Lets have an educated conversation on on the 9:05 nba game.

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  • pat venditto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-07-07
    • 14347

    #1
    Lets have an educated conversation on on the 9:05 nba game.
    Who is going to cover and what is the play on the total and why.
  • Iwinyourmoney
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-18-07
    • 18368

    #2
    To me its a no play. Clips are very injuryed and GS aint good. I cant see this game being an 11 point difference. If I had a gun to my head Id take Clips +11 with a slight lean on the under, I see it going to 210 give or take.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      I just took the under for the heck of it and try and get even for day
      I got drilled late
      Comment
      • pat venditto
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-07-07
        • 14347

        #4
        JJ you always get drilled what else is new pal
        Comment
        • Panic
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-06-08
          • 10367

          #5
          I took the Over. I am in the hole today. Chasing here.
          Comment
          • Iwinyourmoney
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-18-07
            • 18368

            #6
            Im eyeing this 1st half under 110 but I cant pull the trigger
            Comment
            • tullamore
              SBR MVP
              • 07-17-07
              • 3586

              #7
              I think you take the pts, Gordon had been shooting lights out for the Clips lately. I feel the Clips can hang with GS. GS normally plays down to lesser teams and gets up for the games with the big boys.
              Comment
              • Iwinyourmoney
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-18-07
                • 18368

                #8
                ok, I pulled the trigger under 110. I cap it to be 104 at half
                Comment
                • Panic
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-06-08
                  • 10367

                  #9
                  Originally posted by tullamore
                  I think you take the pts, Gordon had been shooting lights out for the Clips lately. I feel the Clips can hang with GS. GS normally plays down to lesser teams and gets up for the games with the big boys.
                  Gordon put on a show against the Thunder. Him and Durant were monsters that game.
                  Comment
                  • tullamore
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-17-07
                    • 3586

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tullamore
                    I think you take the pts, Gordon had been shooting lights out for the Clips lately. I feel the Clips can hang with GS. GS normally plays down to lesser teams and gets up for the games with the big boys.
                    Forget everything I just said, I am chasing and there is no way I going to chase with the Clips. On GS -11.
                    Comment
                    • treece
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-28-07
                      • 6298

                      #11
                      Warriors moneyline bank it
                      Comment
                      • ryanXL977
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-24-08
                        • 20615

                        #12
                        gsw wins
                        and i think it goes over
                        but gsw aint losing this game
                        no chance
                        Comment
                        • CaneDawg
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-25-08
                          • 6256

                          #13
                          like the clipps first

                          and clipps game
                          Comment
                          • Panic
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-06-08
                            • 10367

                            #14
                            I give up. This day has been brutal. The Clips are shooting 33% from the floor. GS is shooting 38% from the floor. I cant win today. Might as well go to sleep.
                            Comment
                            • pimike
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-23-08
                              • 37140

                              #15
                              Hey Iwin I read this thread and you said:

                              No play
                              Under put can't pull the trigger
                              I capped it at 104 UNDER 110 is the play



                              Dud you are ****ed up ever since you and your girl broke up, are you ok PAL??
                              Comment
                              • pico
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-05-07
                                • 27321

                                #16
                                panic i see a pattern here. you always take the late game chase over.
                                Comment
                                • Panic
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-06-08
                                  • 10367

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pico
                                  panic i see a pattern here. you always take the late game chase over.
                                  Its a disease. I cant win. I suck. I'm going to bed.
                                  Comment
                                  • Iwinyourmoney
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-18-07
                                    • 18368

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by pimike
                                    Hey Iwin I read this thread and you said:

                                    No play
                                    Under put can't pull the trigger
                                    I capped it at 104 UNDER 110 is the play



                                    Dud you are ****ed up ever since you and your girl broke up, are you ok PAL??
                                    LOL. Mike I re-looked at the game.
                                    Under 110 1st half for $100
                                    Under 218.5 game for $83
                                    Comment
                                    • pimike
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-23-08
                                      • 37140

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                      LOL. Mike I re-looked at the game.
                                      Under 110 1st half for $100
                                      Under 218.5 game for $83


                                      Love ya pal, just what to make sure your not suicidal
                                      Comment
                                      • Iwinyourmoney
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-18-07
                                        • 18368

                                        #20
                                        No way Mike. I realized I was not in love with her, I just loved the thought of her.

