have. First, if one of your players has the day off and you miss it, you will lose. Joe wouldn't have lost this way, taking a day off doesn't end a streak. Secondly, if he walked in all his plate appearances or had some sac flies and bunts mixed in with those walks, he would have still have been able to continue his streak. A game with no official AB's doesn't break a hit streak.

Okay, so here's the key to winning. First off, match the teams starting lineups with the players you choose right before game time. Choosing a non-starter would be the easiest way to ruin your chances.

Second, DiMaggio averaged 3.98 PA per game. So make sure the players you are choosing hit towards the top of the lineup, stay in the game, and possibly play for the visiting team so they don't lose an AB.

Second, find the right batting average to match the odds. Using the 3.98 PA number, we can then calculate what BA we need to succeed. Check batter/pitcher matchups for the day, season BA's, and the bullpens. If all 57 players have a BA of .301 or more in these circumstances, you are in a +EV situation!

The odds of winning in this situation is 1 in 6.429 million. You're getting paid 1 to 6.5 million. Awesome right???

Just in case you wanted to know. If you could find all the best matchups, and bring your BA up just a bit to a very solid .325, your odds now become 1 in 647,464. You've increased your odds almost 1000%! Now that's some +EV.

In DiMaggios season he was batting .409. That means his likelihood was 1 in 1,585 for his 56 game streak, and would be 1 in 1,807 to do it for the 57.

BOL!

[Thor4140]

Most of the hitters in this league can't hit to save their lives that getting 56 hits in one night might be a battle with this shit league.

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[InTheDrink]

Smoker on fire

[Jefferey13]

Most of the hitters in this league can't hit to save their lives that getting 56 hits in one night might be a battle with this shit league.

Ya it will be near impossible. But my point is they pay is actually fair.

And not sure what all the spam was for???

[easyliving]

no one will even get 45

[yisman]

no one will even get 45

Want to bet? I say at least two get 45.

[easyliving]

on pace for 40 right now.

[Jefferey13]

on pace for 40 right now.

I am on pace for less than that.

I am guessing the winner has 49 correct picks. Guess and beat me anyone.

[yisman]

I am on pace for less than that.

I am guessing the winner has 49 correct picks. Guess and beat me anyone.

My guess is the winner has 50. easyliving was way off on this one. Many people will get 45+.


I got 44 this time, so I improved by one.