El Niño's Degen WNBA Play of the Day Part 2

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  • El Nino
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-03-12
    • 18426

    #1
    El Niño's Degen WNBA Play of the Day Part 2
    Another slow day on the cards and I sweated out a winner by the hook with the Under yesterday in the Shock/Storm game. A good win for those who tailed. Here is another WNBA total play on a short betting card.

    UNDER 172 (-110) BookMaker Phoenix Mercury/Los Angeles Sparks 10PMEST

    The total opened at 173 @ 5Dimes and 173.5 @ BookMaker and has been bet down at both books. As I type this, the total is 171.5 (-110) @ 5Dimes.

    Phoenix actually averages 84.1 points/game on the road this year, just slightly better than their 2nd ranked average of 83.9 pts/game this season overall. However, Phoenix has averaged 79.6 pts in their last 5 games. Phoenix will be without centers Brittney Griner (14.9 pts/game this season) and Lynetta Kizer who are both listed as doubtful. Krystal Thomas will be the only center available. Thomas scored 6 pts. in the previous game against Los Angeles (7/14). However, she averages just 1.7 pts./game in 15 games this season. This should make it difficult for Phoenix to get inside and LA will force Phoenix to shoot perimeter jump shots. LA is 5th in the WNBA allowing an average of 74.9 pts/game. In the 3 games that Griner has not played for Phoenix this season, the team averages 79.3 pts/game. The UNDER is 5-3 in Phoenix's 8 road games so far this season. The UNDER is 3-2 in Phoenix's last 5 games.

    Los Angeles is 1st in the WNBA averaging 85.8 pts/game and average 87.9 pts/game at home. Los Angeles has averaged 89.8pts/game in their last 5 games. The UNDER is 7-2 in LA's 9 home games so far this season. The UNDER is 3-2 in LA's last 5 games.

    These teams have met twice this season (both in Phoenix) with the most recent game (7/14) going UNDER and a game played on 6/14 that went OVER.

    Los Angeles has been a power house at home for over a year now winning 19 consecutive regular season games. LA will get their points and the 11.5 pt spread suggests a potential blowout. However, LA is coming off back to back games so they could be on tired legs come the 4th quarter. Even if LA gets their 90 pts. I see Phoenix continuing with their 76-79ish team total.

    Again, just a to win 1u play. Nothing crazy, just for action.

    2013 WNBA YTD: 9-4 +4.5u

  • Russian Rocket
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-02-12
    • 43910

    #2
    Comment
    • El Nino
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-03-12
      • 18426

      #3
      Wow, didn't even see there was an 11AMEST game as well.

      Added: Chicago Sky -5 (-120) BookMaker bought the hook to win 2u

      The New York Liberty are closing out a 4 game home stand against the Chicago Sky. New York is 1-2 straight up and 1-2 ATS in their last 3 home games. New York has averaged a mere 61 pts/game in these last 3 games. Overall this season New York has averaged 72.1 pts/game and they have averaged 70.9 pts/game in 8 home games with 3 of those games going to OT. New York just doesn't score enough to be able to keep pace with Chicago leads the WNBA in average rebounds per game. New York turns the ball over too much. In the 1st meeting between these 2 teams New York turned the ball over 17 times to Chicago's 5. In the 2nd meeting New York had 15 turnovers to Chicago's 11.

      This is the 3rd time New York will face Chicago this season. Chicago is 2-0 straight up and 2-0 ATS against New York this season with an average victory by 21 pts.

      Chicago is 3-0 straight up and 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games. Chicago has averaged 88.3 pts/game in these last 3 victories. Overall this season Chicago has averaged 81.9 pts/game and they have averaged 80.9 pts/game in 7 road games. Chicago is simply the more consistent team. They will take advantage of New York's turnovers and put up points. Even an average game out of Chicago should cover here.

      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        Without Griner a good play


        Don't know about other game
        If Chicago is the team with that rookie from Delaware it's a play.
        Comment
        • El Nino
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-03-12
          • 18426

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          Without Griner a good play


          Don't know about other game
          If Chicago is the team with that rookie from Delaware it's a play.
          Yes, Coach. Elena Delle Donne, she's a beast. Averaging 19.1 pts/game.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Della Donne will be best player in league in 2 years

            She is great
            Comment
            • hubie69
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-16-10
              • 7329

              #7
              Thanks for the info El Nino
              Comment
              • El Nino
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-03-12
                • 18426

                #8
                Originally posted by jjgold
                Della Donne will be best player in league in 2 years

                She is great
                She has 10 pts. already in the 1st Quarter.
                Comment
                • El Nino
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-03-12
                  • 18426

                  #9
                  Originally posted by hubie69
                  Thanks for the info El Nino
                  No prob, pal.
                  Comment
                  • teaserpleaser
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-14-08
                    • 26015

                    #10
                    griner being out actually helps the over imo they'll make her points up but from a defensive standpoint that chick is a defensive difference maker to say the least. good luck i'll be on a 2nd half total.
                    Comment
                    • konck
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-17-06
                      • 12554

                      #11
                      El Nino
                      Comment
                      • El Nino
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-03-12
                        • 18426

                        #12
                        Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                        griner being out actually helps the over imo they'll make her points up but from a defensive standpoint that chick is a defensive difference maker to say the least. good luck i'll be on a 2nd half total.
                        It's possible. The points won't be made up by the center position for Phoenix though. LA will be able to focus on Taurasi and Bonner or Dupree will have to step up. Even with Griner, Phoenix gives up the most points in the WNBA. Defensively they are pretty terrible. I will see how it looks after the 1st half. Always bail out or hedge options at half time depending on how the game is going. Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • El Nino
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-03-12
                          • 18426