                                        PS: 46 points at end of 1st Q.
                                        Comment
                                        • andywend
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-20-07
                                          • 4805

                                          #21
                                          I always get a laugh when people post with such confidence about playing double digit favorites on the moneyline.

                                          You can win 90% of the time and still lose money overall.
                                          Comment
                                          • pimike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-23-08
                                            • 37140

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                            No way Mike. I realized I was not in love with her, I just loved the thought of her.

                                            PS: 46 points at end of 1st Q.



                                            Nice I saw your final pick to late. I like it as well, as for your girl it will be better in the long run. I know what you mean about the thought of her.

                                            Anyways this year at the Bash you can go out me pico and moneyfocker and anybody else who goes on the town
                                            Comment
                                            • treece
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-28-07
                                              • 6298

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by andywend
                                              I always get a laugh when people post with such confidence about playing double digit favorites on the moneyline.

                                              You can win 90% of the time and still lose money overall.
                                              Impossible. I have them -600 so if I win 9 of them and lose 1 I'm still up 3 units.
                                              Comment
                                              • Iwinyourmoney
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-18-07
                                                • 18368

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pimike



                                                Nice I saw your final pick to late. I like it as well, as for your girl it will be better in the long run. I know what you mean about the thought of her.

                                                Anyways this year at the Bash you can go out me pico and moneyfocker and anybody else who goes on the town
                                                Yup! We will rock vegas
                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37140

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by treece
                                                  Impossible. I have them -600 so if I win 9 of them and lose 1 I'm still up 3 units.
                                                  Chances are you will lose 2 out of 9 which make you down 300
                                                  Comment
                                                  • andywend
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-20-07
                                                    • 4805

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by treece
                                                    Impossible. I have them -600 so if I win 9 of them and lose 1 I'm still up 3 units.
                                                    Treece, this line closed at exactly -10 which is the smallest double digit favorite possible.

                                                    If you re-read my post, I said you can average picking 90% winners and still lose money overall by betting double digit favorites on the moneyline.

                                                    If you continue to lay -600 on teams with a record of 13-31, I don't think your betting bankroll is going to get any bigger in the long term.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pimike
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 03-23-08
                                                      • 37140

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                                      Yup! We will rock vegas
                                                      You bet we will. I will make sure we have a ride back, moneyfocker kinda screwed us on that.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Iwinyourmoney
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-18-07
                                                        • 18368

                                                        #28
                                                        99 at half
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pimike
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-23-08
                                                          • 37140

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                                          99 at half
                                                          winner
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Iwinyourmoney
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-18-07
                                                            • 18368

                                                            #30
                                                            Yuck 2nd half o/u at 107.5 Was hoping for 110 or so, no play. Ill ride my 218.5 under
                                                            Comment
                                                            • betplom
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-20-06
                                                              • 13444

                                                              #31
                                                              I was all over GS 1st half, also laid the -11, and will continue to bet them second half, Clippers will soon run out of gas and have only 2 subs available.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Iwinyourmoney
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-18-07
                                                                • 18368

                                                                #32
                                                                Only 2 subs available? wow...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • betplom
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-20-06
                                                                  • 13444

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                                                  Only 2 subs available? wow...

                                                                  My mistake, they have 3 available.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Iwinyourmoney
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-18-07
                                                                    • 18368

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Plomer, if I would have know that I would have pounded GSW 2nd half.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • betplom
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-20-06
                                                                      • 13444

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                                                      Plomer, if I would have know that I would have pounded GSW 2nd half.

                                                                      Iwin, I was too slow today. I had this game pegged and was going to bet it early at 9.5, I was aware of all the regulars out for Clippers, but I waited and then the line jumped, so I still bet it at -11, then bet the first half, and again bet in running before the 3rd qtr at -13.5

                                                                      I just kept hammering this game, chances like this don't come around every day.

                                                                      I believe every bet I made should cash, I can also try for a middle with in play betting Clippers +21.5
                                                                      Comment
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