Miami (Turner) -119 over New York Mets (Hefner)

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65711

    #1
    Miami (Turner) -119 over New York Mets (Hefner)
    Been watching this Jacob Turner all season as well as Jose Fernandez.
    The guy is a totally different animal since last year when the Tigers gave up on him. OK, he was getting hit by the AL big boys, but was 21 last year, just starting out. But since coming to the NL East, brilliant.

    Kid (22 years od) has been rock solid steady all season.
    Last 10 starts have been brilliant. Allowing 3 earned runs or less in nine of those past ten, and eight of the last ten he's allowed two earned runs or less.
    He did walk four Brewers and Carlos Gomez rocked him for a tater in a 2-0 loss, and the Cards got to him for four earned on seven hits in that loss, but know this, the Met line up isn't the Card line up tonight.
    Like I said, the other 8 starts, outstanding 2 earned runs or less

    Overall he's 3-3 2.49 ERA with an attention grabbing 1.17 WH/IP ratio and will strike out a little over 6 or per 9 innings. Nice numbers.

    First time he faced the Mets this season he shut them out on 5/31 on 5 hits, one walk across seven effortless innings as the Marlins swept the Mets.

    The Mets two best hitters, David Wright is an ugly 0 for 8 against Turner, and Daniel Murphy is 2 for 8 on two scratch singles.

    He also beat the Mets last season on 10/2 going 7 innings giving up 3 hits, 1 earned run, walking two.

    Metropolitan starter Jeremy Hefner's last two outing have been garbage. Total trash.
    Braves hammered him 8-2, Heffner never got out of the fifth inning, gave up three gopher balls, five earned, six hits.
    Start before that was uglier.
    Phillies got to Hefner for 10 hits in two innings, never saw the end of the third inning, yeilding 8 earned.
    I was never big on Hefner even when he was on that five game winning streak. Four of those five wins were by one run and could have gone either way.

    Both line ups will not scare many pitchers, but I like the Marlins in this spot.
    Turner is the better starter, Marlins are at home, and the Mets can't beat the Fish.
    That's just a fact, they can't beat Miami, they could tonight, but I don't see it.

    Hey, I ain't perfect, I thought the Giants would crush that lefty Cub pitcher the other night with Bumgarden, that did not happen, I faded Westbrook last week, that blew up on me, nobody is perfect, but I am turning a two year profit though. (Apologies if that comes across egotistical)

    I love the Fish at home, with Turner in this spot. There is a reason the Fish are a -119 favorite.

    I really love this play tonight.

    Pass, fade, or tail, it's all good to me. Just putting my thoughts out there for you all.

    Best of luck.
  • El Nino
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-03-12
    • 18426

    #2
    Only of the only plays I really like on the board.
    Comment
    • rcene
      SBR MVP
      • 12-28-12
      • 3036

      #3
      Good luck tonight on the Fish!
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        nashy poo and benny big testicles on the same play

        might have to pound
        Comment
        • Smoke
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-09-09
          • 48111

          #5
          You're not worried about the RLM at all?
          Comment
          • hubie69
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-16-10
            • 7329

            #6
            Good Luck Nashy
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65711

              #7
              Haven't seen Benny Testicle's write up yet Big Bear
              Demented minds do think alike.

              Fishy, fishy


              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65711

                #8
                Originally posted by Smoke
                You're not worried about the RLM at all?
                Too early Smokey
                Comment
                • Vinnie Paz
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-27-12
                  • 12177

                  #9
                  Its at -120 now? Fukk saw 110 earlier but let it go...
                  Comment
                  • artyfudgepacker
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-06-13
                    • 2205

                    #10
                    good write up nashy . i tailed u last week it won .its all good
                    Comment
                    • Vinnie Paz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 12177

                      #11
                      -118 for 2U
                      Comment
                      • Big Bear
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-01-11
                        • 43253

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Smoke
                        You're not worried about the RLM at all?
                        you said your self not to worry about that in baseball.
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 65711

                          #13
                          -130 at the good old SBR sports book.
                          After all, it's where dream come true don't ya know?
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by stevenash
                            Haven't seen Benny Testicle's write up yet Big Bear
                            Demented minds do think alike.

                            Fishy, fishy


                            Comment
                            • GUMMO77
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 9294

                              #15
                              On it. Bet the house, wife included.
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 65711

                                #16
                                Gummo in da house.
                                It's always a treat when Gummo pops up in a Nashy thread.
                                See ya at 7pm on the felt table big boy.
                                Comment
                                • konck
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-17-06
                                  • 12554

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by stevenash
                                  Gummo in da house.
                                  It's always a treat when Gummo pops up in a Nashy thread.
                                  See ya at 7pm on the felt table big boy.
                                  Nah Gummo is currently 3rd in the 3pm we have been booted a few times though the site is messing up
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 65711

                                    #18
                                    Holy crap
                                    Miami is now -127
                                    10 cent increase
                                    Comment
                                    • You mad bro
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-15-12
                                      • 16641

                                      #19
                                      My book has -131 .. Little to high
                                      Comment
                                      • GUMMO77
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-23-10
                                        • 9294

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                        Gummo in da house.
                                        It's always a treat when Gummo pops up in a Nashy thread.
                                        See ya at 7pm on the felt table big boy.
                                        GL, Nasher! Konck is right: I was in the 3 p.m.

                                        Originally posted by konck
                                        Nah Gummo is currently 3rd in the 3pm we have been booted a few times though the site is messing up
                                        Booted 3 times in that tourney. Was a rough one for everyone.
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65711

                                          #21
                                          @YouMad
                                          bought it at 9:30 this morning at -119 (5Dimes)


                                          You can get -119 at Heritage, it's as hight as -134 right now at bookmaker
                                          Comment
                                          • stevenash
                                            Moderator
                                            • 01-17-11
                                            • 65711

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by GUMMO77
                                            GL, Nasher! Konck is right: I was in the 3 p.m.



                                            Booted 3 times in that tourney. Was a rough one for everyone.
                                            I was playing O/8 last night, got booted like 10000 times
                                            Comment
                                            • You mad bro
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-15-12
                                              • 16641

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by stevenash
                                              @YouMad
                                              bought it at 9:30 this morning at -119 (5Dimes)


                                              You can get -119 at Heritage, it's as hight as -134 right now at bookmaker
                                              Only bet with a local .. Wanna take the rl but I think this could easily be a 1 run game
                                              Comment
                                              • BennyBigNuts
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-16-12
                                                • 8700

                                                #24
                                                Me and Nasher with the same writeup?
                                                This is SBR gold right here.
                                                Comment
                                                • HardCore
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-05-12
                                                  • 3615

                                                  #25
                                                  If the muts when I hope it teaches y'all a lesson. I can't beleave I'm actually hearing GOING BIG and MARLINS in the same sentence like WTF is going on on sbr today.
                                                  Comment
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