How MANY times a year do you see a play and know it's a 100% LOCK????

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    How MANY times a year do you see a play and know it's a 100% LOCK????
    I'd say for me probably 8-10 times a year i come across a play and i'm like man i would bet 30,000 on that game if i could get my hands on 30 grand...


    you know its like these plays just come to you and right away at first glance you know it's a guarantee win!

    But this shit happens less than 10 times a year thats for sure... and it's usually when i'm broke...

    But imagine if you were a TRUE big time sharp bettor where you only HAMMERED these guaranteed locks..

    Thats the way to do it. But it takes discipline and big nuts.


    anyway just food for thought
  • leetreaper
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 10-23-10
    • 34841

    #2
    How many times you look in the mirror and see an idiot?
    Comment
    • Louisvillekid1
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-17-07
      • 52143

      #3
      Find 5-10 plays a year that I predict about an 80% chance of cashing.

      ATS Of course
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #4
        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
        Find 5-10 plays a year that I grade about 80% chance of cashing.
        Please post those lol and put an asterik by them or something so we know to drop the hammer.

        You actually made me a bunch of money in college basketball. Thanks for that.
        Comment
        • The Kraken
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-25-11
          • 29085

          #5
          Bear how often are you betting tennis?
          Comment
          • InTheDrink
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-23-09
            • 23983

            #6
            One

            I had landers over reemer

            Ez money
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              Originally posted by The Kraken
              Bear how often are you betting tennis?
              once or twice a year on average i guess.

              I mostly only wager MLB, NFL , NCAA Football and Basketball.

              once in a blue moon maybe play some NBA but I hate the lack of effort players give during regular season.

              only if i'm feeling a real need to get my betting fix do i bet Tennis, UFC, boxing, golf, nascar, soccer etc...
              Comment
              • Bullajami
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-23-05
                • 472

                #8
                Never.
                Comment
                • greenhippo
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-15-12
                  • 9091

                  #9
                  Know exactly what Bearer is saying, I'll come across a half dozen or so games where it feels like stealing money. Only ever had a meaningful amount on 3 of these wagers and lost 1 of them.
                  Comment
                  • The Kraken
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-25-11
                    • 29085

                    #10
                    Bear if you are just rec, focus on the sports you love. It spices it up a bit. But unless you're willing to put in a lot of time learning how to model and then spend a fair amount of time each day, don't ever expect to beat the larger, more efficient markets with any regularity.

                    However the smaller markets are definitely beatable, especially mma and some of the more obscure tennis venues. The exception with those are micro limits. However your limits may be high enough compared to your unit size that its worth it to you to start focusing on them. Wonder into the sub forums here. There's some posters that can churn out winners. NASCAR and golf as well. Beat those markets and enjoy getting limited Always a good feeling the first time it happens.
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #11
                      i hear ya...

                      i will check out the sub forums thanks
                      Comment
                      • Harry N. Lloyd
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-26-08
                        • 4810

                        #12
                        Aren't those called "RubberBand Plays"?
                        Comment
                        • You mad bro
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-15-12
                          • 16641

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                          Aren't those called "RubberBand Plays"?
                          Brief case plays bro
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 52135

                            #14
                            People think they see them everyday if u look in PT. lol. Most lose but they still always think that way
                            Comment
                            • Mr KLC
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-19-07
                              • 31100

                              #15
                              Every time I lose, I saw a lock.
                              Comment
                              • Otters27
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 07-14-07
                                • 30761

                                #16
                                I usually lose the locks that I actually bet on. The ones I don't sac up on usually win
                                Comment
                                • byronbb
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-08
                                  • 3067

                                  #17
                                  There are no locks, but their are spots where the sharps are just unloading on a side and the public is getting taken to the cleaners. Non-public information that is only privy to sharps is where the money is made.
                                  Comment
                                  • TwoWays
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 13145

                                    #18
                                    I had 5, today.
                                    Comment
                                    • retard
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-04-13
                                      • 1334

                                      #19
                                      I bet against the overrated bears everytime they played against a good team last year
                                      Comment
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