NFL Season Player Props

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  • k13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-16-10
    • 18104

    #1
    NFL Season Player Props
    Alfred Morris rushing yards o/u 1420.5

    Just looking at it historically, injury wise, does it not seem a bit high?

    Adrian Peterson is 1680.5 and he's only hit that twice out of six years.

    Really like the under on Morris. Just a few games missed and it will be really hard to hit that number.

    I'd probably take the under on every RB on the list though.........
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Who the heck is he??

    No way that goes over

    Do you have a list of some of the bigger names??
    Comment
    • daneblazer
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-14-08
      • 27861

      #3
      JJ you're rusty pal.

      I like that under on Morris
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18104

        #4
        Dough Martin 1330.5
        Jaamal Charles 1350.5

        Dez Bryant 1300.5 over is -160....
        Comment
        • gryfyn1
          SBR MVP
          • 03-30-10
          • 3285

          #5
          Seems to optimistic, since 06 only 0ne player has rushed for 1400yrds in back to back years, that was Tomlinson in '06&'07
          Comment
          • Goat Milk
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-24-10
            • 25850

            #6
            Originally posted by gryfyn1
            Seems to optimistic, since 06 only 0ne player has rushed for 1400yrds in back to back years, that was Tomlinson in '06&'07
            top 5 rb of all time.
            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #7
              Charles can go over

              He has so many big games
              Comment
              • GamblerSpirit
                SBR MVP
                • 11-18-11
                • 4085

                #8
                can you plz list the book
                Comment
                • rm18
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-20-05
                  • 22291

                  #9
                  Charles will definitely go over barring injury, should be in the 1800-1900 range
                  Comment
                  • Louisvillekid1
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-17-07
                    • 52143

                    #10
                    I really like the Charles over
                    Comment
                    • k13
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-16-10
                      • 18104

                      #11
                      Originally posted by GamblerSpirit
                      can you plz list the book
                      Bet365.
                      Comment
                      • k13
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-16-10
                        • 18104

                        #12
                        Originally posted by rm18
                        Charles will definitely go over barring injury, should be in the 1800-1900 range
                        Rushing yards or total yards?

                        No way he comes close to 1900 rushing yards.
                        I'll just draft morris for my fantasy team and easy UNDER...
                        Comment
                        • daneblazer
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-14-08
                          • 27861

                          #13
                          1680 is so high, but would you really want to bet against AP?
                          Comment
                          • rm18
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-20-05
                            • 22291

                            #14
                            Originally posted by k13
                            Rushing yards or total yards?

                            No way he comes close to 1900 rushing yards.
                            I'll just draft morris for my fantasy team and easy UNDER...
                            Yes rushing yards he got over 1500 last year coming off a blown out knee, with more good rbs on the roster like Hillis to take carries away, also they were playing from behind so they could not run as much, and they took an OL #1 overall so for all those reasons his yards will go up.
                            Comment
                            • easyliving
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-25-12
                              • 8876

                              #15
                              i will hammer that Alfred Morris line if I can find it at 5dimes or bovada
                              Comment
                              • Louisvillekid1
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-17-07
                                • 52143

                                #16
                                I don't think Alfred Morris went down 1 time on first contact...
                                Comment
                                • k13
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-16-10
                                  • 18104

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by daneblazer
                                  1680 is so high, but would you really want to bet against AP?
                                  No.

                                  I'm betting against morris.

                                  AP is too risky with his big game potential.
                                  Comment
                                  • rm18
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-20-05
                                    • 22291

                                    #18
                                    Morris is a bull but Roy Helu Jr healthy the coaches liked him before his injury
                                    Comment
                                    • daneblazer
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 09-14-08
                                      • 27861

                                      #19
                                      I know...just sayin'

                                      I like the Morris under.
                                      Comment
                                      • MoneyLineDawg
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-01-09
                                        • 13253

                                        #20
                                        Love Morris Under.....great player but will be tough to stay healthy all 16, nevermind putting up that big yardage

                                        What's the deal if he misses half the year or even goes down early? You win?

                                        If so, gotta figure almost all RB unders are +ev
                                        Comment
                                        • petey5
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 06-26-13
                                          • 937

                                          #21
                                          I think I'd go Martin, Charles and Bryant all over. Under for Morris and AP.
                                          Comment
                                          • bigballa
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-18-12
                                            • 429

                                            #22
                                            morris +100 the under as well.....great bet
                                            Comment
                                            • bigballa
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-18-12
                                              • 429

                                              #23
                                              looks like betus have similar line out 1425.5 morris -115
                                              Comment
                                              • easyliving
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-25-12
                                                • 8876

                                                #24
                                                Does anyone know if 5dimes puts up player props like these and if they do when?
                                                Comment
                                                • k13
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-16-10
                                                  • 18104

                                                  #25
                                                  17% chance he gets injured.
                                                  5% chance he gets arrested and suspended.
                                                  6% chance he gets caught with steroids and suspended.
                                                  2% chance he gets crashes in a car/plane.
                                                  20% chance Shanhhan goes Shanahan, Helu and others gets in picture.
                                                  1% chance Redskins are good and rest their players final week.
                                                  30% chance he has a sophomore slump like most previous RB's, down year.
                                                  4% chance Redskins start getting behind in a lot of games and throw more.


                                                  I like my chances.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dlunc3
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-31-09
                                                    • 9129

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    Charles can go over

                                                    He has so many big games
                                                    dont forget he has the most pass happy coach in the league now... could catch a ton of passes, but his rush total could suffer
                                                    Comment
                                                    • k13
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-16-10
                                                      • 18104

                                                      #27
                                                      Looking at the last few years rushing yardage leaders, this is a big number and we are in a pass happy league now.

                                                      Should be in the 1270 range at best.
                                                      Comment
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