Cubs/Cards Over 8 -105
Looking at the stats, Joe Kelly is the luckiest pitcher on the face of the Earth. In the last month, his ERA is 0.78, but his xFIP is 4.77. Unreal. The guy's LOB% in his last 4 starts is 93.6%. What really gets me is Kelly averages less than 5 strikeouts per 9, which means he doesn't get out of innings with his arm. I know the Cubs aren't offensive specialists, but something has to give sooner or later. Both bullpens are nothing to write home about lately, and have both been used quite a bit in this series, so I'm taking the over.
Looking at the stats, Joe Kelly is the luckiest pitcher on the face of the Earth. In the last month, his ERA is 0.78, but his xFIP is 4.77. Unreal. The guy's LOB% in his last 4 starts is 93.6%. What really gets me is Kelly averages less than 5 strikeouts per 9, which means he doesn't get out of innings with his arm. I know the Cubs aren't offensive specialists, but something has to give sooner or later. Both bullpens are nothing to write home about lately, and have both been used quite a bit in this series, so I'm taking the over.