                          #13
                          Originally posted by konck
                          El Nino
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #14
                            May the better capper win..under akways better than over because for a game to go over most of the time both teams have to shoot well
                            Comment
                            • teaserpleaser
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-14-08
                              • 26015

                              #15
                              anybody watching the sky game? what the hell are they doing to the liberty that they cant score over 14 a qtr? Im missing the greatest defensive effort ever or the liberty just cant shoot?
                              Comment
                              • Smoke
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-09-09
                                • 48111

                                #16
                                Della Donna makes me horny
                                Comment
                                • El Nino
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-03-12
                                  • 18426

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                  anybody watching the sky game? what the hell are they doing to the liberty that they cant score over 14 a qtr? Im missing the greatest defensive effort ever or the liberty just cant shoot?
                                  This.
                                  Comment
                                  • El Nino
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-03-12
                                    • 18426

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Smoke
                                    Della Donna makes me horny
                                    Smoker, that's not a bad thing, guey. We know you're straight now...embrace it. Nothing like bangin' an amazon that can knock down buckets from down town. Giggity.
                                    Comment
                                    • El Nino
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-03-12
                                      • 18426

                                      #19
                                      Cash Chicago in a 20pt. laugher.

                                      Comment
                                      • ticklz
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 02-29-12
                                        • 962

                                        #20
                                        nino keep em comming, im gonna be one of the Degens tailing you when i get to vegas tmmr
                                        Comment
                                        • jjgold
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 07-20-05
                                          • 388179

                                          #21
                                          Niño great call
                                          Comment
                                          • Hockey33
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 02-15-13
                                            • 59

                                            #22
                                            What's the play to tonight pal?
                                            Comment
                                            • El Nino
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-03-12
                                              • 18426

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ticklz
                                              nino keep em comming, im gonna be one of the Degens tailing you when i get to vegas tmmr
                                              Nice, where you staying?
                                              Comment
                                              • El Nino
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-03-12
                                                • 18426

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                                Niño great call
                                                Thanks, coach. Gotta cash this under now. Up to 173.5 already.
                                                Comment
                                                • Hockey33
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 02-15-13
                                                  • 59

                                                  #25
                                                  If you had to pick a side, which would you take at a 12 point line? And how do you know that Brittany Griner is not playing ?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • El Nino
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 05-03-12
                                                    • 18426

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Hockey33
                                                    If you had to pick a side, which would you take at a 12 point line? And how do you know that Brittany Griner is not playing ?
                                                    If I liked a side don't you think I'd have played it rather than cap the game for an hour and waste my time doing a write up? Common, pal. Griner has been out the last 2 games with a knee injury and yesterday she was downgraded to doubtful for tonight's game on every injury report on the net. Laying 12 on a back to back seems a little much. LA is 1-1 straight up and 1-1 ATS on the 2nd game of a back to back this season.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • texhooper
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                      • 10001

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Hockey33
                                                      If you had to pick a side, which would you take at a 12 point line? And how do you know that Brittany Griner is not playing ?
                                                      after a battle last night they're getting a blowout spread again? i'm not buying it. mercury +12 and i have a 175 point freeplay on their moneyline, +750. i don't mind griner being out, hell they didn't start winning until she got injured the first time. phoenix is a great team to exploit any tired legs the sparks may be feeling.

                                                      oh, and griner's listed as doubtful, so probably a no-go.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • El Nino
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-03-12
                                                        • 18426

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by texhooper
                                                        after a battle last night they're getting a blowout spread again? i'm not buying it. mercury +12 and i have a 175 point freeplay on their moneyline, +750. i don't mind griner being out, hell they didn't start winning until she got injured the first time. phoenix is a great team to exploit any tired legs the sparks may be feeling.

                                                        oh, and griner's listed as doubtful, so probably a no-go.
                                                        Atlanta plays tough D for sure, hoping they took a lot out of LA. Should be a much different style of game tonight as Phoenix plays zero defense. Hoping they bring it a little at least. Going against a 19 game home winning streak isn't for me, but I see your angle. I'll take a Phoenix 88-80 win BOL, pal.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • texhooper
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-05-09
                                                          • 10001

                                                          #29
                                                          and i wish you luck on the under. it's hard to call a mercury under, honestly, but i have lost on a couple of mercury overs this year. i kinda have a feeling tonight the sparks will shit the bed, and the under will hit and the mercury will take this one.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ron29301
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-27-11
                                                            • 2311

                                                            #30
                                                            Brought 2.5 points for U175.5. Lets Roll.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • El Nino
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-03-12
                                                              • 18426

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Ron29301
                                                              Brought 2.5 points for U175.5. Lets Roll.
                                                              Let's cash this, Ron29301er
                                                              Comment
                                                              • El Nino
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-03-12
                                                                • 18426

                                                                #32
                                                                39 pts in the 1st quarter, good start.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • El Nino
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-03-12
                                                                  • 18426

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Taurasi destroying them. These dykes ever heard of a double team?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • texhooper
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-05-09
                                                                    • 10001

                                                                    #34
                                                                    under looking good at the half, especially considering merc had their highest scoring quarter of the season. sparks running on fumes, no legs in any of their shots.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Aye J Mac
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 07-13-12
                                                                      • 5424

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Game will go over
                                                                      Comment
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