college basketball Jan 20

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  • wild willy
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-08
    • 1298

    #1
    college basketball Jan 20
    Well let me first start by saying hello.
    I'm planning on giving my thoughts on three games today, my lines may differ from yours because I'm playing a canadian run sport lottery called proline. I now there is a lot of members south of the border. But I hope some of the information is helpful.
    Before I go into any detail I just want to say in no way am I a professional and I in no way think any of these are locks.
    I am personally only spending $20 on a three game parlay.

    VIRGINIA 7-7 VS MARYLAND 12-5
    Right now my line is Maryland-8.5.
    I capped this game earlier, Maryland-10 ,Both teams are riding two game losing streaks with Maryland trying to end that at home tonight.
    Maryland's coming in tonight with a #98 ranked offense Avg 72.5 points per game going up aganist a #274 ranked defense allowing72.1 points per game.
    On the other side things look a little bit more even. Maryland has a #65 ranked defense giving up 62.7 pts per game aganist Virginia's #69 ranked offense scoring 74.9 pts pergame.
    One stat that really caught my eye was Maryland's #7 ranked free throw shooting around 78%. Right now Virginia's giving up about 18.9 fouls per game whitch becomes problems in close games.
    I fully expect Maryland to lead in this one much of the game.and as we all Know a team thats down late in a game needs to foul. so I think even if it stays close Marylands ability to shoot freetrows will probally be the difference in the final spread of this match.
    My picks MARYKAND-8.5
    Hopfully more games to come.
  • wild willy
    SBR MVP
    • 11-20-08
    • 1298

    #2
    Tenn 11-5 Vs Vandy 12-5
    I capped this game at Vandy -6
    My line is Tenn-1.5
    I think Center Ag Ogilvy plays tonight. If you have more accurate info please share, if he is not playing tonight is no play.
    What a game to cap we got a Tenn off RK7 Avg 83.4 a gm against Vandy's#19 D avg 58.9 a gm
    Then just to kick you in the balls you get a Tenn#322rk D against a #163 Vand's OFF
    Both teams I feel are equal on the boards
    If it helps Tenn 4-3 on the road Vandy 9-2 at home
    Tenn better FG % Vandy better3pt%
    The only edge I see again is in the free throw shooting of Vandy #24 rk around 74% against Tenn %303rk fouls
    20.7 per game.
    My pick VANDY+1.5
    I dont base all my picks on free throw shooting. But after an houre and a half looking at # .This is the only adv I see.
    Remember I'm only risking a very small amount on these plays.
    Sorry I forgot to add the reason Ilike this game is the fact I capped Vandy -6. And that was giving 3 pts to the home team ,and I'm getting the line at Vandy +1.5
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      Nice write ups Willy

      I might take Vandy and like Penn St at home
      Comment
      • wild willy
        SBR MVP
        • 11-20-08
        • 1298

        #4
        I was thinking about penn st but been banging my head since 10 about it i got them capped at 4 again giving 3 for the home team. asked a tout how much for a blow job and now got willie bee on my ass so might not be around for another write up anyway good luck JJ
        Comment
        • wild willy
          SBR MVP
          • 11-20-08
          • 1298

          #5
          MICHIGAN13-5 VS PENN ST14-5
          I got it capped at Penn st -4
          My line is Penn st -2.5
          EXTREME CAUTION
          I'm playing this game because I have to do a three game parlay that simple.
          First off Pennst has a slightly better Ranked off -def
          On the free throw theme Michigan Rk#10 But both teams very disciplined Rk 6th and 10th respectivly in fouls
          One key stat is Pennst is much better on the boards defensivly and offensivly.
          I also think Pennst is a little bigger physically than michigan.
          AGAIN GUYS THESE ARE ONLY SOME THOUGHTS FROM JOE NOBODY RISKING VERY LITTLE.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            I love these write ups, nice work
            Comment
            • flyingillini
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 41219

              #7
              illini
              המוסד‎
              המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
              Comment
              • Chi_archie
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-22-08
                • 63172

                #8
                nice write ups willy
                Comment
                • wild willy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-20-08
                  • 1298

                  #9
                  Jan21 Sorry guys no write ups tonight had to work today and there just aint enough time to do the proper research. Well last night was one of those nights maryland hit freethrows and virginia hit big three's late. Way off on the vandy game,and the one that scared me the most Pennst covers. But thats the way she goes sometimes.Good luck tonight boys.
                  Comment
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